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Geopolitics Live

🥴 'Why would he go if I'm not going?' — Trump says HE is why Putin isn't in Istanbul

"Because I wasn't going to go. I wasn't planning to. I would go. But I wasn't planning to go. And I said, I don't think he's going to go if I don't go," the US president stressed.


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🇮🇷☢️🇺🇸Iran ready for nuke deal in exchange for IMMEDIATE lifting of all sanctions - Khamenei’s advisor

“It’s still possible. If the Americans act as they say, […] it can lead to a better situation in the near future, Ali Shamkhani underscored.


He vowed that if US President Trump quickly lifts the anti-Iranian sanctions, the Islamic Republic will:

▪️commit to never making nuclear weapons.

▪️get rid of its stockpiles of highly enriched uranium, which can be weaponized.

▪️agree to only enrich uranium to the lower levels needed for civilian use.

▪️allow international inspectors to supervise the process.

Trump earlier claimed that he “will be very happy” if the US makes a nuclear deal with Iran.

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🔫 Trump's Russia strategy criticized: 'Simply charming Russia is NOT ENOUGH'

The US’ “simplistic” idea to "charm” Russia and get a deal on Ukraine by putting pressure on Volodymyr Zelensky turned out to be "not enough," Financial Times reports, citing ex-German ambassador to the US Wolfgang Ischinger.

“Trump definitely sees that Putin isn’t playing ball,” said Eric Green, a former aide to former President Joe Biden at the National Security Council.


Trump would struggle to reset relations with Russia — without first resolving the problem of Ukraine, Thomas Graham, ex-National Security Council official, stressed.

“There’s too much at stake. He could still walk away from Ukraine — but if he does that, it would look too much like FAILURE,” Thomas Graham pointed out.


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🔥 Leading Biden-style? How Waltz failed Trump as National Security chief

Mike Waltz, who was sacked from his position as US National Security Adviser earlier this month, apparently did not live up to Trump’s expectations.

During Waltz’s tenure, the National Security Council was reportedly run in a style similar to Joe Biden's, which did not align with Trump's vision, according to NBC News, citing individuals familiar with the matter.

On May 1, Trump appointed Waltz as the new US ambassador to the UN, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio was tasked with leading the NSC in the interim.

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🇮🇱 Qatari PM: Israel broke complete hostage deal

Killing 70 people in a Gaza hospital and calling it "collateral damage" cannot contribute to a peace settlement, said Mohammed Al Thani.

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🚨🇺🇦🇷🇺 Message to Zelensky: Don’t Act Like a Fake Tough Guy

Putin has you right where he wants you.

Here’s why tomorrow’s meeting in Istanbul is Zelensky’s last chance to save Ukraine👇

🇷🇺Electronic Warfare (EW) Dominance

🔸Jams 30-50% of Ukrainian FPV drones (RP-377, Shipovnik-Aero systems).

🔸Neutralizes Western arms: HIMARS rockets diverted, JDAMs/Excalibur shells rendered inaccurate.

🔸Adapts Geran drones to bypass GPS jamming.

Russia's Overwhelming Firepower Superiority

🔸5,000-10,000 shells/day vs. Ukraine’s 1,000-2,000.

🔸10:1 advantage in some parts of the front

🔸🇷🇺 longer-range guns (2S7 Pion) outrange NATO howitzers.

Russian Air Superiority

🔸3,000+ glide bombs/month (released 50+ km away).

🔸Hypersonic missiles to penetrate enemy defenses.

🔸Ka-52 helicopters picking off 🇺🇦 armor with 10km-range Vikhr missiles.

Ukraine’s Air Defense Crisis

🔸Soviet SAMs (S-300/Buk) nearly exhausted—now relying on “FrankenSAM” hybrids.

🔸🇷🇺 saturation attacks (drone + missiles) overwhelm 🇺🇦 defenses.

🔸Frontline regions vulnerable to glide bombs due to patchy coverage.

Ukraine’s Manpower Crisis

🔸Ukraine is kidnapping random men off the street and redeploying air defense specialists as infantrymen to avoid total frontline collapse.

🔸Meanwhile, Russia is recruiting 50,000-60,000 new volunteer soldiers a month.

Russia’s War Economy vs. Ukraine’s Survival Mode

🔸Russia’s GDP has grown ~8% since 2022 despite 25,000 sanctions, outpacing the entire G7

Meanwhile, Ukraine:

🔸Over 20% GDP collapse since 2022.

🔸40% of budget reliant on Western aid.

Putin has been holding back — but these 3 options could break Kiev:

☢️Total Infrastructure Annihilation (bomb Ukraine’s grid, railways, govt hubs into oblivion)

🎯Decapitation Strikes against Zelensky and top brass

🚢Reinstate Black Sea blockade

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❗️ Iran is ready to get rid of its highly enriched uranium if the sanctions are lifted, said a Supreme Leader advisor.

Ali Shamkhani told NBC that Iran is ready to sign a nuclear deal with the US in exchange for lifting economic sanctions.

He added that Iran should still be able to enrich uranium at low levels for civilian use.

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🇮🇷 Pezeshkian: We will not trade Iran's honor

The Iranian president said that Donald Trump falsely believes Iran will back down on the nuclear issue out of fear of threats.

"For forty-seven years, they tried with all their might to overthrow the Islamic Republic system, but they could not and will not be able to," Masoud Pezeshkian added.


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⚡️ Kremlin: Vladimir Putin approves the lineup of the Russian delegation for the Istanbul talks

President Putin's aide, Vladimir Medinsky, will lead the Russian delegation in talks with Ukraine, just as he did in 2022.

The Russian delegation to the Istanbul negotiations will include:

🔶 Mikhail Galuzin (Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs),

🔶 Igor Kostyukov (Head of the Main Directorate of the General Staff of the Armed Forces),

🔶 Alexander Fomin (Deputy Minister of Defense).

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😴 Nap time in Congress?

Democratic lawmaker Debbie Dingell couldn’t stay awake during the debate - was she mesmerized… or just clocking out on the job?

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🔍 Booger sugar lovers club: Top 6 Western politicians who should be TESTED FOR COKE

🌏Emmanuel Macron, Keir Starmer & Friedrich Merz

The trio was recently caught by reporters doing something sus. Oh, those objects that Macron and Merz tried to hide were totally a tissue and a stirrer and not a bag of coke and a snuff spoon 😆

🌏Volodymyr Zelensky

His mannerisms, which he has been exhibiting for years now, speak for themselves.

🌏Justin Trudeau

In 2023, a former Indian diplomat claimed that the ex-Canadian PM arrived in India for a G20 summit on a plane full of coke and supposedly didn’t attend the president’s dinner due to being high.

🌏Michael Gove

In 2019, British politician and former government Michael Gove admitted to using cocaine several times in the past during his career as journalist.

And what do you think? Who else among Western politicians could be into nose candy?

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🔍 BlackRock wants Saudi's billions while backing the Gaza war? You can’t do both.

CEO of BlackRock Larry Fink flocked to Saudi Arabia with other US business elites as part of Donald Trump’s delegation.

What's the controversial Wall Street behemoth doing in the kingdom?

🏢 BlackRock Saudi Arabia Company was established in 2018 on the heels of Trump's 2017 multi-billion Saudi agreement.

💵 In April 2019, BlackRock was a top participant in Saudi oil giant Aramco’s $12B debut bond sale, per the NYT. Additionally, Fink personally courted Saudi Arabia's sovereign fund to invest in BlackRock.

💰 In December 2021, BlackRock led an investor consortium in a $15.5B purchase of 49% of Aramco’s gas pipeline.

🔑 Seeking deeper access to Saudi capital, BlackRock named Aramco CEO Amin Nasser to its board in July 2023.

🏦 The move preceded BlackRock’s April 2024 deal to launch a multi-asset firm in Riyadh — BlackRock Riyadh Investment Management — backed by a $5B mandate from the $780B Saudi Public Investment Fund.

Way too little money to matter?

💬 Despite ramping up in Riyadh, BlackRock was privately frustrated by limited investments from Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, Intelligence Online reported in November 2024.

✈️ Fink’s recent Riyadh trip seems conveniently tied to Trump’s $1T Saudi deal promise. Reality check? $600B announced, with Bloomberg pegging the real total of US-Saudi deals at just over $300B.

Why is the Muslim world suspicious of BlackRock?

🚫 In June 2024, Malaysia — another Muslim monarchy — strongly objected to BlackRock’s involvement in a major airport privatization deal, citing its ties to Israel amid the Gaza war.

💥 BlackRock is accused of backing Israel and the US arms industry — Lockheed Martin, RTX, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, and General Dynamics — supplying weapons used against Palestinians.

💣 BlackRock also invests in Israeli military companies, including Elbit Systems Ltd, whose net profits surged by 30% during the Gaza war.

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🔥WATCH: Russian drones OBLITERATE Leopard tank

A German Leopard tank was reduced to rubble by Russian drones in the Donetsk region’s Stepanovka, the Defense Ministry stated.

Another blow to NATO’s armor — how many more will fall?

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🇬🇧🤬 UK ATROCITIES IN AFGHANISTAN: A SMOKESCREEN FOR IDF WAR CRIMES?

Emerging reports about atrocities perpetrated by British special forces against civilians in Afghanistan may be a part of a “preemptive defense” of the IDF, former Pentagon analyst Ret. Lt. Col. Karen Kwiatkowski believes.

If and when stories of “the incredibly disturbing activities of the UK- and US-supported IDF in Gaza” come out, the public would already be taught beforehand that “war is awful, civilians and sleeping children are always killed and it’s just a few bad apples.”

Regarding the UK soldiers and officers involved in illegal activities in Afghanistan, Kwiatkowski believes they should be placed on unpaid leave and “tried in a legal court.”

Any key eyewitnesses and whistleblowers “need immediate protection from suicide or accidents,” the analyst added.

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❄️🇩🇰Greenland takes over chairmanship of Arctic Council amid Trump-Denmark spat

Greenlander Kenneth Hoegh will also become the chair of the Senior Arctic Officials, and a representative of the Faroe Islands will serve as his deputy, the Danish Foreign Ministry said.

The move is a sign of a reset in relations with Denmark amid Trump's claims to the island.

In March, Trump said that he wanted to welcome the island into the US, insisting that this outcome would be achieved "one way or the other."

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🚨Trump says he is ready to travel to Istanbul on Friday to take part in Ukraine talks

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🇮🇹🤯👻 Italian MP stuns Parliament in GHOST Costume 

Riccardo Maggi, MP from the 'More Europe' party, who tried to protest the silence surrounding the upcoming cuts to workers' rights, was immediately kicked out from the hall by Ghostbusters security.

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🚨💸💣Hospital cartels, loopholes & billions—Spartz drops a bomb on Dem's spending game

Rep. Victoria Spartz says Democrats use vague laws like Obamacare to create loopholes, push money into untouchable mandatory spending, and let unelected agencies issue costly rules—draining taxpayers by the billions.

So where does the money go?🤔

Spartz claims the money flows to hospital cartels and Democrat-linked groups in New York, funding illegal immigration programs, overseas projects, and tax-free profits for wealthy CEOs.

“It’s like an unlimited credit line,” she said. “There’s no limit. This isn’t normal spending — it’s beyond appropriations. Biden’s own rules let them overbill the federal government up to three times more than Medicare rates.”


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🤔 Coincidence? A wave of sudden collapses hits right-leaning figures

1️⃣ Portuguese right-wing politician and Chega party leader Andre Ventura collapsed while delivering a speech at a campaign rally on May 13, apparently as a result of suffering a sudden esophageal spasm.

2️⃣ On May 8, political commentator Camryn Kinsey fainted while taking part in the filming of a segment for Fox News.

3️⃣ And on May 6, Florida State Senator Ileana Garcia passed out while speaking at a press conference held by Governor Ron DeSantis.

What’s really going on?

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❗️ Germany and UK plan to develop a 2,000 km range weapon

As part of the bilateral defense pact signed last year, the two countries will jointly develop a deep precision weapon, Reuters reports.

Or maybe they're just jealous of the Russian Oreshnik?

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🇵🇸 Israel ends Gaza aid blockade

The Gaza Humanitarian Foundation has confirmed that Israel has agreed to resume aid deliveries after a two-month blockade.

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🚨 Protesters gather in front of the GNU PM's office

Footage from social media shows the crowd calling for Prime Minister Abdul Hamid al-Dbeibeh's resignation in Tripoli.

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❗️ Donald Trump will not travel to Istanbul for the Russia-Ukraine talks, Reuters reports, citing a US official.

Nevertheless, Steve Witkoff and Marco Rubio are expected to arrive in Istanbul on May 16.

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💬 Red Sea adventure depleted US stockpiles — Navy Secretary

After 1.5 years of fighting against the Houthis, the US Navy is engaging with the military industry to replenish its air defense munitions, US Secretary of the Navy John Phelan admitted in a written statement before Congress.

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🧑‍⚖️ Kangaroo court: Were Gaza warrants a FIG LEAF for ICC chief prosecutor’s sex scandal?

The International Criminal Court (ICC) has got mired in a sex scandal involving chief prosecutor Karim Khan — who issued arrest warrants for Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu and Yoav Gallant.

What's known so far?

🔺 Karim Khan, a British lawyer and the ICC’s chief prosecutor since 2021, allegedly forced his female assistant into non-consensual sex multiple times during missions to New York, Colombia, Congo, Chad, Paris, and at The Hague, per the Wall Street Journal.

🔺 The victim, a Malaysian lawyer in her 30s, stayed in the job fearing retaliation and the loss of a top post that helped cover her dying mother’s medical bills, according to her testimony.

🔺 She also worried that going public would undermine Khan’s investigation into Israeli war crimes in Gaza, which she viewed as vital.

🔺 She reported the abuse to ICC colleagues on April 29, 2024. Shortly after learning this, Khan announced he was seeking arrest warrants for Israel’s prime minister and defense minister.

🔺 On November 21, 2024, the ICC formally issued warrants for Netanyahu, Gallant, and a former Hamas commander over alleged war crimes in Gaza.

Questionable timing

🔺 Critics argue Khan’s arrest warrants were less about justice and more a smokescreen to deflect from his own sex scandal.

🔺 Seizing the moment, Israel urged the ICC to withdraw the warrants and suspend its broader war crimes probe, per The Times of Israel.

Khan’s move exposes ICC’s fragility

🔺 France and Germany, once staunch ICC backers, signaled they wouldn’t arrest Netanyahu.

🔺 Hungary refused to act on the warrant during Netanyahu’s visit and announced its exit from the ICC.

🔺 With no enforcement power and a scandal at its core, the ICC’s credibility and impartiality now face serious scrutiny.

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🔎🇭🇺 Is Hungary gearing up for something?

Two Ukrainian reconnaissance drones were shot down over northeastern Hungary, according to the Based Hungary account on X.

Also, Hungarian fighter jets were spotted near the Ukrainian border, the post reads.

This comes the day after Hungary’s PM Viktor Orban announced that a Ukrainian intelligence spy network had been uncovered in Budapest.

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🇾🇪💥Houthis ROCK Israel: HYPERSONIC missile strikes Ben Gurion Airport

"The missile successfully achieved its target, thanks to Allah, forcing millions of occupying Zionists to flee to shelters and halting air traffic at the airport for nearly an hour. This is the third missile attack in less than 24 hours," the Houthis stated.


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United Nations calls for immediate ceasefire in Tripoli

The United Nations Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) expressed "deep concern" Wednesday morning over escalating violence in densely populated residential areas of Tripoli for the second night in a row, warning that civilian lives are at risk.

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Trump arrives in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, as part of MidEast tour

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman welcomes the US president in the airport.

This is his first foreign trip after being elected president for the second time.

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❗️ Libya’s GNU PM addresses Tripoli clashes for the first time

Prime Minister Abdul Hamid al-Dbeibeh, leader of the Government of National Unity (GNU) based in Tripoli, has made his first comments following the recent clashes in the capital:

🌏 Commending the Security Forces: Al-Dbeibeh praised the Ministries of Defense and Interior for their efforts in ensuring security and reinforcing state authority amidst the unrest.

🌏 Confidence in State Institutions: He reaffirmed the capability of regular state institutions to safeguard the nation and protect the dignity of its citizens.

🌏 Condemnation of Irregular Armed Groups: The prime minister emphasized the urgent need to dismantle and eliminate irregular armed groups, asserting their actions threaten national stability.

🌏 Commitment to Rule of Law: Al-Dbeibeh stressed that Libya's future lies solely in the hands of state institutions, with the law serving as the only legitimate authority in the country.

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