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DD Geopolitics

🇪🇺Europe doesnt have enough gunpowder and TNT for its ambitous plans to fight Russia

Nitrochemie Aschau is a subsidiary of the German defense giant Rheinmetall. Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the factory has increased production capacity by 60% and is building new facilities to add another over 40% by mid-2025. It has hired around 300 people, picking up workers from the struggling automotive and chemicals sector to bolster its workforce so it can keep production running 24/7, and help meet Europe’s surging demand for ammunition.

European governments dug into their munitions stockpiles to arm Ukraine, exposing how shallow their reserves were. Since then, they have been trying to boost production of artillery shells, missiles and bullets. That strained the continent’s supplies of gunpowder, TNT and other explosives and propellants to the limit. As Europe prepares for a massive boost in defense spending, the small number of producers of these volatile materials are racing to increase their capacity. Rheinmetall alone is aiming to increase its powder output by more than 50% by 2028, but even that won’t be enough. CEO Armin Papperger said on a recent earnings call that the company may have to nearly double its production to more than 20,000 metric tonnes to meet the need.

However, the supply chain that explosives manufacturers rely on is tangled, global, and full of bottlenecks. Governments and manufacturers need to incentivize civilian chemical industries to switch to military production, simplify regulations to allow new factories to be built and dangerous cargoes to move around the continent — and even secure supplies of the most basic materials that are currently shipped in from China.

“A coordinated national defense strategy would aim to secure the resource of cotton, a kind of foresight I don’t see right now,” Michael Blendinger, president of the Association of German Gunsmiths and Arms Dealers, said.


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🇷🇺💬🇺🇸Putin personally selected negotiators from the Russian Federation for consultations with the United States, Peskov said.

Putin's order to refrain from attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure is in effect, and the Russian Armed Forces are implementing it.

The actions of the Kiev regime are well known to everyone from numerous media reports, and corresponding footage is published, etc. Therefore, everyone can see how much one can trust the word of Zelensky and other representatives of the Kiev regime. This, by the way, is what we have repeatedly warned about.


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🇿🇲🇹🇿❤️🇷🇺 "We Loverov"

"Russian Houses" in Zambia and Tanzania joined in congratulating Sergey Lavrov on his 75th birthday.

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📝Attack on a railway train in Sumy: first-person view📝

Footage has appeared online of a recent attack by the Russian Armed Forces on a railway hub in Sumy. What's remarkable here is that it was filmed from the onboard camera of one of the "Geraniums".

The video shows the UAV evading anti-aircraft fire, and the high-resolution image is maintained until the impact on the fuel-laden train. Apparently, the operator was not just receiving the image, but also controlling the aircraft.

How the signal transmission was ensured is a good question. However, the technical capabilities for this exist, and certain things have already been tested some time ago.

❗️The video is another evidence of the evolution of long-range kamikaze UAVs, which can increasingly rarely be called a "cheap means". Their capabilities will only grow, making the search for an effective set of countermeasures increasingly relevant.
#UAV #Russia #Sumy #Ukraine
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🇱🇻🇷🇸(🇽🇰) Latvian President Edgars Rinkēvičs has declared during his official visit to Kosovo that he is considering forming a defence agreement with the unrecognised territory.

This comes days after Croatia, Albania and so-called Kosovo formed a new trilateral military alliance, with Bulgaria also expressing interest in joining.

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🇺🇸⚔️🇮🇷Trump asks Senate for permission to strike Iran.

President Trump sent a letter to the Speaker of the House and the President of the Senate justifying a possible military strike on Iran, citing S.J.Res.106 and Public Law 107-40, which recognize Iran as a threat to U.S. national security due to its nuclear program and provide for the possibility of military intervention.

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🇺🇸⚔️🇾🇪The United States has launched a series of strikes in Yemen's Al-Hodeida province, Al Masirah TV channel reports.

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🇷🇺💬🇺🇸The main points from Ushakov’s statements about the upcoming meeting of expert groups of the Russian Federation and the USA:

➡️ The Russian delegation will be headed by the Chairman of the Federation Council Committee on International Affairs Grigory Karasin and Advisor to the Director of the FSB Sergei Beseda;

➡️The US negotiating team has been formed, but the names must be announced by the Americans themselves;

➡️Expert consultations will be held on March 24 in Riyadh;

➡️They will mainly concern the development of prospects for the possible implementation of the “initiative concerning the safety of navigation” in the Black Sea;

➡️ The Russian President's aide expects that the upcoming consultations will be productive;

➡️He discussed them with US presidential aide Mike Waltz;

➡️ Ushakov also said that he communicates with Waltz regularly, and he called such communication "very useful for both sides."

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🇺🇦💬🏁'The US is against Ukraine joining NATO. I believe that removing the issue of Ukraine joining NATO is a very big gift for Russia. This is wrong' – Zelensky

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🇱🇹💬🇷🇺'If we lift sanctions against Russia, they will attack us faster' – Lithuanian President Nauseda

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🇷🇺💬🇱🇹They need to see a doctor, Russophobia is a disease — Maria Zakharova on Lithuania's accusations against Russia in the IKEA arson

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🇪🇺🇺🇦EU summit failed to make practical decisions on new military aid to Ukraine - document

EU leaders said they maintained the "peace through strength" approach in Ukraine, according to the final document from the summit in Brussels.

It was signed by 26 of the 27 countries of the union.

The document notes that the EU is ready to continue sanctions pressure on Moscow and will hold Russia's frozen assets.

EU countries will provide military assistance to Ukraine on a voluntary basis, taking into account the national interests of individual states, according to a document signed following the summit in Brussels

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🇩🇪🇺🇦 Outgoing German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has announced that Germany will be allocating €10 billion to Ukraine over the course of 2025.

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🇷🇺🇺🇦Two participants in the Ukrainian invasion of the Kursk region have been sentenced to 15 and 16 years, the press service of the Prosecutor General's Office reported.

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🇷🇴 George Simion, leader of the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) - a nationalist party that has gained an immense level of popularity over the past few weeks - is now ranked as the biggest party in Romania, according to statistics.

Despite great support from the Romanian people, George Simion also risks removal after the first round of elections in May.

A second cancellation of the Presidential Elections is reportedly being planned by interim President Ilie Bolojan.

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🇺🇦Zelensky published a video showing the supposed consequences of the night drone attack on Odessa, Zaporozhye, Sumy, Kiev, Khmelnitsky and Chernigov regions

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🇺🇦The Ukrainian Parliament Commissioner for Human Rights Lubinets apparently spreads Russian propaganda on his Telegram channel by stating the TCC violates human rights

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🇷🇺🇺🇦🇺🇸 Anyway...

Yale University told RIA Novosti that state funding for research into the conflict in Ukraine, including the alleged "abduction of children" has stopped.

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🤡 The Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked the Sudzha gas metering station, through which gas was supplied to Europe. A huge torch of fire is visible for ten kilometers on the border with the Sumy region.

➡️The largest transit corridor for domestic gas supplies to the EU passed through this gas metering station. The diameter of the gas pipeline is 1420 mm.

➡️On January 1, the application for transit of Rusdian here gas turned out to be zero, according to data from the Ukrainian GTS operator. At the same time, the contract for transportation of raw materials expired.

➡️In May 2022, Kiev stopped accepting gas for transit through Sokhranovka. After that, Sudzha remained the only gas metering station through which transit continued.

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🇷🇺🛸💥🇺🇦Massive raid of "Gerans" on Odessa

Drones are striking the port area, where the Ukrainian Armed Forces have weapons depots.

The drones are hitting targets one after another.

Local residents have already counted two dozen explosions.

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🇷🇺🛸💥🇺🇦 One of the first videos from a "Geran" drone, from yesterday's strike on Kirovograd.

"Stalin's Falcons" show footage of objective control of the Geranium raid on the railway infrastructures in Kirovograd.

It looks trains were hit...

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©️Russian think tank Rybar invites experts from the United States and Europe to cooperate©️

We have long been covering crises in different regions of the world: in Africa, the Middle East, and Ukraine. But most importantly, we analyze geopolitical and economic trends in the West and show unconventional points of view.

We are looking for:
▪️experts who understand the intricacies of US/EU bureaucracy and US/EU institutions;
▪️specialists and employees in large Western corporations;
▪️employees of diplomatic missions;
▪️employees of Western non-profit organizations or their partner companies;
▪️people with knowledge of the military-industrial complex, energy or the development of new technologies in the US and other Western countries.

❗️As the classical institutions of international cooperation collapse and fade into oblivion, public diplomacy and think tanks are taking their place.

If you'd like to be part of this process and advance our shared understanding of global trends and regional differences, contact us via the Telegram
@rybar_feedback_bot

@rybar

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🇺🇦💬🇷🇺🤣 'Crimea is dying without Ukrainians. There are no tourists there. Previously, 3 million tourists came there. Of them, 2.8 million were Ukrainians. They vacationed there, it's their peninsula. But now you can't bring tourists there. Nature is dying' - Zelensky

🐻The video shows the "prosperous Crimea" governed by Ukraine before 2014, compared to the "dying Russian Crimea". According to official data, in 2024 the tourist flow to Crimea increased by 16%, and amounted to 6 million 60 thousand tourists

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🇷🇺💬🇦🇲 Defrosting ("un-freezing") takes time, I say this as a woman who loves to cook — Maria Zakharova on Armenia's participation in the CSTO

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🇺🇦💬🇪🇺Zelensky complained about "serious difficulties" with Ukraine's accession to the EU.

He said this while criticizing the position of Hungary and its Prime Minister Orban, who blocks many EU decisions.

"It is simply anti-European when one person blocks decisions that are important for the entire continent or that have already been agreed upon. Ukraine has met the requirements, but now there are serious difficulties with opening the first and, of course, other negotiating clusters on Ukraine's accession to the EU. European efforts that should contribute to greater security and peace are also constantly blocked"

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🚨 LIVESTREAM ALERT 🚨

Join Danny Haiphong TODAY March 20th 130pm eastern 1030am pacific w/ Lowkey and Mohammad Marandi!

Danny, Lowkey and Prof. Marandi do a deep dive into recent U.S. and Israeli escalations in west Asia from Gaza to Yemen. What is the future of resistance as Trump ignites a fuse toward all out war and threats of war on Iran mount? Tune in as we discuss:

Link

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🇷🇺📄Ukrainian citizens who are in the Russian Federation without legal grounds must either leave by September 10 or regularize their status, according to a decree signed by Putin.

That means to obtain either Russian citizenship, a residence permit, or another legal right to reside (for employment, study, etc.).

Additionally, foreign citizens who are in the new territories of the Russian Federation are required to confirm that they are HIV-negative and do not use drugs by June 10, as stated in the same decree by Putin.

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🇷🇺💬🇺🇸American team of negotiators with Russia on Ukraine has been formed formed but the names should be announced by Americans - Putin's Aide Ushakov

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🇷🇺The perpetrators of the terrorist attack in Crocus also considered Red Square and the synagogue as targets for the terrorist attack. This was reported to TASS by the lawyer of the accused Dalerdzhon Mirzoyev, Oleg Vlasov.

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🇺🇦According to a poll by the Razumkov Center, 22% of Ukrainians are ready to secure the neutral, non-aligned and non-nuclear status of the country in the Constitution.

In the west of Ukraine, there are the most opponents of this idea (74% are "against" and 8.4% are "for"), while in the center and in the east, approximately 25% each spoke "for", and in the south, opinions were divided equally - 33% each.

At the same time, the majority of Ukrainians surveyed (56%) spoke out against abandoning the idea of NATO membership to end the war.

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