Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 22:10

JUST IN: Meta stock rises by over 9% following better-than-anticipated Q2 2025 earnings results.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 22:01

JUST IN: President Trump announced he has reached a trade agreement with Pakistan and proposed to South Korea to reduce their 25% tariffs.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 20:53

👇 Summary of FED Chair Powell's comments:

🟡 Current policy stance "leaves us well positioned"

🟡 Moderation of growth reflects a slowdown in consumer spending

🟡 Activity in the US housing sector remains weak

🟡 Inflation in the US remains "somewhat elevated"

🟡 Tariffs are "pushing up prices" in some goods

🟡 "Changes to government policy continue to evolve"

The Fed pause continues.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 20:17

JUST IN: Copper prices have fallen by −11% after Donald Trump’s tariffs excluded refined metal.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 20:03

Fed leaves rate unchanged at 4.25-4.5%

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 17:03

JUST IN: Senate Democrats are urging the Department of Justice to release the full Epstein files.

• Led by Chuck Schumer, they are invoking a rare law in their request.
• A formal request was sent to Attorney General Pam Bondi.
• Compliance is mandated if five members of the Homeland Security Committee sign the demand.
• A Wednesday press conference is planned for additional pressure.
• Schumer has also requested a closed-door Senate briefing and an FBI counterintelligence assessment.

This move could heighten scrutiny and push the administration to reveal details that may impact public and investor trust in the judicial process.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 14:37

JUST IN: The US economy grew by 3.0% in the second quarter, exceeding expectations.

• The PCE Price Index advanced by 2.1%, below the anticipated 2.9%.
• The Core PCE rose 2.5%, slightly above the expected 2.3%.
• The US Dollar Index reached a five-week high at 99.174, increasing by 0.25%.

The stronger-than-expected GDP and Core PCE figures could bolster investor confidence, potentially leading to a positive market reaction and affecting currency valuations.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 13:46

JUST IN: President Trump announced that the August 1st tariff deadline would remain unchanged, but the US and China have now agreed to extend their tariff deadline by an additional 90 days.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 12:47

📊 Mastering FOMC

FOMC day tends to move in two stages: first spike after 2pm, second wave after 2:30pm.

Expect volatility, stop hunts, then a directional move as narrative settles.

🟡 Wait at least 15–20min post-release
🟡 Watch for liquidity sweeps and reaction to narrative
🟡 Don’t trade blindly into the first push

Clear structure + patience = best setups.

Use this playbook — it repeats more often than you think.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 08:31

Stop obsessing over 1 trade

When You have 1000's to go

💰 Powered by Startups

Trade Watcher

29 July 2025 19:45

Do you agree with Milton?

💰 Powered by Startups

Trade Watcher

29 July 2025 17:26

💧 Understanding Liquidity, FVGs, and Smart Money Zones

To understand market moves, you need to see where money flows — where it hides, and where it gets hunted.

📍 What is liquidity
Liquidity is what fuels market movement.
Price doesn’t move randomly — it seeks out clusters of stop orders where large players can fill positions.

📈Buy-side liquidity sits above resistance or recent highs — stop losses from shorts.
📉Sell-side liquidity lies below support or recent lows — stop losses from longs.

These are the areas smart money targets to enter or exit positions with minimal slippage.

📍 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
Before grabbing liquidity, price often rebalances.
That’s where Fair Value Gaps come in.

🟡 A 3-candle pattern showing price imbalance.
🟡 It occurs when there’s no overlap between the first and third candles.
🟡 This creates a “gap” where one side (buy or sell) is inefficient.

📍 Internal vs External liquidity
Price usually moves in two phases:
🟡 Internal Liquidity (IRL) — rebalancing inside the range (e.g. FVGs)
🟡 External Liquidity (ERL) — taking out old highs or lows

This structure helps explain why price doesn’t go in a straight line — it clears inefficiencies first, then targets stops.

📍 Premium and Discount zones
Use the Fibonacci tool to map fair value:
🟡 Above equilibrium (0.5 level) is premium — an area to look for shorts.
🟡 Below equilibrium is discount — a zone for potential longs.

Smart entries often happen around the 0.618–0.705 zone — called Optimal Trade Entry (OTE).

Liquidity is the invisible hand behind price action.
Learn to follow the footprints — not the noise.

Trade Watcher

29 July 2025 15:20

JUST IN: Lutnick expects a new pharmaceutical plan announcement in two weeks with higher tariffs if pharma is not produced in the US.

• Lutnick confirms Trump will reveal pharma policy soon.
• A significant tariff is anticipated for non-US pharma production.
• EU trade talks are expected to continue.
• On India trade, Trump will decide on pursuing a deal.
• Resolution on some trade issues is anticipated by Friday.

The potential for higher tariffs could lead to increased costs for pharmaceutical companies that manufacture abroad, potentially impacting their stock prices and market performance.

Trade Watcher

29 July 2025 13:29

JUST IN: The European Union has agreed to purchase €40 billion worth of AI chips under a new trade agreement with the U.S..

Trade Watcher

29 July 2025 11:09

It was a hell of a ride for Palantir $PLTR.

Will cherish the memories 🫡

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 22:10

JUST IN: Microsoft stock, $MSFT, jumps more than 6% following better-than-expected Q2 2025 earnings.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 21:28

💥Powell wipes out $211M in longs in just 1 hour

The Fed Chair’s comments triggered a sharp move across the board, liquidating over $211M in long positions.

➡️ $BTC – $50.4M
➡️ $ETH – $47.07M
➡️ $SOL – $20.5M
➡️ $XRP – $9.68M

A reminder: macro still sets the tone.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 20:27

JUST IN: Donald Trump stated that Nancy Pelosi should be investigated.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 20:09

JUST IN: The White House announced that Donald Trump has enacted a universal 50% tariff on semi-finished copper imports and copper-intensive derivatives starting August 1st. Additionally, Trump signed an executive order for a 40% tariff on Brazil, totaling 50%.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 19:31

📈 Most of the time, price spends time building liquidity through multiple ways.

Don’t trade during these times, trade only during manipulations and expansions from these areas.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 16:21

🤝 US–EU trade deal exposes Europe's dependency

The new trade agreement hits EU exporters with up to 15% tariffs, while U.S. imports face almost none.

Even von der Leyen admitted:

This is the best we could get.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 14:17

JUST IN: President Trump has announced a 25% tariff on India starting August 1st, as well as a "penalty" for purchasing Russian energy and military equipment.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 13:36

JUST IN: German Finance Minister Klingbeil: Unhappy with EU trade deal with the U.S., citing potential economic impact.

Trade Watcher

30 July 2025 10:31

💵 Dollar bounce gaining momentum

The dollar reversal looks well underway — driven by ultra-bearish positioning, the EU trade deal, and anticipation of the $500B Treasury General Account rebuild, which hasn’t even properly started yet.

Sentiment is still deeply one-sided.
That likely needs to unwind before any real move lower.

Today brings two key catalysts:
🟡 FOMC — if Powell shifts dovish
🟡 QRA — if Bessent launches a T-bill wave

Big day for the dollar. Volatility ahead.

Trade Watcher

29 July 2025 22:02

JUST IN: Oil prices are nearing $70/barrel as President Trump threatens to impose economic sanctions on Russia.

Trade Watcher

29 July 2025 18:03

JUST IN: US and China have agreed to prolong their trade truce, according to comments by Li.

Trade Watcher

29 July 2025 15:21

JUST IN: India anticipates US tariffs ranging from 20% to 25% and is hopeful for a deal by September or October.

Trade Watcher

29 July 2025 15:07

Fed week is here ❕

Kalshi now sees a 95% chance of no change in interest rates this week.

However, all eyes will be on the Fed’s outlook, with 2 rate cuts expected between July and January.

Guidance will be all that matters.

Trade Watcher

29 July 2025 12:50

💰 What is Valuation?

Valuation = estimating what an asset is really worth.

The image covers the core methods — DCF, multiples, net assets, reverse DCF.

But here’s what’s equally important 👇

🟡 Valuation ≠ price — Market price is what people pay. Value is what something should be worth. The two often diverge.

🟡 Intangibles matter — Brand, network effects, IP, and data often hold more value than factories or cash flow.

🟡 Context is everything — A great valuation in 2020 looks insane in 2023. Interest rates, cycles, liquidity all shift “fair value.”

🟡 In crypto, valuation is even harder —most tokens have no cash flows. Look at usage, token sink mechanics, emission schedules.

🟡 Margin of safety — Smart investors never buy at fair value. They want a discount — to account for being wrong.

Valuation isn’t exact.
It’s a tool, not a truth.
Use it wisely — and never in isolation.

Trade Watcher

29 July 2025 10:31

⚠️ M2 money supply is now expanding at 4.5%

After reaching its deepest contraction in 65 years

This is very constructive for the US stock market