-
Slavyangrad.org — Nuestra Ira No Tiene Limites — There is No Limit to Our Anger — (c) V. M. Molotov
Goldman Sachs flagged risks to global energy supply amid concerns over a potential disruption in the Strait of Hormuz that would lead to significant spikes in oil and natural gas prices, the bank said in a note dated Sunday.
The bank estimated Brent crude could briefly peak at $110 per barrel if oil flows through the critical waterway were halved for a month and remained down by 10% for the following 11 months.
Prices would then moderate, with Brent averaging around $95 per barrel in the fourth quarter of 2025, it said in a note.
Oil prices jumped on Monday to their highest since January after Washington joined Israel over the weekend in attacking Iran's nuclear facilities.
Goldman highlighted that prediction markets, despite limited liquidity, now reflect a 52% probability of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz in 2025, citing data from Polymarket.
Additionally, it noted that a drop in Iranian supply by 1.75 million barrels per day could push Brent to a peak of around $90 per barrel.
@Slavyangrad
Georgian volunteer Vano Nadiradze, commander of the Georgian group within the Special Operations Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, has died in Ukraine.
According to preliminary data, the cause of death was a heart attack.
There is a video of Nadiradze in an ambulance.
- Strana
@Slavyangrad
⚡BREAKING NEWS: THE CLOWN PRINCE OF CRACK PRAISES TRUMP FOR THE BOMBING OF IRAN
Expired president Volodymyr Zelensky praised Trump for the American strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, calling Iran a "regime that helped Putin" by supplying him with shahed drones.
So what's breaking about this?
For once he didn't beg for money!
@Slavyangrad
The Ukrainian Armed Forces are fighting with quantity, not quality, - Ukrainian Armed Forces Battalion Commander Shirshin.
@ukr_leaks_eng
⚡🇮🇷🇮🇱BREAKING:
Impacts have already been recorded at an industrial area in Ashdod (pictured), Haifa, and Central Israel.
@Slavyangrad
More incoming. We’ve seen 4 waves of ballistic missiles in this attack on Israel.
@Slavyangrad
Protests in the US against Trump's attack on Iran's nuclear facilities:
"In Times Square, protesters held signs reading 'Trump is a war criminal' and 'No to US-Israel war against Iran.' Protesters chanted 'Stop the war against Iran.'"
@Slavyangrad
🇯🇵🇪🇺NATO summit in question — Japanese PM may cancel visit to The Hague
- Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba may not attend the NATO summit scheduled for June 24-25 in The Hague, Kyodo news agency reported, citing sources.
- The reasons for the possible cancellation of the visit are not disclosed. If the trip is cancelled, this will be the first time since 2022 that the head of the Japanese government will not attend the alliance summit.
- Earlier, South Korean President Lee Jae-myung also refused to participate in the summit, citing a busy domestic agenda after the inauguration and the unstable situation in the Middle East.
@Slavyangrad
NATO countries have effectively refused Trump's demand to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP.
As Reuters reports, citing diplomats, they agreed on a draft statement that proposes achieving this goal only by 2035 - that is, within ten years.
"The document's approval was accompanied by internal disagreements, in particular on the part of Spain, but in the end it was approved by all 32 member countries. The statement will finally come into force after approval by the alliance's leaders, including US President Donald Trump, at the summit in The Hague on Wednesday," the agency writes.
Earlier, the US demanded that the Alliance countries increase spending to 5% of GDP even before the summit in The Hague.
@Slavyangrad
After the US strikes on Iran, Brent crude prices exceeded $80 per barrel, Bloomberg writes.
Now they have rolled back to $78 per barrel (which is also above the annual average).
So far we are just seeing a bit of risk premium not prices reflecting a potential Iranian blockade of Hormuz.
@Slavyangrad
In France, police detained a 41-year-old Ukrainian citizen while attempting to hold a "wedding" with her nine-year-old daughter as the "bride".
The "ceremony" was to be held at Disneyland Paris, writes the Daily Mail. The alleged "groom" - a 22-year-old British citizen - was also detained at the scene.
Two Latvian citizens, aged 55 and 24, were also detained.
According to the investigation, the "ceremony" was supposed to take place at dawn, before the park opened. But as soon as it became clear that the "bride" was a child, park representatives immediately cancelled the "wedding" and did not allow guests in.
The British suspect claimed to be the director of a production company and that the event was allegedly part of a video shoot. A police source confirmed that the possibility of staging is not ruled out: the guests could have been invited as extras, and the "wedding" itself was staged
During a medical exam of the girl (presumably Ukrainian), no signs of violence were found
- Strana
@Slavyangrad
#WarData
💬 Confessions of captured AFU soldier: militants of the Nazi unit "Azov" (banned in Russia) were trained by military instructors from Canada and Eastern Europe.
🇷🇺 Subscribe | Feedback
Kharkov direction. In the area of the settlement Liman, a 57-mm anti-aircraft automatic gun "S-60" based on "URAL-4320" was hit
The FPV calculation of the Antagonist group is working
- Lost Armour
@Slavyangrad
🇺🇦🔥 Consequences of the night strikes on Kiev infrastructure
- As a result of the night strike in Kiev, damage was recorded in several areas of the city.
- One of the buildings of the Kiev National University of Economics (KNEU) was damaged.
@Slavyangrad
Iranian intelligence has leaked video of the cuckold king Reza Pehlavi sleeping in his bed along with other pictures of him in private settings, indicating they have penetrated his inner circle and could clap him at any time. Bro is probably losing it.
@Slavyangrad
Still getting a lot of varying reports on the impact of American strikes.
@Slavyangrad
Iranian missile strike south of Tel Aviv.
@Slavyangrad
Footage of Israeli Hermes-900 drone in Khorramabad, Lorestan province shot down by Iranian AD.
Still need to see more shoot downs, as Iran at the minimum needs to get rid of the drones plaguing them.
@Slavyangrad
Iran sent a batch of missiles towards Israel.
@Slavyangrad
Iranian missile lands in Ashdod, Israel.
@Slavyangrad
Following the American strike on the Fordow nuclear facility, most Western media outlets have been actively broadcasting the thesis about the “use of GBU-57 super-powerful bombs” as a means guaranteed to destroy any deep-seated target. However, this confidence is based on a systemic inaccuracy that is repeatedly reproduced from source to source and forms a false idea about the true capabilities of American weapons.
The GBU-57 is a guided, but free-falling bomb weighing about 13.6 tons, which does not have its own accelerator and falls solely under the influence of gravity. It is dropped from a great height (probably about 10-12 km), but its effectiveness directly depends on specific conditions: the geometry of the target, the density of the soil, the composition of the rock, the altitude of the carrier aircraft, and the absence or presence of measures to prepare the object for the strike. In ideal conditions, the declared penetration depth into reinforced concrete is up to 60 meters. But not everything is so simple.
The Fordow facility, according to various sources, was built by the Iranians inside a rock massif, at a depth of 85 to 90 meters. Several protective layers of reinforced concrete were supposedly poured over the main chamber, around which dense rock still remained on top. The rock probably acted as a shock absorber: it disperses the impact and makes it difficult for the munition to pass through, reducing the effectiveness of penetration. Judging by the published maps of the mountain ranges in the Fordow area, basalt rocks lie, which are difficult to penetrate even with such powerful munitions as the GBU-57.
However, the visualizations and promotional materials accompanying the announcement of the operation paint a different picture. They show the MOP as breaking through tens of meters of rock and reaching underground chambers. This model of operation corresponds more to fantasy kinematics than to the actual physical capabilities of the device. In reality, the MOP can destroy ventilation shafts, entry galleries, and ceilings, but it is not guaranteed to destroy the interior of the complex. Given that no independent evidence has been presented of the destruction of the Fordow core itself, the conclusion of success remains political, not technical.
Military Chronicle
@Slavyangrad
🇺🇦❓ What about Sumy?
The objective control footage shows a missile strike by an Iskander OTRK on the Center for Training Mobilized Fighters of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the Oldysh Sanatorium Complex near Sumy. Both the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the local administration preferred to remain silent about this strike yesterday, against the backdrop of the attack on a training ground in the Kherson region.
According to information from 🥷 source:
During the daytime, the personnel dispersed to their points, so the strike was carried out at night. Both missiles hit the exact locations of the fighters, and after the second, a strong fire broke out. As a result, at least 80 fighters (+-) were destroyed, along with officers and instructors.
Iznanka
@Slavyangrad
The Western economies cannot take this. 10y Treasuries are already yielding 4.7%. A blast of inflation and that could hit 7-8%. Maybe more. USD no longer safe haven either. It could take an almighty beating.
- Phillip Pilkington, Economist, on Twitter
Just a reminder how US debt works. Short-term interest rates are set by the federal reserve and longer term rates are determined by market forces. Federal reserve raises rates to lower inflation.
@Slavyangrad
Vietnamese analyst Sony Thang on X:
"The U.S. was never designed to serve its people.
It was designed to consume others.
It was built on extermination, slavery, and expansion.
Then it refined that logic into empire.
That’s why every crisis at home is met with bombs abroad.
War isn’t a policy error. It’s a business model.
This is why they can spend trillions to turn cities into rubble, but can’t fix their own drinking water.
Why they can fund apartheid with military aid, but need a GoFundMe to pay for insulin.
And now that empire is breaking down, the parasites are turning inward.
Looting the last reserves.
Privatizing collapse.
Selling off what’s left of the republic to feed a dying narrative.
America doesn’t need an external enemy to collapse.
It’s devouring itself in real time.
Like Israel, it cannot reform.
Because reform would require confronting the myth of its own innocence.
And neither empire nor apartheid survives that reckoning.
So they double down.
On censorship.
On militarism.
On manufactured enemies.
Because the one thing they fear more than defeat is a world that no longer asks what they think.
The system isn’t failing.
It’s functioning exactly as it was designed to.
What’s different now is the world is no longer buying in.
And once fear no longer works, all that’s left is spectacle.
Which is where both Washington and Tel Aviv now stand:
Screaming into a storm they can no longer control."
@Slavyangrad
🇰🇵North Korea has condemned the US strike on Iran as a violation of the country's sovereignty and the UN Charter:
“The situation in the Middle East threatens the foundations of international peace and security, which is the result of Israel’s audacity in expanding its unilateral interests through constant wars and territorial conquests, and the Western liberal order that has encouraged and condoned these actions.
The US and Israeli aggression under the pretext of so-called peacekeeping and eliminating threats has exacerbated tensions in the Middle East and caused serious damage to security, the country's Foreign Ministry said.
@Slavyangrad
Fierce fighting near Pokrovsk: brave troops are burning NATO equipment, infantry and artillery of the enemy without stopping
▪️A selection of combat work by fighters of the Center group of forces on June 22 to destroy military equipment, weapons, infantry and positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces during active combat operations in the Pokrovsk direction.
▪️The footage shows NATO combat armored vehicles, firing points, infantry, enemy positions and transport being burned.
@Slavyangrad