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Slavyangrad.org — Nuestra Ira No Tiene Limites — There is No Limit to Our Anger — (c) V. M. Molotov
—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 WATCH: An Iranian missile hits very close to the person video taping
@Middle_East_Spectator
AMERICA AT A CROSSROAD, PART 2/2 — Part 1 Here
The vast majority if not all chances of a settlement have been blown out of the window now; Israel shows no signs of wanting to back down, which makes all of Washington's attempts at "mediation" largely pointless, and that's without considering Trump's open duplicitousness. The Iranian parliament, for its part, is going to hold a vote tomorrow on whether or not they should leave the NPT, which would allow them to fully build nukes - something Israel definitely does not want.
There can be no middle road here: either an attempt is made to fully bring Iran under heel, resulting in a strategic defeat of Iran, or Iran will leave the NPT and start working towards construction of a nuclear bomb.
Goes without saying, there are a lot of ziocons in Washington who are biting their lips, unzipping their pants, and preparing lots of kleenex boxes at the prospect of bombing some more brown people, especially if they're as hated as the Iranians.
There are, however, three main problems.
The first, is that the USA have already tried to bring the Houthis - an opponent with maybe one tenth of Iran's industrial and military capabilities - under heel, and ran away from the Red Sea with their tails between their legs, after having spent billions and almost risked one of their carriers getting struck by a missile without having accomplished anything of note beyond bombing civilians.
The second, is that engaging in a conflict with Iran will result in an enormous consumption of ordnance, which combined with the sorry state of American and NATO military industries, in turn means delaying the US' plans for rearmament for a full conventional war, as well as the end of all military aid to Kiev, since it is readily apparent that the USA and the West can't even fully support one proxy right now, let alone two. In case China gets in the mood of invading Taiwan, the situation will become even more critical.
The third, is that neither Pakistan nor China nor Russia will just sit by and thwiddle their thumbs as Iran - the lynchpin of the Middle East - gets attacked. Russia doesn't want Iran to collapse because it'd expose an enormous weakness on its southern front, China doesn't want Iran to collapse because it needs Iran's hydrocarbons and has invested far too much in infrastructure projects, and Pakistan doesn't want Iran to collapse because a zionist puppet would mean being caught between a rock and a hard place, with India already occupying one of their flanks.
The choice will have to be made in Washington soon, and after that, anything can happen without possibility of going back.
@Slavyangrad
Slovakia wants to postpone consideration of the issue of new sanctions against Russia.
On Wednesday, there is a meeting of EU foreign ministers who are supposed to discuss the next package of sanctions against Russia. I asked the foreign minister to formally ask for the discussion of these sanctions to be postponed,
—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 WATCH: A direct impact in Haifa from earlier
@Middle_East_Spectator
Reuters: China has made no commitment to export key magnets for US defense needs.
China has not committed to issuing export permits for a range of specialized rare earth magnets that are strategically important to the U.S. defense industry, including fighter jets and missile systems,
Major destruction in several buildings in occupied Haifa
@Slavyangrad
—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 Initial reports of an entire collapsed building in Haifa
@Middle_East_Spectator
—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: Missiles struck Nevatim airbase, from where Israel strikes the Gaza Strip daily
@Middle_East_Spectator
Zelensky continues to ask for increased sanctions against Russia:
The desire to conquer and destroy us has not gone away. I am absolutely sure: this is his doctrine. He really wants Ukraine - but the way he sees it with his own eyes. Certainly not the way we see it - a free, independent, European country. And that is why Trump can stop him. But for this, Putin must lose money. That is the only way. By losing money, he will not be able to build up the army and increase military spending. Then he will start having internal problems. And for this, sanctions must be introduced.
@Slavyangrad
Missile fall on military airport in Rehovot
@Slavyangrad
The US military is operating in the air, on land and at sea to shoot down Iranian missiles fired at Israel in response to its attacks on Iran’s nuclear program and military leadership, tilting DC toward more direct involvement in the widening conflict.
Iran has fired about 200 ballistic missiles in four barrages and more than 200 drones toward Israeli territory so far in response to multiple waves of Israeli strikes, an Israeli military official said. Before the retaliatory strikes even began, US jet fighters, destroyers and ground-based AD systems had positioned to help counter any attack, according to US officials.
The US played a central role in defending Israel from Iranian attacks last year, when the Biden admin assembled forces to contain Iran’s attacks as the longtime foes traded blows on 2 occasions. These penetrated Israel’s antimissile defenses, raising fears that another attack could inflict serious damage, particularly if it targeted civilian areas.
@Slavyangrad
—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 Visual confirmation: The Weizmann Institute, Israel's most prominent scientific center affiliated with the IDF, was completely destroyed in yesterday's Iranian missile attack on Rehovot
@Middle_East_Spectator
The “Augean Stables…”
The entire world is the Augean stables… and there is no Heracles in sight.
Even King Augeas is missing in action.
And there are no horses either. Just the stables, rotten, dirty, smelly stables.
The world we pass on to our children…
I am starting to understand Yeats. I never did before—the centre “not holding” seemed very much to be just a grandiose metaphor, but it feels very real now.
Г😏Б
AMERICA AT A CROSSROAD, Part 1/2 — Part 2 Here
As expected, Israel's opening gambit didn't go exactly according to plan.
In all likelihood, Netanyahu and the ziocon Deep State convinced Trump that a shock-and-awe decapitation strike would have inflicted a decisive blow on Iran and broken the back of the Persian Lion, making it accept Washington's diktats. However, as it often happens to the ziocons' plans, expectations and reality don't go hand in hand.
Israel's opener was a classic overwhelming first strike, followed by a quick series of attacks meant to cripple the enemy's potential to defend itself and give the attacker complete carte blanche. This plan hinged on a critical factor: Iran sitting by idly and doing nothing for years. This was definitely not the case.
Most of the strategic assets have been moved underground, at great depths, where Israeli strikes cannot reach them. Many of the AD batteries that Israeli media gleefully reported as "destroyed" turned out to be decoys.
So, while Israel burns through much of its materiel in the opening gambit, hoping it will be enough to close the match on its onset, Iran seems intent on playing the long game, sitting on a stockpile of missiles and suicide drones estimated at the very least in the thousands. The result of this disparity is evident: Iran has the luxury of deciding whether or not to escalate, while Israeli leadership can only do that.
Today's attacks against Iran have been carried out mostly through suicide drones, car bombings, and sabotage, with Israeli missile strikes having already reduced in frequency.
If this is an indication of Israel's limited options, it does not bode well for the country's ability to sustain a prolonged war with Iran. The geographical difference alone is staggering: Iran's territory is infinitely vaster than Israel, with dispersed strategic installations and plentiful mountains that offer concealment and shelter. Israel, a much tinier country, has all of its installations, roads, and cities far more clumped together. This is combined with Iran having disseminated a lot of decoy installations all over its territory.
In contrast to the expected result of a quick decapitating strike, Iranian forces have tanked the blow quite well, quickly replacing the slain commanders with new ones, and are giving Israel a tit-for-tat response by launching missiles at the same type of targets that Israel is attacking in turn. The difference here, as the Iranian leadership itself says, is that they're using almost exclusively their old equipment, with the odd modern hypersonic missile or two.
It is evident that Iran can afford playing this game of feint-parry-reposte far longer than Israel, thanks to its immense supply of missiles. For how long, it's hard to say. Weeks at the minimum, maybe months. Not only that, Iran now controls the escalation game, as at any time it could decide to either increase its attacks, or unleash the newest missiles they have available.
Israel, meanwhile, may soon find itself running out of options, especially since the same covert op tricks become increasingly more difficult to pull off the more they are used. Of course, there is also the possibility of using a nuclear warhead, but this comes with its own set of problems as it'd make Israel even more of a world pariah state, and it would also be a defacto admission of having them, something that by official policy they still deny. And due to how nuclear strikes work, Israel would have to use most if not all of them, out of the desperate hope that there won't be anybody left in Iran capable of carpet bombing them with all their missiles at once, which would be the equivalent of a nuclear strike due to how tight Israeli cities and settlements are located on the map.
Enter Washington.
Part 2 Here
@Slavyangrad
Israel’s National Security Council head Tzachi Negev on the Reuters story that Trump blocked an Israeli assassination attempt against Khamenei: “A pike from the land of pikemen”—a Hebrew expression meaning completely made up or utter nonsense.
@Slavyangrad
The Volunteer Corps publishes footage of the destruction of a UAV control center and an ammunition depot of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kramatorsk-Druzhkivske direction.
@Slavyangrad
—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 BREAKING: An Iranian missile impacted Ben Gurion Airport, Tel Aviv
@Middle_East_Spectator
—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 Haifa following the Iranian ballistic missile strike
@Middle_East_Spectator
CONFIRMED: Impacts somewhere in southern Israel
@Slavyangrad
⚡⚡⚡🇮🇷🇵🇸 Interesting features of Iranian missiles recorded.
@medmannews
Flames and smoke are rising from Haifa.
@Slavyangrad
IRAN'S ARMED FORCES WARN ISRAELIS TO LEAVE THE VICINITY OF 'VITAL AREAS' IN VIDEO STATEMENT - STATE TV
@Slavyangrad
Professor Diesen: Trump could help broker a ceasefire between Iran and Israel.
I hope this time Trump is sincere and can ensure a ceasefire,