Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 19:49

Remember IBM?

Over the past 5 years, it has outperformed:

• Microsoft
• Apple
• Google

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 17:49

JUST IN: Powell: We will eventually start cutting rates again.

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 16:46

JUST IN: Trump criticizes Powell, calling him "a very stupid person" and "a very average mentally person."

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 15:37

JUST IN: The NASDAQ 100 has reached an all-time high.

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 13:59

JUST IN: The US Treasury reported a $316 billion budget deficit in May, marking the third-largest in history. Government spending increased by 3% YoY, reaching $687 billion. Despite a 270% surge in tariff revenue to $23 billion, it did little to offset the deficit. The budget gap for the first 8 months of Fiscal Year 2025 is now $1.37 trillion, the third-largest ever. The 12-month federal deficit is at $2.0 trillion, or 6.7% of GDP, up from 6.1% last year, indicating a worsening deficit crisis.

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 12:05

U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio to surpass post-WWII record by 2029

America’s national debt is projected to exceed 106% of GDP within the next four years — topping the previous high set after World War II.

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 11:00

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Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 10:05

S&P 500 up 50% since Michael Burry’s sell warning

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 09:00

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Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 07:32

session stops:

orders like to absorb price below or above session highs/lows.

in particular during the opening phase of New York session.

stops placed above or below London session trigger predictable orders to fill from the passive limit side.

example ↑

Trade Watcher

24 June 2025 19:32

The S&P 500 is up 2% since this headline.

Oil is down 12%.

Trade Watcher

24 June 2025 18:42

JUST IN: Powell predicts significant tariff inflation effects from June to August. If not observed, it could lead to earlier cuts.

Trade Watcher

24 June 2025 16:54

Trump nominated for Nobel Peace Prize

Donald Trump has been nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize for brokering the ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel.

Trade Watcher

24 June 2025 16:27

JUST IN: Fed's Powell suggests earlier rate cuts if inflation is weaker than anticipated.

Trade Watcher

24 June 2025 15:23

JUST IN: Fed's Hammack indicates more progress needed for 2% inflation target, notes policy is near neutral, expects Fed to hold steady for now, and sees no urgent need to cut interest rates.

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 18:49

Investors are piling into tech stocks

U.S. tech saw $4.4B in inflows last week — the highest since June 2024 and 4x more than all other sectors combined.

The 4-week average stands at $1.5B per week.

Institutional buying hit $3B — a record since 2008, according to BofA. As a share of total market cap, that ranks in the top 2% historically.

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 17:03

Remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell:

• We do not consider the U.S. national debt when making interest rate decisions.

• On the recent weakness of the dollar: The market is “digesting” extraordinarily complex economic and geopolitical conditions.

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 16:37

Italian Prime Minister:

A 10% tariff from the U.S. will not have a significant impact on our companies.

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 14:58

Chances of rate cuts by September soar to 85%

Market expectations for a Fed rate cut by September have surged to 85%, reflecting growing confidence in a policy shift amid cooling inflation signals.

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 13:09

Nvidia board member makes record $24M stock sale

A. Brooke Seawell, on Nvidia’s board since 1997, sold $24 million worth of $NVDA shares — his largest sale ever.

The transaction is over 4x bigger than any of his previous sales.

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 11:00

JUST IN: Trump on Iran:

“The ceasefire between Iran and Israel is going well.

I think we will have some sort of relationship with Iran.

Iran will not have a nuclear bomb.”

In response to a question about Iran’s uranium enrichment plans, Trump said:

“We will not allow it — even by military means.”

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 10:55

JUST IN: Trump claims the Iranian nuclear program has been set back by decades. He states that a US strike on Iran "ended the war."

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 09:14

Polymarket currently gives just 30% odds that OpenAI's ChatGPT hits 1B monthly active users by Dec 31, 2025.

As of March, it had ~600M MAUs (per Google court filing). To reach 1B, it’d need 8.8% MoM growth—faster than TikTok managed at scale.

For reference, ChatGPT grew ~9% MoM from 100M to 400M WAUs in 2023–24.

Trade Watcher

25 June 2025 08:35

China's rare earth magnet exports plunge 74% YoY

In May, China’s rare earth magnet exports fell 74% YoY — the largest monthly drop on record. Total exports hit 1.2M kg, the lowest since Feb 2020.

Exports to the U.S. collapsed 93% to ~46,000 kg after a 59% drop in April.

China produces ~69% of the world’s rare earth minerals and processes ~90%, making its exports a central lever in the tariff war.

Trade Watcher

24 June 2025 20:32

Polymarket nears $200M raise at $1B+ valuation

Prediction market platform Polymarket is reportedly close to raising $200M, pushing its valuation beyond the $1B mark.

Trade Watcher

24 June 2025 19:24

JUST IN: The EU cautions that even a minimal Trump tariff could provoke retaliation.

Trade Watcher

24 June 2025 17:19

JUST IN: Blast detected in Damascus, Syria - per Reuters correspondents.

Trade Watcher

24 June 2025 16:36

JUST IN: Fed's Powell states that rate cuts are on hold due to anticipated significant inflation growth this year.

Trade Watcher

24 June 2025 16:27

U.S. Stocks on track for an annual inflow of $360 Billion, the 3rd largest in history

Trade Watcher

24 June 2025 14:42

JUST IN: Fed's Powell states the economy remains strong despite uncertainty. Tariffs could raise prices and impact the economy. US short-term interest rate futures dip as traders anticipate lower chances of early Fed rate cuts.