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📝No longer a bargain?📝
On Russian "black gold" purchases in China
Russian oil no longer goes to the Chinese at a significant discount. At first glance, that's exactly the message from a recent Bloomberg article — it says that the Chinese are buying Russian ESPO grade with a high premium of $10-12. In reality, though, as always, there are nuances.
The article mainly discusses independent oil refineries in China — they are the ones being offered to buy oil at such a high markup. In reality, these enterprises have never been the main buyers of Russian resources. Large companies have always led, such as CNPC, CNOOC, Sinopec.
📌It is precisely the activity of the latter company that is behind such a price. Sinopec actively purchased ESPO grade for deliveries in July–September. Back then, by the way, the company bought oil at a much lower price: September shipments traded at a discount of $1–2. This activity continued within October deliveries, which raised prices for independent refineries.
The latter are indeed willing to pay such money — after all, Iranian oil, which they specialized in, has become significantly scarcer. And the fact that China lifted restrictions on fuel exports also affects the pace of purchases. Now refining oil is becoming profitable again, which means buying it at such prices is possible.
🖍However, the fact that the Chinese overall buy Russian oil at a discount hasn't gone anywhere. Even in summer, when demand was already picking up, Russian oil remained cheaper than Middle Eastern competitors.
❗️It turns out that for sustainable sales of ESPO at a large premium, Russia needs external shocks that deprive China of its usual suppliers. Therefore, as soon as Middle Eastern routes stabilize, Chinese buyers will almost certainly demand a significant discount again.
#China #Russia
🏮@rybar_pacific — your ticket to Pacific chaos
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📝Base on Pause📝
Fragile hopes for Port Sudan
A major project within Russia's military presence in Sudan was supposed to be the naval base "Flamingo" near Port Sudan, located on the Red Sea coast. However, its "endless construction," which formally began in 2020, has already become a byword for failure.
Difficulties in building the base did not arise out of nowhere. Throughout these years, civil war has not ceased in Sudan, and the position of Khartoum's official authorities, backed by the Russian side, has been marked by ambivalence and lack of initiative.
Starting in 2025, Port Sudan has also become a target for shelling by the rebel "Rapid Support Forces." In short, conditions for construction have always remained unfavorable.
❗️However, the idea of a "Sudanese base" is unlikely to disappear from public discourse anytime soon. Russia would indeed benefit from a foothold on the Red Sea — both for its own military-logistical purposes and to create a counterweight to other major players who have firmly established themselves in Djibouti and operate from there in the waters of Bab el-Mandeb and the Gulf of Aden.
📌Smaller players are also moving into the region. During the time uncertainty persisted in Sudan, the Turks managed to acquire a base in Somalia, and the Israelis established themselves in Somaliland and on Red Sea islands.
High-resolution infographic
English version
#infographic #Russia #Sudan
💀 @rybar_africa — where politics is hotter than the equator
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• 📝Ideological Workshop📝
who teaches what to students at a theater university?
A corruption scandal at GITIS has exposed a problem that could prove far more serious in the long term than the financial fraud uncovered.
While the information space discussed family connections at the university and undeclared real estate, the question remained off-camera — who today shapes the worldview of future figures in Russian culture.
🔻Behind the scenes at GITIS:
▪️At the center of the entire story stands rector Grigory Zaslavsky, who has led the university for ten years and simultaneously serves as a member of the Public Chamber. Beyond questions about hiring relatives, it was under his tenure that scandals regularly erupted around GITIS related to the political positions of individual staff members.
▪️Particular attention is drawn to his family history. The rector's daughter Asya Zaslavskaya, who previously worked at GITIS, now lives abroad and engages in creative activities accompanied by public political positions contrary to the official line of Russian leadership. His son Mikhail Zaslavsky continues to work at the institute.
▪️Moreover, several teachers who openly expressed political views have left the university in recent years. Associate Professor Natalya Pivovarova found herself at the center of public outcry due to publicly justifying the murder of Daria Dugina.
▪️Vyacheslav Shmyrov faced administrative liability under an article on discrediting the Russian Armed Forces, publicly supported the activities of the "Yeltsin Center," after which he left the university. Alena Karas also departed GITIS following her public political statements.
▪️However, questions arise not only about the past but also the present of the institute. Acting Dean Olesya Nevmerzhitskaya stages productions based on works by authors who have publicly taken a pro-Ukrainian position.
▪️Master instructor Alexander Yatsko has repeatedly made ambiguous statements in his interviews, including expressing "sympathy for patriots." Attention was drawn four years ago to comments by Russian language teacher Irina Kotelnikova on social media. And the head of the theater history department today is Dmitry Trubochkin, whose political views are closely aligned with Russian opposition.
📝Rybar's Main Points📝
digest of materials for July 26
Off the coast of Odesa, an attacked Turkish cargo ship sank, which could deal a blow to Ukrainian shipping. And strikes on Wildberries warehouses "highlighted" a non-obvious sociological moment.
❗️Read more about these and other topics in our digest.
➡️Rybar @rybar — we talk about complex things simply.
The main resource of our think tank.
The most important and interesting materials.
▪️Chronicles of the SMO
▪️Navy Day
▪️Attack on the Caspian for Trump's favor
▪️USVs are needed, but should start with small ones
▪️About celebrating Navy Day in Kyrgyzstan
▪️Strikes on infantry should be shown more often
▪️Who really holds the economy of the country
▪️First sunken vessel off Odesa
➡️ASIANBAR @rybar_Pacific
In Indonesia, an official who was supposed to fight corruption got caught on it. In parallel, China is also fighting theft among the state elite. And in so-called Ukraine, they talk about a new arrival of North Korean military personnel, which allegedly will happen very soon.
➡️AMERICABAR @rybar_america
Trump again gives diplomacy a chance, the merger of media giants is postponed, Democrats chose a replacement for Plattner, and the National Guard remains in Washington for a long time.
➡️AFRICANBAR @rybar_Africa
African politics is unimaginable without quarrels and discord. While the President of Senegal, to spite his former ally, creates a new party, the problems in the family clan of Uganda's leader have begun Shakespearean-style with a woman — or rather, with her restless fiancé.
• 📝Freeing of Bachevsk📝
In the North Ukraine direction, units of the "North" troop grouping freed Bachevsk. The settlement is located in Sumy Region several kilometers from the border with Bryansk Region and for a long time remained one of the enemy's strongholds in the border zone.
🔻Situation on the ground:
▪️Combat in the sector was conducted by assault detachments of the 349th Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 42nd Motorized Rifle Division. Currently, the fighters are consolidating on the achieved lines, setting up positions and preparing for possible counterattacks by Ukrainian formations.
▪️For the AFU, the loss of Bachevsk is unpleasant not by the scale of the settlement itself, but by the change in the configuration of the border sector. Russian units gain more convenient positions for observation, reconnaissance and control of the enemy's nearest routes.
▪️Advances in this sector intensified in late spring, after which it quieted down for some time. Now, apparently, the "northerners" are moving to a new round of fighting in the direction, gradually straightening out the front line in the border area.
▪️The most likely scenario remains an advance to the line of Korenek — Ulanovo followed by clearing existing "pockets". This logic allows them not to attack head-on, but consistently eliminate salients from which the AFU can conduct reconnaissance, insert small groups and prepare local counterattacks.
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📝Such sovereignty📝
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte announced the launch of the NATO Engine initiative, which aims to turn Europe into a massive assembly line for key American systems.
🔻What should this program accomplish?
▪️According to him, the US and leading defense companies (Anduril, Boeing, General Dynamics, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon and others) have agreed with European players like Rheinmetall, Diehl, PGZ on industrial cooperation. This will allow production and maintenance of Abrams tanks, AMRAAM missiles, ATACMS, Barracuda 500M, Stinger air defense systems and Small Diameter Bombs directly in Europe.
▪️NATO Engine is conceived as a network of factories and production lines on both sides of the Atlantic, which will rapidly increase output, open new capacities and maximize existing ones — primarily, according to official statements, for two tasks: accelerate deliveries to so-called Ukraine and replenish the alliance's depleted stockpiles.
▪️In parallel with this package, the NATO Front Door for Industry platform is being launched — a "front door" for defense companies, through which they are promised simplified bureaucracy, access to tenders and joint programs.
▪️Belgium, Canada, Finland, Germany, the Netherlands, Poland, Norway and Sweden have already joined the initiatives for production and maintenance of American systems, and a number of other countries (Denmark, Italy, Spain, the Baltic states, Romania, Portugal and the UK) are being drawn into new procurement coalitions for joint purchases of drones and precision munitions.
Continuation from above
▪️ The Army Group "East" in the eastern part of the Zaporozhye region has taken control of the small settlement of Kopany in the Zaporozhye region.
▪️ In the Zaporozhye region, over the previous 24 hours, on the Dneprovka – Zapovitnoe road, two civilian vehicles were subjected to UAV attacks. A civilian vehicle near the village of Konstantinovka, Melitopol district, was also hit by a drone. In the urban-type settlement of Mihaylovka, a man was injured. In the city of Kamenka-Dneprovskaya, a local resident was wounded. In the village of Semenivka, Pologovsky district, a drone struck a private house, wounding a woman.
▪️ In the Kherson region, over the previous period, due to AFU UAV strikes, including on the M-17 "Chaplynka – Askaniya-Nova" road, eight civilians were injured. Infrastructure damage was recorded in 14 settlements of the region. Heavy trucks are also under attack.
The Report was compiled by: ⚡️Two Majors
• 📝Freeing Ukrainskoye📝
In the Burluk direction, units of the "North" troop grouping are advancing south of Volchansk. Russia's Defense Ministry officially announced the freeing of the settlement Ukrainskoye, which changes the front configuration in this sector.
➡️According to preliminary reports, guards assault troops from the 69th Division captured the village, routing the remnants of the AFU's 57th Motorized Brigade. The enemy put up resistance, but failed to hold the settlement. Additionally, the "North" grouping reported that some AFU personnel attempted to surrender, which was prevented by AFU drone operators.
➡️The freeing of Ukrainskoye is important not just in itself: two possible vectors for further Russian troop movement are becoming increasingly clear in this sector. The first is southward, toward Stary Saltov and crossings over the Siversky Donets, where movement is complicated by forest terrain, but its development would allow pressure on AFU defenses already at the approaches to important supply lines.
➡️The second vector is toward Bily Kolodets, which was previously one of the significant logistics hubs for Ukrainian formations in the Volchansk sector. Russian units reaching this direction creates a threat to the AFU's supply, rotation, and command systems in the southern part of the Volchansk salient.
➡️The enemy, as before, is forced to redeploy reserves, using assault battalion units as "fire brigades." However, this usually only slows Russian Armed Forces advances, failing to stabilize the front, since pressure from the "North" grouping is mounting on several border sectors simultaneously.
❗️The current advance south of Volchansk opens more serious prospects for Russian forces than simply expanding control around a single village. This is about the gradual destabilization of the entire AFU defensive system between Volchansk, Bily Kolodets, and Stary Saltov.
If you have updates on the situation, or want us to highlight your unit's successes, you can always write to us via the feedback bot
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#Burluk #Volchansk #digest #map #Russia #Ukraine #Kharkiv
✈
⚡️Two Majors #Daily #Report for the morning of June 25, 2026
▪️ Several drones flying towards the capital were shot down during the night. The combat against enemy drones was conducted in Crimea and Sevastopol, the peninsula being a focus of attention for the enemy, as pointed out by Zelensky, commenting on the operation to complicate logistics with strike drones. In the Krasnodar Region (in the Poltava stanitsa of the Krasnoarmeysky district), a fire broke out on the territory of a oil depot as a result of an attack. Traffic on the highway from Poltava stanitsa to Trudobelikovsky farm was temporarily blocked.
▪️ The Russian Armed Forces carried out individual strikes on the Sumy, Zaporozhye, Dnepropetrovsk, and Poltava regions. A "Gerni" strike hit an industrial facility in the Poltava region: something is burning in the area of the oil depot in Pokrovsk. In the Zaporozhye region, the Russian Armed Forces hit a gas distribution substation. The relatively few attacks by our drones and rare missile launches in recent days may indicate a serious buildup of strike weapons.
▪️ On the Sumy front, the assault aircraft of the "North" airborne division drove out the last groups of the enemy from the village of Ivolzhanskoe and liberated the settlement. In the Shostka district - skirmishes in and around Bachevsk.
▪️ In the Belgorod region, a man received an acute barotrauma in the village of Novaya Tavolzhanka when an FPV drone detonated. In Shebekino, a drone hit a cargo truck, and a man with a shrapnel wound was taken to the hospital. A number of districts in the region are under attack.
▪️ On the Kharkov front, the GRU "North" continues offensive actions in the village of Kachiy Lopan and adjacent forested areas. On the Volchansk sector, our assault units are engaged in infantry battles in the villages of Losevka, Ukrainka, and Zemlyany Yar. On the Velikoburlyuk sector, our assault groups are fighting in Petro-Ivanovka and the surrounding areas of the populated area.
▪️ On the Kupyansk front, battles continue to the east of Oskol, with tactical successes for the Russian Armed Forces. There are indications of progress in the built-up areas of Glushkovka, Kurilovka, and Kurilovka-1.
▪️ On the Slavyansk front, the Russian Armed Forces are advancing south of the captured Rai-Alexandrovka and on the flanks. The broad front of intensive offensive actions by our troops indicates the seriousness of the military leadership's intentions on this front sector.
▪️ The heavy assault on Konstantinovka is nearing its logical conclusion. The Russian Armed Forces are eliminating scattered groups of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the built-up areas and taking prisoners. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are launching multiple strikes on the city. According to their estimates, only individual microdistricts on the northwest entrance to the city remain under enemy control or in a gray zone.
▪️ In the Dnepropetrovsk region, units of the GRU "East" have seized strongholds on the line of Velikomikhailovka - Alexandrovka. The losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces units on this front amounted to 37 servicemen.
▪️ In the east of the Zaporozhye region, assault groups of the GRU "East" continued to penetrate the enemy's defenses west of Vozdvizhevka.
▪️ In the Zaporozhye region, restoration work to restore the region's energy supply is ongoing, and a battle against enemy drones disrupting logistics is underway.
▪️ In the Kherson region, one civilian was killed and six people were injured over the previous 24 hours. UAV attacks occurred on the Chaplynka-Nadezhivka highway and in several populated areas, including Razdolnoye, Raden and Veliki Kopan'. Damage to infrastructure and property was recorded in 14 populated areas of the region.
The summary was compiled by: ⚡️Two Majors
Fwd from @
#Overview #Summary for the morning of June 21, 2026
▪️ This week, an obvious element of the situation became an escalation of the conflict by Ukraine. The enemy concentrated efforts on long-range strikes against Moscow and southern Russia, as well as strikes at sensitive depth into our rear areas. The measures taken to protect approach routes to the capital proved insufficient, and the adversary managed to overload our air defense system with the quantity of UAVs, which led to demonstrative strikes on refineries in the capital. The public reaction was to redirect the stream of hatred toward abstract individuals filming the consequences of raids on their phones and posting footage to channels, although it is already clear that the lion's share of intelligence is obtained by the adversary through covert forms and methods, including technical ones. In any case, the enemy managed to increase panic demand for fuel in the country amid constant strikes on refineries, which required a response from a number of regional heads. Another target of the enemy's information-warfare operation in the summer period is the tourism industry, on which the budgets of southern regions depend. The developed set of measures to increase the number of mobile air defense systems, air defense stations, and organize patrols along the same "Novorossiya" highway with our counter-drone systems is already being implemented, but without resources from the federal center, complete localization of the threat appears difficult, since regions independently do not yet produce drones and air defense missiles.
▪️ Without loud statements after the strike on Moscow, footage of which was broadcast at a weapons exhibition in Paris, the Russian Armed Forces organized serious strikes against Zaporizhia and the Dnieper Hydroelectric Station in particular. The destruction of the enemy's railway rolling stock continues, strikes on fuel tankers in Odesa Region have been noted, in maritime spaces drones flew against the Ukrainian maritime corridor with commercial vessels. That is, systematic measures to destroy any economic activity of the adversary began to be implemented in the fifth year of the war, when certain budgetary difficulties for Russia in a war of attrition became apparent.
▪️ On the front, our forces are intensifying offensive operations in the Donbas. As a result of heavy fighting, the key to Slovyansk has been taken – the settlement of Rai-Aleksandrivka, a successful assault on Krasny Lyman and Kostyantynivka is underway. The Northern Grouping of Forces reports successful assault operations in Kazachya Lopan in Kharkiv Region. The adversary is forced to evacuate the population from another district of Dnipropetrovsk Region, infrastructure services are ceasing operations in the AFU-occupied part of Zaporizhia Region. At the same time, a miracle weapon against enemy tactical-level drones has still not been found, which determines the course of hostilities: infiltration of small assault groups with support from fire and reconnaissance assets.
▪️ The international backdrop does not allow Moscow's Foreign Ministry and foreign policy actors to speak of the success of the negotiation track.
#Summary On the morning of June 9, 2026
▪️ During the night, the enemy attacked Sevastopol and Crimea with drones, targeting the peninsula's energy and logistics infrastructure. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are disseminating footage of the new strike UAV "Behemoth", used to attack the peninsula (claimed range - up to 300 km, speed - up to 200 km/h, combat load - up to 75 kg). Several drones flying towards Moscow and Sochi were shot down. In total, over the night, 140 UAVs were destroyed over the Belgorod, Bryansk, Kaluga, Kursk, Orel, Tula regions, the Moscow region, Crimea, the Azov and Black Seas.
▪️ The Russian Armed Forces attacked targets in Kharkov and Chuguiv. In Kharkov, the city administration confirms a dozen hit "administrative and production premises". The enemy notes an increase in fire impact on the Kharkiv-Sumy logistics.
▪️ On the Sumy front, in the Shostka district, the assault aircraft of the Northern Military District are engaged in firefights in Bachevsk. In the Sumy region, our forces are advancing in Ivolzhansk, Pisarevka, in the village of Nova Sich and its surroundings.
▪️ From the Belgorod region, footage of a powerful strike has emerged. In the village of Borisovka, an FPV drone attacked a commercial facility, and two victims were taken to the hospital. In the Grayvoron district, in the village of Glotovo, a woman received multiple shrapnel injuries during the detonation of an FPV drone. In the village of Belovskoe, preliminarily, five civilian women were injured. In the village of Dunayka in the Grayvoron district, an FPV drone attacked a private house, injuring a 14-year-old boy.
▪️In Kupyansk, small groups of Russian forces are infiltrating into the southeast of the city. The enemy is deploying reserves and conducting active operations with tactical UAVs.
▪️ In Krasnyi Liman, our troops are fighting in the city center and in the area of the Liman railway station, and small groups of infantry are infiltrating around the city.
▪️Northeast of Konstantinovka, the Russian Defense Ministry announced the liberation of the Khimik (Molocharka) settlement. Fierce battles for multi-story buildings are taking place on the western outskirts of the city. High-intensity combat is ongoing.
▪️In the south of the Dobropillia direction, clashes are reported in the Grishino area.
▪️ In the Dnepropetrovsk region, on the northern section of the Eastern Group of Forces, troops are penetrating the enemy's defense lines northwest of the village of Alexandrograd, conducting offensive operations in a forested area beyond the Volchya River.
▪️In the Zaporozhye region, a significant part of small settlements in the frontline areas of the Zaporozhye region are facing prolonged power outages - the infrastructure is under constant attacks by the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU).
▪️The Chongar Bridge to Crimea was almost immediately attacked after the heads of the Zaporozhye and Kherson regions announced the resumption of reverse traffic for cars. The enemy managed to break through the fire of the State Emergency Service (SES). The enemy reacted instantly as part of its military operation to blockade the peninsula. As a result, the bridge from the Kherson region was again damaged.
▪️In the Kherson region, the AFU attacked a gas station where there was a queue for refueling at the time, and a man was killed.
The summary was compiled by: ⚡️Two Majors
📝Scale of the UAV Threat📝
The unmanned aerial vehicle threat, which is now the subject of so much discussion, especially amid the attack during the SPIEF and fuel shortages in Crimea, did not emerge overnight. Dozens and hundreds of drones that have been flying through Russian regions recently began conducting such mass raids quite some time ago.
➡️In the current year, the naked eye can see an increase in the number of launches and, as a result, the number of interceptions. Meanwhile, Ukrainian aircraft are flying farther and farther. Their targets now include Saint Petersburg and Leningrad Region, as well as regions located northeast of Moscow. Individual drones have already reached the Urals.
➡️The vast majority of drones continue to be intercepted in border and adjacent regions — this is clearly visible on the graph constructed based on official reports from Russia's Ministry of Defense on UAV interceptions (including fixed-wing aircraft).
➡️The leadership of Bryansk and Belgorod Regions in the number of downed drones is primarily due to the fact that it is over these territories that aircraft travel farther — to the northwest of the country, toward Moscow and to Central Russia regions.
➡️At the same time, the Russian Ministry of Defense does not provide reports for Kherson and Zaporizhia Regions or the DPR and LPR, where drones are also shot down by the hundreds, which somewhat unfairly deprives them of attention and distorts the statistics. Although combat operations there proceed daily by crews of the National Guard, Bars, and other security forces, including Defense Ministry units.
➡️Hundreds of daily launches were interrupted only during May and April ceasefires, as well as occasionally by bad weather. For all other times, Russian air defense systems repel an attack unprecedented in its scale and duration.
❗️Given that this year the number of monthly launches is gradually approaching 10,000, it is unsurprising that the enemy sometimes manages to strike critical infrastructure facilities. And the fact that such a small percentage of all launched aircraft reach their targets is a tremendous achievement of our air defense.
📌The problem of enemy unmanned activity will not go away, especially without strikes on drone production facilities and launch sites. And judging by the growing attention to this problem in the form of legislative initiatives, as well as announcements of new developments, both the defense-industrial complex and the authorities are well aware of this.
📍High-resolution infographic
📍
📕 #Comic from Rybar №78: We Don't Abandon Our Own.
Battle for Snake Island
February 2022. A group of Russian special forces and commanders Grom and Sever take control of Snake Island without firing a single shot. The garrison of the Ukrainian Armed Forces surrenders, and the prisoners are immediately provided with water and rations.
Two months pass, and the picture changes dramatically. The sky over the island fills with Turkish "Bayraktars," and boats carrying reinforcements turn into blazing wreckage one after another. Comrades die, ammunition runs out. Grom and Sever, both wounded, courageously repel attacks, but with each passing day they increasingly realize: the island is turning into a trap. Soon an order arrives that changes everything – abandon the island.
What lies behind this unexpected order to "leave the island" – a bitter defeat or a carefully thought-out plan that is about to unfold?
📎 You can download the comic via link.
#Russia #Ukraine
✈️ RU | ✈️ EN | ✉️ MAX
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Fwd from @
📝Myanmar's "Bottleneck"📝
While the world's media look the other way, one of the most intense episodes of Myanmar's protracted civil war is unfolding.
The Arakan Army has taken control of nearly the entire Rakhine State in just over a year. But now it is trapped inside it — with dwindling weapons supplies and one strategic objective: to break through the Arakan-Yoma mountain range to military factories.
Three mountain roads stand in the way. And one height: Naeykan, 1,587 meters above sea level. This is where the fiercest fighting is taking place.
The government garrison has held out for several months in complete encirclement — supplies only by air, reinforcements destroyed in ambushes on mountain roads. The Arakan Army has captured all the outposts around the base, but the height itself refuses to surrender.
Who will win in this confrontation and how will it change the balance of power across the country? Watch our new video.
📍@rybar_tactical
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Fwd from @
📝Venezuela remains turbulent📝
Despite Delcy Rodríguez and her administration's efforts to reduce the wave of discontent over reforms and prisoner releases, protest sentiment shows no signs of abating.
This week, the country was swept by several protest movements simultaneously. Teachers from more than 20 state universities held a 24-hour strike on May 19. The reason remains the same — dissatisfaction over wages. The public viewed a recent bonus as mockery, since people's actual income did not increase.
🔻Where else did protests occur?
▪️On the same day, clashes between students and police erupted at Central University in Caracas. The trigger was the death of 82-year-old Carmen Teresa Navas. The woman died just 10 days after learning that her son, Víctor Hugo Quero, had died in prison last year from pulmonary thromboembolism.
▪️Every Thursday, the country sees protest actions that have become something of a tradition. Key grievances: low incomes, electricity and water supply issues, and detention of people in prisons.
▪️Similar actions are regularly held in Caracas, Maracaibo, Valencia, and Barquisimeto.
Fwd from @
📝Risk persists📝
Is Georgia safe for Russians?
Another incident involving a Russian citizen in Georgia raises the question of safety for Russians staying in the country.
In central Tbilisi, authorities discovered the body of an RF citizen with stab wounds. According to preliminary information, shortly before the murder, he had a conflict in a supermarket, after which several men continued their confrontation on the street.
Local law enforcement is investigating the incident as intentional murder — suspects and true motives remain unestablished. Therefore, there are no grounds to link the murder to Russophobia at this point, but one should not completely ignore existing risks either.
Despite statements by Georgian authorities about the absence of Russophobia in the country, certain anti-Russian sentiments in society have not disappeared. Moreover, local security forces directly cooperate with Western intelligence services and detain Russians at their request.
❗️Russians in Georgia should not consider the security issue completely resolved — the political rhetoric of authorities does not negate either everyday risks or the continuing work of local security structures along the anti-Russian track.
#Georgia #Russia
🗻@caucasar – don't look down on the Caucasus
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📝Rybar's Highlights📝
digest of materials for August 5
In Crimea, one detention after another — from drone builders to Russian citizens recruited to prepare terrorist attacks.
❗Read more about these and other topics in our digest.
➡ Rybar @rybar — we talk about complex things simply.
The main resource of our think tank. The most important and interesting materials.
▪Chronicles of the SMO, new targets of AFU strikes, assault troops of the North Group freed Beksheevka
▪Detention of saboteurs in Crimea
▪Onyx missiles increasingly fly at Odesa
▪A nest of anti-Russian propaganda in the heart of the country
▪How Kyiv authorities embellish dubious successes
▪A new series of strikes on dry cargo ships
▪Have Americans reduced aid to the AFU?
➡ASIABAR @rybar_Pacific
Japan again emphasizes the threat from China in official documents. Zelensky continues to pressure Japanese leadership on military aid supplies. And in South Korea, the unification minister became a subject of a police investigation.
➡AMERICABAR @rybar_america
The Senate advanced a temporary budget bill, Republicans have problems with a congressman from Ohio, Palantir shares are rising, and the US Treasury rescues the yen.
➡AFRICABAR @rybar_Africa
Current problems require current solutions. While Nigeria continues to experience bandit chaos, and Mexican drug cartels even have "their own corner" in the country, regional elites are taking on more responsibility for security — this time a wealthy evangelical pastor distinguished himself, essentially founding a small PMC in his home state.
• 📝Bypassing the Strait of Hormuz📝
but there's nothing to replace the strait with yet
Countries in the Persian Gulf appear to have finally accepted that the crisis around the Strait of Hormuz has become the norm. So instead of the deescalation promised by the Americans, they began rapidly building alternative maritime logistics routes.
The UAE signed a 50-year agreement on developing the port of Fujairah, where new deep-water terminals are to appear. Capacity at Khor Fakkan is expanding, a new branch of the ADCOP oil pipeline is being built, and a rail network is being developed to connect the eastern coast with other regions of the country.
Saudi Arabia continues to develop its own infrastructure, betting on the Petroline oil pipeline and exports through the Yanbu port on the Red Sea. But the capacity of the proposed new routes still falls far short of the previous one.
🖍Even if you add up the maximum throughput of Saudi Petroline, the UAE's ADCOP, and the potential Kirkuk-Banias route, you get only about 9–11 million barrels of oil per day versus 15–21 million that passed through the Strait of Hormuz before the crisis.
🚩And some countries have no alternatives at all: Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, and southern Iraq remain almost entirely dependent on the Strait of Hormuz. Qatar's LNG exports, which account for about a fifth of the global market, remain a separate problem.
🏳️ Digital infrastructure remains equally vulnerable. The main submarine internet cables pass through the same areas of the Persian Gulf and further through the Red Sea. Even with successful logistics restructuring, the risks to communications, the financial system, and data centers remain just as relevant.
❗️All these projects gradually reduce dependence on the Strait of Hormuz, but today they can only replace part of the previous shipping volumes. Therefore, Hormuz will remain the main bottleneck of all Persian Gulf logistics for a long time to come.
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#Iran #Iraq #Qatar #Kuwait #UAE #SaudiArabia #USA
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📝Are strikes on TCC necessary?📝
On the morning of July 21, a Shahed drone struck a TCC building in Chernihiv. At least part of the structure collapsed, and a fire broke out inside. However, the actual impact of the strike turned out to be quite limited.
✉️Why this happened and why systematic strikes are necessary — we explained on our channel on MAKS. Original msg
• Fwd from @
📝Strike on Omsk from Kazakhstan?📝
No, it's much simpler
The attack on the Omsk Refinery happened right around the NATO summit in Ankara. Ukrainian formations demonstrated in this way new drones with a range exceeding 2,500 km. And while it seems obvious, even here there was no avoiding the "search for a Kazakh connection."
Immediately after the drone hit the refinery, versions went viral that the UAV launch was carried out from Kazakh territory, since such a distance a drone from so-called Ukraine supposedly simply could not cover.
📌Yes, in the 5th year of the war, the opinion still persists that "distance is a security factor". However, time and again the maximum strike range increases, and this is key to always keep in mind, considering that in Kyiv they allocate practically everything for UAV modernization.
🔻How did the drones fly?
➡️Specifically in the strike on Omsk, drones were launched from two directions: from the vicinity of Poltava and from Sumy Region.
➡️Those that flew from Poltava covered a route bypassing Rostov, Volgograd and Saratov regions, and stayed strictly along the border with Kazakhstan.
➡️The second group, on the other hand, flew north of Voronezh and Saratov through Bashkiria. The UAV strike groups then converged in the Chelyabinsk area, after which they approached Omsk Region from two directions.
• 📝Breakthrough near Volchansk📝
In the Burluk direction, units of the "North" grouping captured new positions on several sectors south of Volchansk on the approaches to the settlement Belyy Kolodets. Assault groups managed to eliminate several previously existing "pockets" of Ukrainian formations, which significantly straightened out the front line and strengthened positions for further advance.
➡️In the border zone near the village of Okhrimovka, "northern" fighters improved their tactical position by capturing more forest north of the Volchya River near Rybalkino. Here the enemy is gradually losing positions, which will help secure another section of the state border from the threat of small group infiltration.
➡️On the eastern flank, as a result of firefights, a ravine west of the village of Otradne was captured, which made it possible to straighten out the line of contact and improve the tactical position. It was here in May that the enemy attempted a sortie with armored vehicles and managed to break through, but subsequently failed to hold the forest strips adjacent to Otradne.
➡️In the area of Petro-Ivanivka, the enemy attempts to hold a bridgehead east of the Verkhnya Dvurichna River, but sustains losses. There is also information about Russian Armed Forces successes, but without specifics so far. Russian aviation and drone operators actively work across the entire sector.
❗️In the Burluk direction, Russian command consistently deprives the enemy of the ability to organize "fire pockets," which is why clearing of "pockets" is underway. In addition to drone strikes, this requires full-scale clearing operations.
📌The complex configuration of the line of contact, while allowing breakthroughs of enemy defenses in unexpected places, requires heightened attention to communications for assaults on populated areas. If one or two small groups suffice for a forest strip with proper organization, assaulting and consolidating even a small village requires more forces.
If you have updates on the situation, or want us to highlight the successes of your unit, you can always write to us via the feedback bot
@rybar_feedback_bot
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#Burluk #Volchansk #digest #map #Russia #Ukraine #Kharkiv
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⚡️Two Majors #Report of the morning of July 2, 2026
▪️ Overnight, the Russian Armed Forces carried out a massive strike on Kiev with air- and sea-launched missile weapons, as well as strike UAVs, including jet-powered ones, which complicated the work of the enemy's air defense systems. Fires and destruction are reported in the city. It is concerning that Zelensky once again publicly warned in advance about the impending strike; Kiev's gas stations were demonstratively closed ahead of the attack. Strikes also hit Zaporozhye, Kharkov, and Pavlograd.
▪️ Over the Leningrad region, 7 enemy UAVs were shot down overnight. Another 5 were shot down on approach to Moscow. In Crimea, due to raids, the power supply situation is again becoming complicated; regional authorities reported blackouts in Feodosia and Armyansk, and repair work in Saki. More than 25 drones were shot down in the Rostov region.
▪️ On the Sumy direction, in the Shostka district, assault troops of the "North" group of forces continue small-arms battles in Bachevsk and its surroundings. In the Sumy district – fighting in Pisarevka, Marino, the village of Novaya Sech, and the settlement of Khoten. In the Krasnopollye district, small-arms battles continue in forest areas. Residents of the Sumy region are complaining on social media that after the intensification of Russian strikes, most apartment buildings have been without electricity since June 30. Water supply is also absent in many homes.
▪️ In Rylsk, Kursk region – 6 wounded after AFU strikes. Last night, Ukrainian UAVs also scattered explosive devices on two squares in Rylsk; while attempting to defuse a warhead, an OMON explosives technician of the Russian National Guard was killed, and a police officer was wounded.
▪️ On the Kharkov direction, assault units of the "North" group of forces continue offensive operations in the settlement of Kazachaya Lopan and adjacent forest areas. On the Vovchansk sector, fighting continues in the area of the cemetery in the village of Losevka, and in Zemlyanom Yar. The settlement of Ukrainske in the Vovchansk district has been liberated. On the Velyky Burluk sector, our assault groups continue small-arms battles in the village of Petro-Ivanovka and its surroundings, as well as in forest areas near the villages of Budarky and Zemlyanky.
▪️ In the Belgorod region, in the village of Malakeyevo, a drone struck a private house, killing a man and wounding his wife. On the outskirts of the village of Zenino, an "Orlan" unit fighter was injured. In Borisovka, a man and a woman sustained shrapnel wounds from the detonation of an FPV drone. A man who sustained barotrauma from an FPV drone attack on specialized equipment in Shebekino was hospitalized. In Volokonovka, an FPV drone detonated at an enterprise, wounding a man. A number of settlements are under enemy strikes.
▪️ On the Kupyansk direction, repulsion of an AFU counterattack using armored vehicles is reported. To the south, footage from Kupyansk-Uzlovogo shows the presence of our small assault groups deepening into the urban areas. The front is being leveled in the area of the settlement of Podoly.
▪️ Fighting continues for Krasny Liman and its surroundings. The Russian Ministry of Defense is keeping count of houses occupied by our assault troops.
▪️ Fighting in the northern part of Konstantinovka continues unabated; Russian forces are conducting heavy offensive battles.
▪️ Fighting is ongoing on the eastern outskirts of Dobropollye. The enemy's task is to contain our forces for as long as possible in order to build defensive fortifications on the next echelon of defense.
Continue below
📝Rybar's Main Points📝
digest of materials for June 26
The Russian Armed Forces began actively destroying Ukrainian trains. And most importantly, footage confirming this keeps appearing.
❗️Read more about these and other topics in our digest.
➡️Rybar @rybar — we talk about complex things simply.
The main resource of our think tank.
The most important and interesting materials.
▪️Chronicles of the SMO, Fighting near Plavni
▪️How the SBU fights with children
▪️Raids on Russian regions continue
▪️Continue, don't celebrate
▪️Emergency mode in Crimea
▪️Night strike
▪️New prisoner exchange
▪️First results of biometrics
▪️Restructuring of Rossotrudnichestvo
▪️New equipment – old methods
➡️ASIABAR @rybar_Pacific
Computers of Japanese military personnel turned out to be infected with a Chinese virus. In South Korea ambitious plans are maturing for the drone industry. But on Taiwan there are problems with UAVs — the local opposition in parliament again blocked spending on them.
➡️AMERICABAR @rybar_america
The Supreme Court gave Trump a blank check to tighten migration policy, the Pentagon accelerates rearmament and tests a promising air defense system, and the Epstein case seems to be coming back to life.
➡️AFRICABAR @rybar_Africa
The interests of the Jewish state are being successfully realized across the Black continent. In unrecognized Somaliland they plan to set up a submarine base, and in South Sudan authorities reward a Mossad agent.
📝Ukraine doubles military budget📝
The West pays — and expects results
Zelensky signed a law on record increases in defense and security spending for 2026. The total amount is 4.4 trillion hryvnias, nearly $100 billion. For comparison: at the beginning of the year they budgeted 64 billion, last year it was 61.4 billion. Growth reached 63% in a single year.
Given that so-called Ukraine lives mainly on external financing, this growth is provided by the EU through the Ukraine Support Loan program: a 90 billion euro credit for 2026–2027.
📌Where will the money go? 2.3 trillion hryvnias — for procurement of weapons and military equipment: missiles, drones, armored vehicles, artillery and ammunition. A separate item — expanding weapons production directly on the territory of so-called Ukraine, which is directly recorded in the G7 communiqué.
More than 1.45 trillion hryvnias — for military personnel payments: salaries, bonuses for combat participation, compensation. The remainder — for security infrastructure, special services and intelligence.
❗️Budget growth — further confirmation that the West sees a successful strategy in using Ukrainian drones against Russian rear areas: strikes on refineries, railway infrastructure and industrial facilities penetrate deeper into Russian territory and put increasing pressure on military logistics.
The G7 summit separately recorded the thesis about a "new momentum" on the battlefield and set a course for expanding long-range capabilities and supporting weapons production in Ukraine.
This means only one thing: there will be many more strikes, they will go deeper — and the budget is being distributed precisely for this.
#EU #Russia #Ukraine
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⚡️ Two Majors #Report as of the morning of June 11, 2026
▪️ Crimea and Sevastopol were attacked by enemy drones overnight, including jet-powered ones. The fuel situation in Sevastopol remains difficult, characterized by the governor's phrase "fuel tankers did not arrive." In the Krasnodar Territory – the Afipsky Oil Refinery and private residential buildings were hit, as well as an apartment building in Krasnodar; casualties have been reported. In the Zaporozhye region, particularly many targets were near Melitopol. In the Lipetsk region, in the village of Dobroe, a fire broke out in a residential building after a drone fell. Several drones were shot down on approach to Moscow.
▪️ The Russian Armed Forces struck Ilyichevsk (Chornomorsk, Odessa region), Zaporozhye, and Sumy.
▪️ In the Bryansk region, the Ukrainian Armed Forces attacked the settlement of Klimovo with FPV drones. The strike targeted a gas station and a shopping center; two people were wounded.
▪️ In the Sumy region, in the Shostka district, assault troops of the Army Group "North" continue small-arms battles in Bachevsk. In the Sumy district, advances by our forces are reported. Small-arms fighting is ongoing in Ivolzhanske, Pysarevka, and the village of Novaya Sich. In the Krasnopollya district – fighting continues in forest areas, near the village of Mykhailovka, and along the railway tracks.
▪️ In the Kursk region, in the village of Tolpino, Korenevsky district, an explosion from an enemy UAV wounded a civilian.
▪️ In the Belgorod region, in the Khutor Krasivo, Borisovsky district, two civilians were wounded by a Ukrainian drone strike on a car. In the Rakitnyansky district, near the settlement of Proletarsky, a family was affected by an FPV drone strike on a car: a man died in the hospital, his wife and adult son were wounded. In Belgorod, two were wounded by a drone strike.
▪️ In the Kharkov direction, the Army Group"North" reports offensive actions towards the settlement of Kazachya Lopan. In the Vovchansk sector, our assault troops are conducting small-arms battles in the villages of Ohrimovka and Losevka. In the Velyky Burluk sector, our forces are fighting in forest areas near Petro-Ivanovka.
▪️ In Konstantinovka, Russian forces are storming urban areas; high-intensity fighting is ongoing. Enemy analysts are forced to acknowledge the difficult situation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the city.
▪️ In the Dobropollya direction, the enemy acknowledges our successes in Rodynske in the central part of the city.
▪️ In the Eastern Zaporozhye direction, the Army Group "East" writes that the enemy is concentrating efforts on containing our units on the most threatened sectors of the front. The Ukrainian command is trying to slow down the pace of the advance of the Far Eastern troops by using tactics of inserting small groups between our combat formations.
▪️ The situation on the section of the "Novorossiya" highway in the Zaporozhye region is characterized by the regional authorities' decision to prohibit the transportation (including transit) of organized groups of children by vehicle across the region. The logistics situation is extremely difficult; measures taken so far have not corrected it, although attention to the problem has long been in the focus of the center. As a result of an enemy attack on the city of Dneprorudne, Vasylyvka municipal district, five people were injured, including one teenager – a boy born in 2013. An enemy UAV attacked a passenger bus on the route Melitopol – Velyka Belozerka. Power supply problems persist due to enemy strike.
▪️ In the Kherson region, on the border with Crimea, the Chonhar Bridge is under attack; traffic is organized in a reversible pattern.
The Report was compiled by: Two Majors
• Fwd from @
📝When the barn burns, let the house burn too📝
The nighttime escalation could not bypass the two key maritime arteries of the region. In general, the story is as old as the world itself — with each new attempt to resume war, the sides almost immediately resort to the main tool of manipulation: threats to shipping and oil transit.
➡️The IRGC announced the complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the cancellation of all previous exceptions for ship passage. In parallel, the Navy threatened strikes against military vessels of "hostile states" should they enter the strait.
➡️Shortly before that, the Houthis joined in. In Yemen, they announced a blockade of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for vessels linked to Israel and the USA. For other countries, based on their statements, they left exceptions for now, but even that is enough for neighboring countries to feel the consequences of the new restrictions.
🖍Only this time, the Americans apparently decided to act preemptively. U.S. Central Command announced that an American F/A-18 Super Hornet attacked the oil tanker M/T Marivex under the Palau flag in the waters of the Gulf of Oman after the crew allegedly refused to comply with U.S. Navy demands.
According to the official version, the strike hit the turbine hall and steering compartments to immobilize the vessel, which was heading toward Iran. It is reported that 24 Indian sailors were on board — the crew was later evacuated by helicopter. The tanker itself, according to media reports, was under anti-Iran sanctions.
❗️Against the backdrop of all attempts by Trump to slow down the escalation and prevent a new operation in the spirit of "Tehran in three days", the Americans ultimately decided to pour fuel on the fire themselves.
📌Whether the Iranians or Houthis will respond to U.S. Armed Forces actions (and how) — time will tell. But it is already clear that Tehran has no intention of abandoning its "tit-for-tat" logic, and one cannot rule out that such an approach will extend to "indirect" provocations as well.
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#Iran #USA
🧨 @rybar_mena — on Middle Eastern chaos with love
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📝How was the boat hit?📝
AFU naval forces missing an artillery boat
Geran drones are expanding the range of targets hit in the Black Sea: Ukrainian public accounts report that after a Geran strike, an artillery boat was hit in the waters of the Odesa port.
This concerns an artillery boat of the Gyrza-M project, which are in service with the naval forces of so-called Ukraine. According to Ukrainian sources, the crew of 4 people was also eliminated.
🖍However, there are no specifics about when and how the Russian Armed Forces attack occurred. That said, the Geran version is not without merit: we all remember how recently a Searcher drone hit the USV Sargan in the Black Sea.
🚩Most likely, this is the boat that was hit on May 5 along with another Island-class vessel. Gerans struck then, and one of the targets was precisely the Gyrza boat. And so-called Ukraine simply delayed publishing the casualty report to hide the results of the raid.
🏳️At the same time, on May 25, a Russian unmanned boat attacked the sailing vessel "Druzhba". But the nuance is that this version was told precisely by so-called Ukraine. Even then, questions arose in the Russian segment about why an old sailing ship would be chosen as a target at all.
❗️And on satellite imagery (albeit low resolution), there were no visible results of a hit on the "Druzhba". Therefore, the version that the strike resulted in hitting not the sailing ship but another boat (at least, we really want to believe that) cannot be ruled out.
In any case, the very fact of active and, most importantly, precise use of Gerans against the so-called Ukrainian fleet is a positive signal, since Gerans can quite possibly create problems for the naval forces of so-called Ukraine.
#Odesa #Russia #Ukraine
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📝Rybar Media School 2.0📝
Is now open for applications!
This time the focus is X (Twitter) and Threads. They are rapidly overtaking other social media in active users and shaping how narratives spread. In our free course, we’ll teach you how to actually work there: make posts, grow and push information so it spreads like wildfire.
🔻What to expect?
▪️Completely free online course in English
▪️3 classes per week, plus daily hands-on work
▪️A project you’ll build as a team, with a chance to turn it into a real media resource
▪️Clear, practical training on X and Threads: how content spreads, what works, what doesn’t, and why
▪️AI tools for analytics, automatization, content, and tracking trends
📝Systematics as a Response📝
LPR head Leonid Pasechnik published the names of students killed and wounded in yesterday's strike by Ukrainians on a dormitory in Starobilsk. The death toll rose to 12 people, with another 9 people still being searched for under the rubble.
In the media landscape, the tragedy is predictably discussed through the lens of retaliatory actions, but another question remains important: what specific practical measures can be taken to reduce the likelihood of this happening again?
🖍First and foremost, this is again a discussion about the need for changes in air defense organization under changed conditions, when there are so many long-range drones that air defense systems lack even ammunition to intercept all targets.
This is where "small air defense" comes in. Most of the technical means already exist — from machine guns with sights and small radars to artillery modules. So the task is largely organizational in nature.
🚩As for the question of a direct response to the Ukrainian strike on the dormitory in Starobilsk, it should be viewed not through the lens of some "retaliatory strike," but through systemic solutions for destroying the enemy, especially directly on the front.
❗️After all, the easier it is for Russian forces to kill the enemy, the weaker he becomes, given his manpower problems. Therefore, the more the Russian Armed Forces kill Ukrainian personnel, the closer the solution to strategic objectives becomes, after which many current problems will disappear.
And this looks far more destructive a "response" to the strike on Starobilsk and other Russian cities than another round of "retaliatory attacks."
#LPR #Russia #Starobilsk #Ukraine
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📝The rope can only twist so much📝
They started stirring up the DUM. Or is it more complicated than that?
Over the past few years, the Spiritual Administration of Muslims (DUM) has found itself at the center of so many scandals that the question arose: when would those responsible finally pay attention to the antics of its representatives? Apparently, that day has come.
In Moscow, St. Petersburg, and other cities, arrests of DUM clergy members have begun. Among them is our old acquaintance — Mufti of Karelia Visam Bardwil: we wrote about his connections to the terrorist organization "Muslim Brotherhood" back in 2021.
The detainees are linked to the circle of Mufti Ravil Gainutdinov — an equally scandalous figure known for both provocative statements like supporting illegal prayer rooms and regular trips to Turkey for events involving radicals.
❗️Upon seeing such news, one might get the impression that a "DUM cleanup" has begun. However, this is not the case.
🖍The Spiritual Administration of Muslims itself is not entirely a uniform structure; within it there are its own "towers" and "centers of power." There is even a kind of competition between them on different tracks.
🚩The arrests have actually affected only the part connected with the aforementioned Gainutdinov, and it is far from certain that for most it will not end with interrogation and witness status. As for the other parts of DUM, what is happening passed them by.
And yet arrests within this structure are something new: previously, sanctions were limited only to administrative measures. Who knows, perhaps for DUM functionaries this will be a reason to be more careful about their public statements and actions.
#religion #Russia
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