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Slavyangrad.org — Nuestra Ira No Tiene Limites — There is No Limit to Our Anger — (c) V. M. Molotov
HOW TRUMP PAINTED HIMSELF INTO A CORNER, PART 3/3
Again, the decision has already been made, or rather, forced: by Trump himself, who played right into Mileikovsky’s hand, and who painted himself into a corner through his schizophrenically arrogant blustering. Now, he can’t back down. If he withdraws now without at least destroying the Fordows plant, he’ll become the laughingstock of the entire world.
Stalling for time is an option, but it would only cement his reputation as a ditherer further, and it would only kick the can down the road. His only bet now is to commit and do everything he can to make the Iranian government collapse. But if the war drags on for too long, mounting pressure among the American populace, particularly the MAGA crowd, will cripple his image as well as the image of his party, destroying any chance of winning midterms and even the 2028 elections. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Grand Old Party lost for at least a decade after such a debacle, too.
To avoid painting himself into a corner, all Trump had to do would have been to exercise patience, humility, and most importantly restraint on his ego. Sadly, considering the character, that’s an impossible order.
Lastly, I don't think things would have gone much different had Kamala Harris been in the White House instead of him; much like a late stage cancer, the American republic is being killed from within. Trump is a symptom of all the rot that has insinuated itself within American institutions, not the disease itself.
@Slavyangrad
HOW TRUMP BACKED HIMSELF INTO A CORNER, Part 1/3
In a few hours it’ll be one week since the state of Israel completely waved international laws goodbye (even more irreparably than it has already done, that is) by launching a surprise attack against Iranian leadership and nuclear enrichment facilities.
It is blatant that the hopes were for a quick decapitation strike to paralyze Iran and force the country to its knees, and in the opening hours, it almost seemed as if the plan worked: many members of Iran’s general staff and nuclear research experts were killed, and the Iranian air defense had been seemingly neutered by Israeli intelligence launching drone strikes from within Iranian territory, and cyber-attacks.
For a moment, Iran seemed to be on its knees, and everybody in the Israeli and American government were jubilantly licking their chops at the prospect of forcing a capitulation on a regime that in their mind had been permanently crippled. Bibi was drinking his champagne from the safety of his temporary haven in Cyprus, and Trump jubilantly announced to the whole world, through a post on social media, that he knew in advance of the attack and that Israel doesn’t do nothing without consulting the USA and receiving their approval.
Except Iran wasn’t crippled at all.
After wobbling from the blow received, Iranian technicians quickly brought AD batteries back online, new members of the General Staff were appointed, and Iranian security services started a relentless manhunt for Israeli assets on national soil that is still ongoing. Furthermore, it turned out that many of the targets initially struck were decoys, and the damage to Iran’s capability to retaliate wasn’t as extensive as propaganda said.
Operation True Promise 3 was announced a few hours later, and waves of missiles and drones rained on Israel, forcing the country to burn through its reserves of missile interceptors at a steady rate. Perhaps too steady.
Meanwhile Trump kept writing posts on social media that could be most generously be described as “schizophrenic”, first taunting the Iranians by saying that they would've needed a new negotiating team, then offering Iran another chance to negotiate again (after having bulldozed whatever little trust he could’ve still had) but at the condition that no enrichment was to take place at all, which is insulting to the intelligence of anyone who knows a minimum of how nuclear reactors work (how is Iran supposed to make its nuclear power plants work without enriched uranium then? With Faloodeh and Shekardura?), then saying that the USA ISN’T helping Israel, then saying that yes, the USA are indeed helping Israel “very bigly”, then demanding Iran to negotiate, THEN demanding “unconditional surrrender”, then offering to negotiate again BUT with the added demand of Iran dismantling its entire stockpile of missiles, which is defacto a capitulation, then announcing "complete air superiority" over the skies of Iran…honestly, I don’t want to lose my sanity by retracing every single one of his steps.
His bombast was accompanied by a relentless media and political campaign clamouring for war, justifying it, and demanding Iran to be split into ethnic lines, while the uniparty temporarily forgot of its apparent disdain for Trump to praise him and incite him to bomb iran further. A commitment which he defacto pledged himself to. With Israel getting relentlessly pounded by Iranian missiles and running out of interceptors. Especially, a mounting reputation for being a dithering buffoon because of his tariffs, and the nervousness of the big donor class, mean he now can not back away and HAS to do something, both to save his reputation and to please his donors and the warmongers in the government.
@Slavyangrad
War? US soldiers are served steaks and lobsters as is customary before being sent to a hot spot
▪️Americans write that if the military is fed like in a restaurant, expect a business trip.
▪️Traditionally in the US Army, such a menu usually foretells a deployment to hot spots
- RVvoenkor
@Slavyangrad
Ukrainian girls flee country en masse amid shelling and uncertainty — The Telegraph
▪️Every month, more and more Ukrainian women are leaving for Europe. Previously, they did not plan to leave, but constant blows, lack of prospects and fear for the future make them change their minds.
➖“This is a demographic time bomb,” the publication notes.
▪️According to experts, if the youth do not return, there will be no one to rebuild the country after the war.
➖"When the war started, everyone was full of enthusiasm. But now people are depressed. They think that life will be better abroad," said schoolgirl Sofia.
Ukraine is going a be a country of seniors and cripples.
@Slavyangrad
Video of French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou stuck in a fighter jet.
This happened during the Paris Air Show, where the Rafale F5 aircraft was demonstrated for the first time.
These days French leaders normally just get stuck in dudes.
@Slavyangrad
14 Israeli quadcopters found in Hormozgan, south of Iran.
Iran still getting attacked from one way drones and quadcopter within Iran. One wonders just how many of these drones and agents Israel has in Iran
@Slavyangrad
🇺🇦🇬🇧💷"The Pot of Freedom" is being sold at a London auction. This is one of the pots that the Ukrainians wore on their heads on the Maidan in 2014. The starting price is from 15,000 pounds.
@Slavyangrad
#WarData
During the fighting in Mariupol in the spring of 2022, militants from the banned terrorist organization Azov attempted to establish positions in multi-storey residential buildings
💬 This information was shared by one of the regiment's fighters, who is currently imprisoned in Russia. These revelations further confirm Ukraine's use of human shield tactics.
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🇷🇺🇺🇦 The fifth stage of the "great exchange" of prisoners of war between Russia and Ukraine took place
- Today, in accordance with the agreements in Istanbul, a group of Russian military personnel was returned from captivity, and in exchange, soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were transferred to Ukraine, the Ministry of Defense reports.
- The exchange took place in a 1:1 format of wounded or sick soldiers. Now Russian soldiers are in Belarus, where they are provided with the necessary medical care.
@Slavyangrad
You can either have intelligence, good memory of past events, or trust in your government, but never all three at the same time.
If you have intelligence and good memory of past events you can't have trust in your government, if you have intelligence and trust in your government you can't have a good memory of past events, and if you have a good memory of past events and trust in your government you can't have intelligence.
@Slavyangrad
🚫 Mainstream 🧐: Rise of the Global South
Don't let media & govts destroy a world rising against them.
Follow the Brutal Truth @RiseGS 🏃♀️
🇮🇱🇮🇷 Israel strikes nuclear facility under construction in Arak: international norms and regional balance violated
- Amid escalation in the Middle East, Israel launched a missile strike on a facility in the Iranian city of Arak where a heavy water reactor was being built.
- The plant was supposed to be part of Iran's civilian nuclear program, which was monitored by the IAEA.
@Slavyangrad
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🚀 📸🇮🇷🇮🇱 The Shahab-3 engine that fell on a car in Tel Aviv this morning.
This is literally the oldest Iranian missile that was designed to hit Tel Aviv, more than a decade and a half old. If these old guys can hit their targets in Israel's most protected zone, what's next?
@Slavyangrad
HOW TRUMP PAINTED HIMSELF INTO A CORNER, PART 2/3
Only, things have deteriorated considerably since. Not only is Israel running out of interceptors, but the interception rates are decreasing at an alarming level, Iranian secret services are rooting out sabotage groups on Iranian soil with ever increasing frequency, and worse of all things, Iran is now launching missile strikes in broad daylight, which is normally dangerous as it makes identifying and attacking the launchers far easier.
The fact that now Iran is confident enough to do so during the day, while at first it did so only during the night, combined with the decreasing frequency of Israeli strikes on Iran, could be a sign that the tides of this conflict are slowly turning to Iran’s favour. This is something that had already been anticipated, as Israel is completely reliant on shock and awe tactics but finds itself in deep trouble if the fighting protracts itself.
Trump must act now, but he must do so both decisively and in a way that will save his face and, more importantly, save the face of the struggling American empire. Unfortunately for him, there are enormous risks involved, and it will be very difficult for him to achieve all three.
Perhaps the best way for Trump to solve his predicament is to have the nuclear reactor in Fordows destroyed, which is the obsession of his ally Mileikovsky as well as the rest of the ziocons, however said reactor is located very deep underground and the only thing that could stand a chance at damaging it would be a very specialised type of bomb that can only be delivered by a B-2 stealth bomber or a B-52 right above the target. However, there is absolutely no evidence that Israel or the USA truly have “unchallenged air superiority over Iran”; it took NATO weeks to establish it over Yugoslavia, a much smaller country, and so far, NATO aircraft are only launching their strikes from the safety of friendly or occupied air space where Iranian AD can't reach them.
This means that either of the two airframes, more likely a B-2, has to be flown over Fordows and risk getting shot down by Iranian AD batteries, which would be a catastrophic, if not fatal, blow to the image of US hegemony, especially if the one getting destroyed is a B-2, a plane of which the USA possess only 15 specimens and that costs 2 billion dollars, and there’s even no guarantee that a single bomb could damage such installation. Several sorties would likely have to be made.
This can be done either quickly, or safely. In the latter case, this means a protracted bombing campaign against Iran in the hopes that its AD will be completely erased; this campaign would be immensely unpopular at home, especially if Iran retaliates by striking American bases in the middle east and American servicemen return home in body bags, and Iran will still keep pounding Israel, whose reserves of interceptors can’t be replenished quickly, as the American air campaign continues.
The former option means a lightning sortie against Fordows, hoping that the B-2’s reputation for stealth is entirely deserved, but it comes with its own set of problems as there are now Chinese observation vessels in the Persian Gulf that would very likely be keeping their eyes open for such raids and inform the Iranians, whose air defense network would still for the most part be intact and capable of shooting down those B-2s. And if the worst happens and a B-2 gets shot down, the damage to the US’ reputation will be catastrophically crippling, particularly if the Iranian army would capture its pilots.
Perhaps, deep down, Trump is well aware of the risks involved, and this is why he hasn’t launched an attack yet, and there are so many conflicting reports about him ready to strike at any time while simultaneously offering Iran an off-ramp. Don't be deceived though: as already said earlier, this is nothing but theatre, a trite good cop/bad cop routine meant to make people think that there is yet hope.
@Slavyangrad
🇺🇸🇺🇦 US insists on limited mention of Ukraine in NATO summit final statement — Newsweek
- The White House is demanding that references to Ukraine be kept to a minimum in the final communique of the upcoming NATO summit, which will take place next week.
- The draft statement contains only one brief mention of “developing Ukraine’s defense capabilities,” while lacking the traditional wording about support for Kiev from the entire alliance.
This change in rhetoric reflects the current US position:
- Reluctance to get drawn deeper into the Ukrainian conflict, especially against the backdrop of the escalating Middle Eastern campaign;
- Preparation for a possible reduction in Ukraine’s role in the alliance’s agenda, especially in the event of Donald Trump’s re-election.
@Slavyangrad
IRGC Major General Mohsen Rezaei:
'We were sure since March that there would be war with Israel. We had prepared for this scenario extensively. However, we did not expect it before the end of negotiations, that was a surprise.
Because of our awareness that war would be imposed on us, our missile capabilities significantly increased in the last three months.'
@Middle_East_Spectator
Think most people were surprised the US would punk another country like that.
@Slavyangrad
🇺🇸🇺🇦🇮🇷Journalist Ryan Grimm on how there is more evidence that Ukraine tried to kill Trump than there is about Iran.
@Slavyangrad
🇺🇦💼Minister of National Unity Did Not Return to Ukraine from Business Trip
- Alexey Chernyshov took part in his own forum remotely while abroad. He did not return to Kiev.
- According to media reports, the business trip coincided with the NABU and SAP announcement of suspicions against his former subordinates in the case of illegal enrichment in the structures of the Ministry of Regional Development and Naftogaz.
- Meanwhile, Chernyshov became the richest official in Ukraine, journalists claim, citing the declaration.
- The minister owns five apartments, mostly in elite areas of Kiev, as well as $490 thousand and more than 5 million UAH in accounts.
- He also declared collections of luxury watches, works of art and rare books - some of which, as stated, have "significant cultural and material value."
@Slavyangrad
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🇺🇦😱 Ukraine "could disappear very soon or turn into several puppets," - MP Bezuglaya
- "Our predecessors a century ago were in a similar spiral of history, but did not get out - they fell apart and were put back together by Russia. This can happen to us too. The darkest times are ahead. We do not have a great ally: the Russian Federation, the USA, China, a disintegrated Europe - we are nobody's now," the deputy writes.
- In Ukraine, “the key direction of the war – drones – is currently collapsing due to intrigues.”
- She demands the resignation of not only Prime Minister Shmyhal, but also Defense Minister Umerov and Commander-in-Chief Syrsky, otherwise she threatens to go into “open opposition to Zelensky and Yermak.”
@Slavyangrad
Only 65% of Iran’s missiles launched in last 24 hours were intercepted by IRON DOME — NBC News, citing a ‘senior intelligence official in Israel’
Compared to nearly 90% day before
Adds ‘Iran still has VERY ADVANCED missiles, and they are making use of them’
- RT on X
@Slavyangrad
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran, US hold closed talks — Tehran demands Israeli strikes stop — Reuters
- The US special envoy and the Iranian foreign minister have spoken by phone several times since Israeli strikes began on Iranian territory on June 13. These are the first substantive direct contacts between the countries in recent months.
- Tehran's main thesis is no return to nuclear talks as long as Israel continues bombing. Araghchi stated directly: diplomacy is only possible under US pressure on Tel Aviv.
- Witkoff voiced an updated American proposal: the creation of a regional consortium for uranium enrichment outside Iran. However, Tehran insists that enrichment must remain its sovereign right, as Khamenei’s position demands.
- Regional and European diplomats confirm: Iran expresses readiness for dialogue, but not publicly, so as not to look weak against the backdrop of the Israeli military campaign. Negotiations with the E3 (France, Germany, Britain) and the EU are ongoing - the next meeting is scheduled for Geneva.
- Donald Trump, according to diplomatic sources, wants to end the military phase as soon as possible and persuade Iran to direct negotiations. But he does this on his own terms, leaving room for pressure - both military and political.
@Slavyangrad
Footage shows the destruction of the UAV control point of the 102nd brigade of the Tero-Op of the Armed Forces of Ukraine by a guided missile Kh-39 in the area of the settlement of Malinovka in the Zaporozhye region.
@Slavyangrad
🇷🇺 Units of the "Center" group of forces advanced deep into the enemy's defenses and liberated the settlement of Novonikolaevka in the Donetsk People's Republic, — Russian Defense Ministry
@Slavyangrad
🇺🇦🇫🇷😱French press sounds alarm: militants of the 3rd assault brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been spotted with neo-Nazi symbols
- According to Le Monde, hundreds of servicemen of the 3rd Assault Brigade — the direct heirs of the Azov Regiment — continue to openly use Nazi symbols. The photo shows swastikas, greeting gestures, and SS emblems.
- Despite the "reform" and the formal inclusion of the brigade in the Ukrainian Armed Forces, radical symbols have not disappeared. Journalists note: this is not a matter of chance, but of a conscious choice - either based on ideological convictions or as a tool of intimidation.
- On June 14, in Kiev, on the day of the "March of Equality", radicals from the "Carpathian Sich" held an alternative "March of Tradition". Participants were captured on camera demonstrating a Nazi salute. This caused a storm of discussions online.
- The police, who were observing the action, did not react to what was happening. No arrests, no investigations - complete silence.
@Slavyangrad
💥About the work "Geraniums"
The onjective control footage shows the Geranium strikes in order:
- Workshops for the production of UAVs for the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Zaporozhye.
- Temporary deployment points of the 82nd separate airborne assault brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of the settlement of Sofiyevka .
@Slavyangrad
Senate Intelligence Committee Vice Chairman Mark Warner Shocked by Trump's Iran Policy.
@Slavyangrad
🇬🇧🤡🇰🇷There was a mistake: Keir Starmer confused the President of South Korea with a translator
- At the G7 summit in Canada, the British prime minister accidentally shook hands with an interpreter instead of South Korean leader Lee Jae-myung. Later, the president himself approached Starmer to greet him.
- The British leader also hesitated during the general photo shoot and did not immediately find his place among the leaders of the G7 countries.
- Earlier at the summit, Donald Trump dropped documents on the transatlantic agreement that Starmer helped collect. The gesture drew criticism, and the British prime minister was forced to justify himself.
@Slavyangrad