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Truly incredible:
Oil prices have completely erased ALL overnight gains and turned red.
Some of Iran’s largest oil and gas facilities are shut down or destroyed — and yet, oil prices are falling.
U.S. aerial refueling planes are heading toward Europe in large numbers.
30 have already been transferred from U.S. territory.
Key Events This Week
—Tuesday, June 17
• Core Retail Sales m/m
• Retail Sales m/m
— Wednesday, June 18
• CPI y/y
• Unemployment Claims
• Federal Funds Rate
• FOMC Economic Projections
• FOMC Statement
• FOMC Press Conference
— Thursday, June 19
• Monetary Policy Summary
• MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
• Official Bank Rate
— Friday, June 20
• Retail Sales m/m
Senator Markwayne Mullin filed more than $400,000 in stock trades.
He bought L3Harris, $LHX, a drone manufacturer.
Last week, Trump signed an executive order to increase US-made drone production.
And then Israel attacked Iran.
Mullin is on the Armed Services Committee.
Strike reported on Mashhad Airport, the second-largest city in Iran by size and population
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Israeli officials call on the US to join Israel in their attack against Iran.
A White House official now confirms that Israel has asked the Trump Administration to join the war, per Axios.
Axios reports that an Israeli source said the US is "considering the request."
Overnight Summary: Israel and Iran exchange heavy strikes
— Iran struck Israel’s largest oil depot in Haifa.
— In response, Israel bombed key infrastructure in Tehran — the capital reportedly faces a total blackout.
— A massive explosion and thick black smoke were seen over western Tehran; the Shahran oil facility was hit.
— Iranian missiles targeted residential areas in northern Israel.
— A rocket strike was reported in Tel Aviv.
— Iran’s Foreign Minister announced readiness to sign an agreement guaranteeing it will not pursue nuclear weapons.
Beginner trader:
Price is at 4H support, waiting for candle close to confirm.
RSI is oversold, MACD is crossing.
Price is above the 146 MA.
Open interest and cumulative delta are rising.
Let me write an essay in my trading journal first, then I’ll take a 0.1% risk trade.
Experienced trader:
No clue, looks decent — entering with 2–3%.
No pain no gain
No sacrifice No reward
No risk No story
Israel: *bombs Iran and kills senior military leaders and nuclear scientists*
Retail investors:
Trump is highly skeptical about involving the U.S. in the Israel-Iran conflict, CNN reports.
According to the network, Washington’s intervention could lead to “a grueling, endless war with no clear endgame.”
Polymarket users predict a 97.5% chance that the Fed will not cut rates this week.
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Here’s a summary of the current Iran–Israel conflict as of today:
— Iran planned to transfer nuclear weapons to the Houthis and other allies, according to Netanyahu.
— Iran has launched around 30 missiles at Israel today. On day one, it was 200; on day two, 100; now just 30. Local media report that about half were intercepted by air defense systems.
— The war with Israel will continue for the next “several weeks” and could escalate further, a senior Iranian official said on state TV.
— Iran struck the weapons factory of Israeli defense company Rafael and Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv.
— Footage has surfaced showing strikes on Tel Aviv, Haifa, and possibly the Nevatim Airbase.
— In response, Israel hit one of Iran’s Foreign Ministry buildings. Civilians and diplomats were injured.
— Iran’s attacks are targeting Israeli leaders and scientists, a spokesperson for the Iranian armed forces said.
— Iran’s IRGC confirmed the death of intelligence chief Mohammad Kazemi in Israeli strikes.
Reuters:
Trump vetoed Israel’s plan to assassinate Iran’s Supreme Leader, U.S. officials say.
Since noon, Israel has reportedly targeted the following sites in Tehran:
• IRGC General Staff
• Air Force Headquarters
• Ministry of Intelligence
• Ministry of Justice
• Ministry of Oil
• Ministry of Interior
• Ministry of Foreign Affairs
• Parliament building
• Tehran Police Headquarters
• Civil infrastructure (water and sewage systems)
Iran’s capital, Tehran, is currently under Israeli missile strikes.
There are civilian casualties. Water pipelines have been damaged, flooding the streets. The city is paralyzed by traffic jams, with some areas completely inaccessible by car.
The goal is not to delete emotions.
The goal is not to act on them.
The Israeli army, speaking in Persian, has urged all Iranians living near military sites to evacuate.
It appears the MAIN strike is imminent.
If you are a trader and struggle to be consistent, the first step is to acknowledge and understand which of the 4 phases you're in.
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Rarely will the typical trader stay with his system beyond two or three losses in a row, and taking two or three losses in a row is a very common occurrence for most trading systems.
- Mark Douglas
Gold prices surge above $3450/oz and now stand less than 2% away from a new all time high.
Gold is currently up nearly 30% year-to-date.
Keep watching gold.