Trade Watcher

28 June 2025 08:32

> “Mommy, how did we get so rich?”
> “Your Dad is a complete psychopath with unlimited risk tolerance.”

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 19:57

He literally called the bottom.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 19:20

JUST IN: Trump stated on Truth Social that he was considering lifting sanctions on Iran, but he has decided against it.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 18:42

JUST IN: President Trump: Iran has threatened my life.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 18:16

China cuts reliance on the dollar, buys more gold

China has reduced the share of U.S. Treasuries in its reserves from 37% in 2016 to around 22% — near a 15-year low.

At the same time, gold’s share has doubled since 2022 and now sits at a record 6.8%.

China has added about 200 tonnes of gold as it shifts away from the dollar.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 16:56

JUST IN: A news conference will be held at the White House at 11:30 by President Trump.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 15:51

Taiwan investors are dumping U.S. bonds at fastest pace since Covid

Taiwanese investors are selling U.S. Treasuries at the most aggressive rate since the start of the pandemic.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 14:06

The Federal Reserve's Kashkari anticipates two interest rate cuts in 2025, potentially starting in September. He notes that if cuts occur in September and tariff effects emerge later, there may be a pause in further rate reductions.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 12:11

Japanese investors buying domestic bonds at fastest pace since 2007

Japanese investors are snapping up local government bonds at a record rate, marking the strongest buying spree since 2007.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 10:10

Italian Prime Minister Meloni's actions at the NATO Summit went viral.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 09:04

President Trump announced that he signed a trade deal with China yesterday, despite no official announcement being made at the time.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 07:32

what breakout traders look like:

- open interest increasing
- aggression in volume
- all above a swing pivot

once pushed offside, they offer fuel for reversion by being forced out of their positions.

example above

Trade Watcher

26 June 2025 19:58

JUST IN: The White House announces Trump can set reciprocal tariff rates if negotiations collapse.

Trade Watcher

26 June 2025 18:57

$SPY to hit 6,700 by the end of 2025, according to BMO

Trade Watcher

26 June 2025 17:32

World debt has now officially crossed $300 trillion

And still continues to climb aggressively

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 20:57

Global M&A hits record low

Worldwide mergers and acquisitions have dropped to under 1,250 deals a month — the lowest ever recorded.

That’s even below levels seen during the 2008 crash and 2020 pandemic.

High interest rates, trade tensions, and global uncertainty are making deals harder to finance and close.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 19:51

JUST IN: Donald Trump stated that Canada will be informed of the tariff they must pay to conduct business with the U.S. within the next week. He mentioned that Canada has announced a digital services tax on American technology companies, calling it a direct and blatant attack. Consequently, Trump has terminated trade discussions with Canada, referencing the digital service tax as the reason.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 18:57

JUST IN: Trump stated that the July 9 deadline for tariffs could be extended or shortened.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 18:22

President Trump warned that failing to pass the bill would result in a 68% tax increase for the country.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 17:16

JUST IN: The EU and the US anticipate finalizing a trade agreement before July 9th, the date when US tariffs are expected to increase to 50% on nearly all EU goods.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 16:55

Foreign ownership of U.S. assets hits record levels

Since 1991, foreign investors have bought $128 trillion worth of U.S. financial assets, according to BofA — and the pace has doubled over the last 15 years.

A big driver: U.S. stocks. Foreigners now own a record 18% of the U.S. stock market, or around $19 trillion.

Strong, stable returns have made the U.S. a global investment magnet — fueling its unmatched financial dominance.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 14:42

JUST IN: In May, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure, increased to 2.3%, matching expectations. However, core PCE inflation rose to 2.7%, exceeding the anticipated 2.6%. This marks the first rise in PCE inflation since February 2025. The Federal Reserve plans to maintain its current pause.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 13:14

Apple updates App Store rules in EU under DMA pressure

Apple has revised its App Store policies in the EU to comply with the Digital Markets Act:

• 20% fee on in-app purchases (13% for small businesses)
• 5–15% fee for directing users to external payment systems
• Developers must display Apple’s special prompt before redirecting users

The European Commission has launched a review to assess compliance.

Epic Games’ CEO slammed the changes as “blatantly illegal” and aimed at crushing competition.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 11:11

U.S.–China trade talks back on — rare earths take center stage

Trade between the U.S. and China is officially back in focus, with rare earth exports listed as a top priority.

The materials are critical for tech, defense, and green energy — making them a key issue in renewed negotiations.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 09:10

Mexican bank accused of cartel ties has access to Fed payment system

A Mexican bank accused by the U.S. Treasury of laundering cartel funds has a U.S. subsidiary with a Fed master account — granting direct access to America’s payment system.

The account was opened in 2021, around the time crypto firms like Kraken were being denied similar access.

Intercam Banco denies the allegations, citing nearly 30 years of AML and CTF compliance.

Trade Watcher

27 June 2025 08:37

Nvidia is approaching a $4 trillion market cap.

Trade Watcher

26 June 2025 20:51

In case you forgot:

President Trump's 90-day tariff pause now only has 13 days remaining.

This means without any new trade deals, on July 9th, tariff rates will rise as follows:

1. Country-specific "reciprocal tariffs" return
2. Tariffs of up to 50% on EU imports
3. 30% tariffs on Chinese imports remain in effect
4. Global 10% baseline tariffs remains in effect

The S&P 500 is now ~1,200 points higher than it was on April 9th, when the 90-day pause was announced.

The trade war will soon take the spotlight again.

Trade Watcher

26 June 2025 19:57

U.S. debt could hit 218% of GDP in 30 years

If the new spending bill (OBBBA) becomes permanent and rates stay high, U.S. debt could soar by $55 trillion by 2054 — pushing the debt-to-GDP ratio to 218%, per CRFB.

Even under current terms, the bill may add $15 trillion and raise the ratio to 172%.

Bottom line: the U.S. is on a dangerously unsustainable fiscal path.

Trade Watcher

26 June 2025 17:57

JUST IN: Tesla HR executive Jenna Ferrua reportedly leaves the company.

Trade Watcher

26 June 2025 16:26

Semiconductor stocks hit record size in S&P 500

Chip stocks now make up 12.1% of the S&P 500 — the highest ever, and double what it was three years ago.

The $SOX index is up ~111% in that time, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 61% gain.

Nvidia alone accounts for 56% of the sector’s market cap and just hit a $3.8T valuation, reclaiming its spot as the world’s most valuable company.

Semiconductors are on a historic run.