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JUST IN: President Trump urges for lower oil prices and warns against aiding adversaries. He instructs the US Department of Energy to "Drill, baby, drill" in an effort to combat inflation.
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JUST IN: US officials warn of imminent high risk of Iranian retaliation against US forces, while efforts for diplomatic resolution continue.
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JUST IN: Oil prices saw a minimal increase after U.S. strikes in Iran, indicating markets doubt a Hormuz Strait blockade. Despite tensions, experts consider it unlikely as Iran relies on oil exports to China. Analysts find the muted price reaction surprising, while alternative routes in Saudi Arabia and UAE offer limited relief. High inventories and OPEC+ production suggest potential price spikes would be temporary.
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Crude just dropped over 4% today.
Now down 15% from last week’s high.
Reports say Iran wants to de-escalate with the US and Israel.
The markets detect peace, and they’re pricing it in.
A senior security official:
Iran is preparing for a very big blow after the first act of aggression by the Zionist regime — Iranian media.
Another powerful Israeli strike on Tehran — this time during rush hour, right after the workday ended.
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Truly incredible:
Oil prices have completely erased ALL overnight gains and turned red.
Some of Iran’s largest oil and gas facilities are shut down or destroyed — and yet, oil prices are falling.
U.S. aerial refueling planes are heading toward Europe in large numbers.
30 have already been transferred from U.S. territory.
Key Events This Week
—Tuesday, June 17
• Core Retail Sales m/m
• Retail Sales m/m
— Wednesday, June 18
• CPI y/y
• Unemployment Claims
• Federal Funds Rate
• FOMC Economic Projections
• FOMC Statement
• FOMC Press Conference
— Thursday, June 19
• Monetary Policy Summary
• MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
• Official Bank Rate
— Friday, June 20
• Retail Sales m/m
Senator Markwayne Mullin filed more than $400,000 in stock trades.
He bought L3Harris, $LHX, a drone manufacturer.
Last week, Trump signed an executive order to increase US-made drone production.
And then Israel attacked Iran.
Mullin is on the Armed Services Committee.
Strike reported on Mashhad Airport, the second-largest city in Iran by size and population
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Israeli officials call on the US to join Israel in their attack against Iran.
A White House official now confirms that Israel has asked the Trump Administration to join the war, per Axios.
Axios reports that an Israeli source said the US is "considering the request."
Key Earnings Calendar
— Monday, June 23
• KB Home (KBH) — after close
— Tuesday, June 24
• FedEx (FDX) — after close
• Carnival (CCL) — before open
— Wednesday, June 25
• Micron (MU) — after close
• Paychex (PAYX), General Mills (GIS), Winnebago (WGO), Jefferies (JEF)
— Thursday, June 26
• Nike (NKE), Walgreens (WBA), McCormick (MKC) — after close
— Friday, June 27
• Final read on May’s PCE inflation and other data (income, spending, sentiment)
JUST IN: White House Press Secretary Leavitt stated that Trump received intelligence indicating Iran was 'weeks' away from acquiring a nuclear weapon.
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Iranian official denies any Iranian signal to end hostilities.
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Breaking: Iran asks Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Oman to ask President Trump to press Israel to agree to an immediate ceasefire, per Reuters.
In return, Iran will offer flexibility in nuclear negotiations with the US, per Reuters.
Iran signals it wants to de-escalate hostilities with Israel: WSJ
Iran stated privately it will resume nuclear talks if the US stays out of the fight.
Israel continues to strike Iran, with explosions reported in eastern Tehran.
Meanwhile, the IDF has issued a call for residents of the third district in the Iranian capital to evacuate.
Trump is highly skeptical about involving the U.S. in the Israel-Iran conflict, CNN reports.
According to the network, Washington’s intervention could lead to “a grueling, endless war with no clear endgame.”
Polymarket users predict a 97.5% chance that the Fed will not cut rates this week.
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Here’s a summary of the current Iran–Israel conflict as of today:
— Iran planned to transfer nuclear weapons to the Houthis and other allies, according to Netanyahu.
— Iran has launched around 30 missiles at Israel today. On day one, it was 200; on day two, 100; now just 30. Local media report that about half were intercepted by air defense systems.
— The war with Israel will continue for the next “several weeks” and could escalate further, a senior Iranian official said on state TV.
— Iran struck the weapons factory of Israeli defense company Rafael and Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv.
— Footage has surfaced showing strikes on Tel Aviv, Haifa, and possibly the Nevatim Airbase.
— In response, Israel hit one of Iran’s Foreign Ministry buildings. Civilians and diplomats were injured.
— Iran’s attacks are targeting Israeli leaders and scientists, a spokesperson for the Iranian armed forces said.
— Iran’s IRGC confirmed the death of intelligence chief Mohammad Kazemi in Israeli strikes.
Reuters:
Trump vetoed Israel’s plan to assassinate Iran’s Supreme Leader, U.S. officials say.
Since noon, Israel has reportedly targeted the following sites in Tehran:
• IRGC General Staff
• Air Force Headquarters
• Ministry of Intelligence
• Ministry of Justice
• Ministry of Oil
• Ministry of Interior
• Ministry of Foreign Affairs
• Parliament building
• Tehran Police Headquarters
• Civil infrastructure (water and sewage systems)
Iran’s capital, Tehran, is currently under Israeli missile strikes.
There are civilian casualties. Water pipelines have been damaged, flooding the streets. The city is paralyzed by traffic jams, with some areas completely inaccessible by car.
The goal is not to delete emotions.
The goal is not to act on them.
The Israeli army, speaking in Persian, has urged all Iranians living near military sites to evacuate.
It appears the MAIN strike is imminent.