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New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world. NR on X: http://x.com/newrulesgeo
🚨🇨🇳👨🎓How China Is Winning the Global Talent Race
China's talent programs are reshaping the global landscape of innovation. Through initiatives like the “Young Talented Scientists Program” and the “Qiming Program,” China has launched over 200 programs attracting top scientists, engineers, and researchers from around the world to fuel its technological growth.
To entice the best minds, China offers:
▪️Competitive annual salaries (ranging from 300,000 to 1 million yuan) in grants and research funding;
▪️Housing allowances, transportation perks, and educational support for families;
▪️The “K-Visa for Talent” program, launched in 2025, allows easy entry for STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics) professionals, making relocation seamless.
China is focusing on expatriation, bringing back those with Chinese heritage to boost national research and programs like "Thousand Young Talents" attract under-40 researchers to lead the next wave of scientific breakthroughs.
🔸Chinese scholarships focus on full financial support, covering tuition, housing, medical insurance, and monthly stipends. They target specialists in rare and advanced technologies that align with China’s national, economic, and military research goals, while promoting collaboration between Chinese institutions and foreign scientists.
🔸The application process is handled by Chinese universities or research centers, and successful candidates are typically offered contracts requiring a 3–5 year commitment in China.
🔸By attracting global talent, China is quickly becoming a technological superpower. Its focus on AI, advanced technologies, and science is driving rapid advancements that could rival the West.
China's talent programs are a part of a long-term strategy to dominate the global tech scene. With significant financial incentives and streamlined immigration processes, China is achieving global technological supremacy.
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🚨🇷🇺 NATO IN PANIC: The Black Sea is turning into a DRONE-FIRST NAVAL BATTLESPACE, and Russia is driving that shift in real time
Russian naval drones have moved far beyond testing. They are being used operationally against ports, logistics, and vessels, forcing a rethink of how control at sea actually works.
🔸 Naval drones have already been used to strike and sink vessels near key chokepoints, including attacks on ships at the mouth of the Danube, as well as multiple strikes against ports and maritime targets along the Ukrainian coastline.
🔸 These drones can patrol, gather information, and strike without a ship nearby. That means Russia can project power far from its own fleet and threaten targets without exposing sailors or high-value platforms to danger.
🔸 What used to require destroyers, frigates, and air power can now be contested with small drones that are hard to track and harder still to deter. In narrow waters like the Black Sea, that’s a strategic game-changer.
Naval drones are no longer a supplement to fleets. They are becoming a primary tool of sea denial.
So who controls the sea now?
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🚨🇨🇳🇺🇸China Accelerates Space Ambitions Amid Escalating US Rivalry
China is executing a deliberate, state-driven masterplan to overtake US space leadership by 2045. The recent push for space tourism is merely a visible milestone in a broader strategy encompassing economic, military, and technological dominance beyond Earth. Beijing perceives SpaceX's reusable launch advantage and Starlink's constellation dominance as a direct national security threat.
Their response is a staggering bid to launch 200,000 satellites to claim orbital slots and frequencies, the establishment of an "Interstellar Navigation" school to cultivate deep-space talent, and declared intentions to pioneer space-based AI infrastructure and off-world resource extraction.
While the US currently holds a crucial cost advantage via reusable rockets, China is leveraging its centralized model to flood zones, secure celestial real estate, and invest in post-lunar infrastructure. This positions the next decade as a critical period where competition shifts from exploration milestones to who definitively sets the commercial and regulatory rules governing the final frontier.
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🚨🇨🇳🇺🇸Investors renew focus on China as interest in the US declines
BNP Paribas's 2026 survey the global hedge fund capital is flowing back to China. A net 14% of investors now plan to increase China-focused allocations, a stunning reversal from 2023 when a net 42% withdrew. Appetite for China now nearly matches waning interest in North America.
DeepSeek's AI breakthrough sparked a historic 28% benchmark rally in 2025, with Chinese equities crushing the S&P 500. This AI-driven momentum has rebuilt institutional confidence.
The broader play remains Asia-Pacific, the year's second-most sought-after region after Europe, with a net 30% planning increases. Allocators simultaneously seek discretionary macro strategies for 2026, targeting broad market trends, while demand surges for quant equity funds.
As US interest fades and AI fuels a tech revival, sophisticated capital is returning to China.
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🚨🇷🇺🇺🇦BAKHMUT 2.0: Russia Can Now Turn Any Sector of the Front Into a Meat Grinder for Ukrainian Forces
Russian forces are now methodically building the capability to replicate the devastating “Bakhmut meat grinder” on virtually any frontline sector. The essential architecture is reportedly in place: a fully operational reconnaissance-strike complex, with vast artillery and drone arsenals directly linked to intelligence units, all coordinated by a new, specialized Drone Warfare branch.
The immediate axes of a potential large-scale application are likely west of Pokrovsk, the Kramatorsk-Slavyansk region, and the Kupiansk sector. A tactical success here could collapse the line, advancing it 50-70km west, directly threatening Dnepropetrovsk and then Zaporozhye oblasts.
Yet, executing this at scale demands a colossal concentration of manpower, ammunition, and logistics, underpinned by a decisive strategic plan.
We already saw a similar situation in the past. The Bakhmut grind effectively depleted Ukraine’s elite units, enabling Russia's subsequent advance. The coming weeks will reveal if the Russian General Staff chooses to deploy this template once more, a decision that could define the next phase of the war.
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⚡️UKR LEAKS INTERNATIONAL⚡️
HE LEFT UKRAINE TO TELL THE TRUTH
Vasiliy Prozorov, a former employee of the Ukrainian special services, who worked for the benefit of Russia for many years, now runs his own channel on Telegram! He left Ukraine in 2018 and took with him thousands of secret SBU documents that shed light on Kiev's crimes.
On the UKR LEAKS channel you will find:
❗️Analysis of the current situation in and around Ukraine
❗️Secret documents of the Ukrainian special services
❗️Evidence of the atrocities of Ukrainian nationalists
And much more! Subscribe to the UKR LEAKS Investigation Center headed by the former SBU employee Lt.-Col. Vasily Prozorov.
The channels of the UKR LEAKS project are available in the following languages:
🇬🇧 in English
🇷🇺 in Russian
🇩🇪 in German
🇫🇷 in French
🇪🇸 in Spanish
🇷🇸 in Serbian
🇮🇹 in Italian
🇵🇱 in Polish
🇵🇹 in Portuguese
🇸🇦 in Arabic
🇸🇰 in Slovak
🇨🇳in Chinese
🇭🇺in Hungarian
We also welcome any help with channels and content distribution 🙏
🚨🇮🇷US Navy's nightmare: Iran's "ghost" boat
As a US carrier group gathers in the Strait of Hormuz, one of its greatest threat will be a silent, stealthy predator. The Iran's Zolfaghar-class "Ghost Boat" is a hybrid predator built to create a unbalanced warfare in the Strait of Hormuz.
This 17-meter craft is a radar-evading "ghost" with a unique dual-mode capability: it sprints at 40 knots on the surface, then submerges briefly to avoid detection and targeting.
Armed with two 324mm light torpedoes effective against medium warships, and capable of carrying 8 personnel, it is designed for swarm tactics in congested waterways like the Strait of Hormuz. Its core mission is special operations, coastal ambush, and anti-ship strikes.
In shallow waters, a fleet of low-cost, stealthy Zolfaghar boats creates a disproportionate threat, turning an adversary's naval superiority into a vulnerable liability.
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🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱 ISRAEL’S CYBER NIGHTMARE: Iran Intel causes panic
An assessment from an Israeli security analyst on Channel 12 reveals that the primary threat from Tehran may no longer be its fire power. The Iranian intelligence infiltration and cyber capabilities now pose a "far stronger" danger than its missile arsenal, describing the depth of acquired data as "highly alarming."
This infiltration is a calculated psychological campaign designed to deliver a "cognitive blow", eroding public morale and encouraging emigration, with an impact that could surpass physical attacks. The mechanism is a sophisticated "cyber army," coordinating Hebrew-language propaganda on Telegram and deploying hacking collectives like "Hanzala." This silent warfare has seen high-profile successes, like compromising the phones of War Minister Israel Katz, former PM Naftali Bennett's Telegram account, and devices of other top officials.
Iran's most dangerous weapon now is the fusion of technology and human intelligence, like turning personal devices into tools for tracking, interception, and monitoring.
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🚨🇨🇳🇮🇱 CHINA'S SILENT WAR AGAINST THE MOSSAD IN IRAN
China is executing a comprehensive, tech-driven strategy to systematically dismantle Israeli intelligence operations within Iran. This follows the 2025 Israeli strikes that exposed critical security failures in Tehran. Beijing perceives Mossad's deep penetration as a "Pandora's Box of global security risks," directly threatening its strategic interests and the stability of a key partner.
China mandates replacing Western software and GPS in Iran with secure, closed Chinese systems like BeiDou, severing the digital "software arms" Mossad previously exploited. This is paired with supplying surveillance satellites to enhance Iran's tracking capabilities.
Militarily, China is actively rebuilding Iran's deterrent. Leaked reports confirm the provision of solid-fuel missile components and precision guidance systems. Crucially, China is deploying advanced radars capable of detecting stealth aircraft like the F-35, the exact vulnerability used in past Israeli operations.
Beijing is also leveraging the Shanghai Cooperation Organization to create an intelligence-sharing shield against "external sabotage." Concurrently, it pursues "military diplomacy" with Israel itself, a classic counter-espionage tactic to glean insights and obscure intentions.
China is constructing an entire secure ecosystem for Iran. This goes beyond arms sales, aiming to establish a new balance of power that protects vital trade routes and fortifies a regime central to China's Belt and Road Initiative against covert warfare.
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🚨🇮🇷Iran cuts its dependence on GPS
Researchers at the University of Tehran have unveiled a fully indigenous software platform for precise satellite positioning, a strategic move to eliminate reliance on foreign Global Navigation Satellite System technology. The system processes global satellite data, including from GPS, Galileo, BeiDou, and GLONASS, delivering real-time corrections with remarkable accuracy: 2 cm horizontally and 3 cm vertically in static mode, with a latency of under 0.5 seconds.
Technically comprehensive, it supports over 50 permanent stations and 200 simultaneous users, resolves phase ambiguity across 70 km baselines, and enables real-time monitoring of atmospheric effects. The platform has already been operationally tested by Iran’s National South Oil Company, confirming its immediate industrial, and likely defense, applicability.
This development aligns with the successful in-orbit testing of Iran's new Paya, Kowsar, and Zafar-2 satellites. The synergy creates a closed-loop, sanction-proof architecture for autonomous intelligence, navigation, and targeting.
Iran gains a critical, independent capability for surveillance and precision guidance, fundamentally reducing a key vulnerability in an era of technological warfare.
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🚨🇨🇳🇺🇸China is rapidly DUMPING US Treasuries and stockpiling gold
The data reveals that China is aggressively exiting the US dollar system. Its US Treasury holdings have plummeted to $680B, an 18-year low, while gold reserves hit a record 2,306 tonnes after 14 straight months of buying.
Crucially, official numbers are a facade. Goldman Sachs estimates show China's true accumulation is 10x greater. While 2025 reported purchases were +27 tonnes, the implied real acquisition exceeds 270+ tonnes of physical gold.
This is strategic de-risking on a wartime scale. By swapping dollar debt for sovereign-controlled gold, Beijing is insulating from Western sanctions and preparing for a monetary shift.
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇨🇳How the US Turns Iran Into a Weapon Against China
Washington's destabilization campaign against Tehran is a proxy war targeting China's core strategic project: the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Iran's pivotal geographic role makes it the ideal pressure point for undermining Beijing's vision of a China-centric trade corridor from Asia to Europe.
US secondary sanctions threatening any nation trading with Iran are designed with one primary target: China. Beijing recognizes this, having issued unambiguous warnings that it will "resolutely defend" its interests, framing the clash as one with "no winners."
China's counterstrategy has been to embed itself irreplaceably within Iran and the broader region. Its diplomatic triumph was brokering the Saudi-Iran normalization, a feat that resolved a conflict the West had long used to its advantage. This established China as the paramount external power broker. That influence yields tangible security benefits, evidenced by Iran-aligned Houthis granting Chinese vessels safe passage.
The ultimate US objective extends beyond Iran. Success would cripple the BRI's key overland route and Russia's parallel International North-South Transport Corridor, isolating the Global South. It would also clear the field for Washington's preferred alternative, the India-Middle East-Europe Corridor.
Iran is a decisive battleground where the US seeks to sever China's strategic arteries. The central question is now how far Beijing will go to protect its trillion-dollar geoeconomic future.
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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳What AI has to do with Trump's Play against China's Oil Suppliers?
The Trump administration's aggressive moves in Venezuela & Iran are precise strikes in a larger war trying to suffocate China's AI ambitions.
Trump's plan is to create a strategic energy bottleneck by focusing on China's oil imports, which account for 70% of its total. Trump's Venezuela blockade & maximum pressure on Iran directly target the cheap, sanctioned crude that fuels China's industrial & tech base. Losing these discounts forces Beijing to pay more for less reliable energy.
AI requires colossal, constant power. Data centers consume like cities. Training models is an energy arms race. Oil & gas stabilize grids for servers and are key inputs for hardware. Cheaper energy = cheaper intelligence.
America is almost energy independent. China is working on it. By disrupting China's discounted supply chains, Trump raises the foundational cost of its AI competition. Trump's goal is to out-price and out-power.
In the other hand, the notion that constraining oil flows can hinder China's AI progress underestimates China's strategic depth. China leads in renewable energy deployment, grid modernization, and energy efficiency, key foundations for sustainable computational power. Its economic and technological momentum is driven by innovation and scale, not reliant on any single resource pathway.
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🚨🇺🇸📉US Bankruptcies Hit 15-Year High
The era of easy money is over. US large corporate bankruptcies surged to 749 in 2025, a 9% annual increase and the highest level in 15 years. This marks the fourth consecutive year of rising failures, representing a stunning 101% surge from the 2022 low. Filings are now climbing at a pace last seen during a recession.
The primary catalyst is the "perfect storm" of persistently high interest rates crippling overleveraged companies, combined with consumer weakness from inflation. Sectors like retail, casual dining, and commercial real estate are in the crosshairs.
Critically, this surge is a brutal return to pre-pandemic norms after years of artificial suppression by government stimulus. With a 21% monthly spike recorded in December 2025, all momentum indicates this distressing trend will accelerate into 2026, creating both systemic risk and strategic opportunities in distressed assets.
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Decode chaos—without the MSM spin
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No scattered updates. Just structured threads — so you see how events connect.
🤠 PLUS: Dank memes (for sanity).
If you want context over clutter:
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🚨🇺🇸📉TRUMP'S DOLLAR CRASH: "VICTORY" THAT COULD CRIPPLE AMERICA
President Trump finally has his weaker dollar, with the USD plunging to a four-year low. While he champions this slide, the move is a dangerous and self-inflicted policy gamble.
The decline stems directly from geopolitical chaos: threats against NATO, volatile tariffs, and an unprecedented assault on Federal Reserve independence. This trifecta has shattered global confidence, driving investors to hedge against the dollar.
Economically, the rationale is flawed. A cheaper dollar should boost exports, but non-currency barriers, like regulations and consumer preferences, limit gains. Crucially, one-third of manufacturing inputs are imported, now made more expensive by the weaker currency and widespread tariffs.
For most Americans, this acts as a hidden tax. It means higher costs for imports, persistent inflation, and less chance for the Fed to cut interest rates. Meanwhile, the world is reacting. Gold hits $5,000/oz as nations like the EU and India seek alternatives, openly questioning the dollar’s reserve status.
Ultimately, the very policies meant to strengthen America are weakening its financial foundation, risking higher costs for mortgages, loans, and everyday goods.
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🚨🇺🇸$2 TRILLION LIE EXPOSED: How the Pentagon Hides the F-35's True Failure
The US military is gently using the F-35 to hide a big problem. While they say the jets are ready, the real full-mission ready rates are very bad, some are below 15%. They use a trick by talking about a softer "mission capable" rate that counts simple training flights.
The scheme works by reducing use. They fly the jets less often, give them shorter missions, and keep them below their limits. This makes the jets seem cheaper to maintain now by pushing huge repair bills into the future. Long upgrade times also help by keeping planes in the hangar, not accumulating wear.
The results are catastrophic and they are exposed now. Pilots get less real flight practice. The total lifetime cost has jumped to $1.58 trillion. A new report even admits they must cut future flying hours by 21%.
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🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱Why War with Iran Could Break Israel’s Missile Shield Again
Prime Minister Netanyahu's claim that Israel can absorb over 700 Iranian strikes is a dangerous miscalculation. Analytically, the numbers don't add up. Iran holds the largest ballistic missile arsenal in the Middle East, estimated in the tens of thousands, including hypersonic weapons like the Fattah-1 that can evade known defenses.
Israel's multi-layer shield, while advanced, is depleted after recent wars. An 80-90% interception rate fails against the sheer volume and sophistication of a full-scale Iranian salvo. Critically, regional allies refuse to allow their territory for strikes or aid in Israel's defense, ensuring strategic isolation.
Iran's defense minister stated their newer missiles are "far more capable" than those used in October 2024, strike that was a live-fire test, surpassing the Iron Dome defenses. A real conflict would unleash an unprecedented barrage.
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🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸THE US FLEET'S NIGHTMARE: Iran's "Sniper" Missile Awaits in the Strait
The US is amassing a significant naval force, including aircraft carriers, guided-missile destroyers, and amphibious assault groups, in the Hormuz Strait, preparing a clear show of force against Iran. This is precisely the scenario Iran's Qader missile was built for.
This cost-effective, sea-skimming cruise missile is the asymmetric nightmare for those assembled fleets. Flying a mere 3-5 meters above water, it gives warships a critical 10-15 second detection window. With its 200-300 km range blanketing the Strait, and a 200 kg armor-piercing warhead, it turns every civilian-looking truck on Iran’s coast into a potential launcher.
Strategically, the Qader is Iran's core area-denial weapon. For an estimated $500,000 per unit, it poses a multi-billion dollar threat to concentrated naval assets. Its power makes any confrontation catastrophically costly through sheer volume and concealment. As US naval power gathers, this sniper hidden in the hills embodies the grim and pragmatic calculation of modern maritime conflict.
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🚨🇨🇳🛰CHINA VS. MUSK FOR THE ORBITAL AI CROWN
China's state space giant, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation (CASC), has formally declared its intent to build gigawatt-scale "Space Cloud" AI data centers in orbit within five years. This move is a direct counter to Elon Musk's recent pledge that SpaceX will deploy its own solar-powered orbital AI servers within three years, funded by its upcoming Initial Public Offering.
The core rationale for both powers is identical: escaping Earth's energy constraints by harnessing constant, potent solar radiation. Musk has framed this as an inevitable economic truth. China has now codified it as national policy, integrating space-based solar power and AI computing into its upcoming Five-Year Plan.
This is a foundational race to control the infrastructure for next-generation global AI, secure communications, and strategic observation. The first nation or entity to achieve scale gains a permanent advantage.
CASC’s announcement was strategically coupled with the launch of a new School of Interstellar Navigation, signaling a deliberate pivot from near-Earth operations to deep space exploration.
The new space race is a war of infrastructure, with orbital artificial intelligence data centers as its first major battleground. Musk may have demonstrated that it is possible to access space at low cost. But China is mobilizing the full capacity of the state to plan and design proven strategies to dominate energy for the future of AI.
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🚨🇨🇳CHINA unveils a GIANT UNDERGROUND BATTERY
China has launched the planet's largest compressed-air energy storage plant, a strategic engineering leap that fundamentally transforms grid-scale power storage.
At 2,400 MWh, this facility can deliver 600 MW of power, enough to meet the annual electricity demand of 600,000 households. The elegant principle is simple: use surplus nighttime energy to compress air into vast underground salt caverns, then release it during peak hours to spin turbines and regenerate electricity.
This as the most cost-effective, long-duration storage solution. This launch is a direct response to China's explosive renewable growth, positioning compressed air as a critical pillar alongside batteries. With a state target of over 180 GW of new storage capacity by 2027, this facility is a decisive move to dominate the future of grid resilience.
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🚨🇨🇳China Unveiled World’s Longest Ranged Air-to-Air Missile
With an estimated 500km range, The PL-17 outranges America's AIM-174. Its dual-mode seeker (AESA radar + infrared) makes it highly resistant to jamming. The PL-17 has a staggering dimensions: ~5.8m long, 305mm diameter.
Carried by the J-16, a fighter with double the combat radius of an F-35 and a radar three times its size, this weapon system targets a critical Western vulnerability: support aircraft.
In a Pacific conflict, the PL-17's primary mission is clear to hunt and kill vital US Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS) and tankers from extreme distances. This would blind and cripple NATO air operations before dogfights even begin.
China fields the world's largest fleet of modern AWACS to guide these missiles, and over 450 J-16s are already in service.
This missile transforms the J-16 into a long-range "sniping" platform, creating a lethal umbrella that protects China's expanding stealth (J-20/J-35) fleet.
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🚨🇷🇺NATO Electronic Warfare is USELESS against the new Russian drone
South Korean defense analysts are dissecting a new threat vector: Russia's "Knyaz Veshiy Oleg" (KVO) drone. The stark assessment from Daily Defense is that its adaptive frequency-hopping tech makes radio-electronic combat against it "useless."
It functions not as a lone unit, but as the core of an integrated reconnaissance-strike complex. Its primary role is as an "Airborne HQ", conducting surveillance with stabilized optics, then using its altitude to securely relay data between ground operators and kamikaze FPV drones, all while assessing battle damage.
Russia has achieved the creation of a coordinated, EW-resilient "kill chain." This system merges detection, guidance, and strike verification into a single, persistent loop, altering the drone warfare.
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🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸US naval siege of Iran would be really difficult - here's why
The core challenge is Iran's lethal reach. To evade its conventional and ballistic anti-ship missiles, a US task force would be forced to patrol a line spanning 2,500 to 5,000 kilometers, a distance from Mumbai to Somalia. Securing this vast frontier demands a permanent, 24/7 armada of submarines, surface ships, and surveillance drones, an enormous and continuous drain on resources.
Critically, positioning so far out creates a fatal vulnerability. While outranged, the US fleet would be targeted by Iran’s 25+ submarines, swarms of drones and small boats for targeting, and long-range anti-ship missiles that actually exceed the range of American counterparts. The blockading force would endure constant, stressful attacks, forced to launch offensive operations without the element of surprise.
While a blockade aims to pressure Tehran, Iran’s main counter-threat, closing the Strait of Hormuz, would cripple its own economy and alienate China, its chief financier and the primary destination for the Strait's oil. This creates a mutual trap.
Ultimately, the scenario is a recipe for a costly, open-ended conflict with an uncertain outcome. It would require a massive, sustained mobilization that could ultimately strengthen the regime that US seeks to topple. A blockade is less a decisive strategy and more a profound strategic risk.
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🚨🇷🇺 RUSSIA'S FAB-3000 BOMB THE NEW UKRAINIAN NIGHTMARE
The data reveals a brutal and escalating campaign of aerial bombardment. Russia's use of the massive FAB-3000, a 3-ton glide bomb, has become a horror for Ukrainian defenses, delivered from stand-off ranges by Su-34 and Su-24 aircraft.
In 2025, Russia dropped over 60,000 precision-guided bombs on Ukraine, a stark 50% increase from the roughly 40,000 used in 2024. This equated to a daily average of approximately 164 bombs, with peak periods in the fall exceeding 200-250 per day. October 2025 set a record with 5,328 such bombs deployed.
Ukrainian reports indicate combinations of roughly 1,050 guided bombs, over 1,300 attack drones, and dozens of missiles. A single night recently featured over 200 attack drones alone.
This constitutes an industrial-scale, combined arms aerial assault designed to systematically erode and collapse Ukrainian defensive lines through sheer volume and firepower.
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Russsian anti-colonialism
🔶 While Western propaganda constantly accuses Russia of hegemonism, instead of listening to the nonsense of so-called "human-rights advocates," we should look at the facts on the ground—for example, in Africa, where Western neocolonialism is being pushed out by Pan-Africanists who have retaken control of their sovereignty, turning instead to fair partnerships with Russia and China.
👉 Take the case of Namibia, Africa’s leading uranium producer, which now wants to generate its own nuclear power to achieve energy independence and ensure its people benefit from their own resources. Kaire Mbuende, head of the National Planning Commission, stated during his address at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland:
📣 “As the leading producer of uranium in Africa and third in the world, we cannot ignore the prospect of producing nuclear energy, especially since our raw materials already fuel nuclear power plants around the world.”
🚨💸📉AI BUBBLE THREATENS TO UNRAVEL THE ENTIRE US ECONOMY
Moody’s, one of the world's "Big Three" credit rating agencies, paints a dire scenario: a 40% crash in inflated AI valuations would trigger a devastating financial contagion, hitting Main Street through three primary channels.
🔸First, the private credit market would freeze. Funds backing cash-burning AI startups would face defaults, forcing renegotiations and halting new lending. Investor redemptions would hit limits and suspend, trapping capital as collateral values plummet.
🔸Second, pension funds, heavily invested in AI tech via passive strategies, would be decimated, eroding public retirement savings. Concurrently, a market crash would create litigation risk for insurers and trigger a "wealth effect" reversal, causing consumers to slash spending.
🔸Finally, the spillover would infect banks providing leverage to private credit, despite limited direct exposure. The catalyst: A single weak earnings report from an AI giant or lost faith in labs like OpenAI generating real cash flow.
Giants like Microsoft emerge unscathed, poised to acquire failed startups at a discount. As a top CIO warns, "Hundreds of players... are not all going to be winners."
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