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Chance of a June rate cut hits 99.9%
Markets have basically priced it in.
All eyes now turn to the Fed.
Cathie Wood predicts $2,600 TSLA — while quietly selling
ARK’s bold Tesla target grabs headlines, but filings show Cathie has been offloading shares.
Multiple Waymo self-driving cars set on fire in Los Angeles
Several autonomous vehicles were reportedly torched in LA.
Details on the cause or motive remain unclear.
Tensions around self-driving tech may be escalating.
US-China trade talks kick off today in London
Officials from both nations are meeting to restart negotiations.
Markets watching closely — a positive outcome could ease global tensions.
US vs EU Credit: No Yield Edge After Hedging
There’s little yield advantage between US and EU investment-grade bonds.
With high forward hedging costs, US credit offers limited appeal to European investors.
As a result, most flows are expected to stay within Europe.
After hedging, the yield differential is so small that cross-border returns would likely be negative.
Key Events This Week
— Wednesday, June 11
• US Core CPI m/m
• US CPI m/m
• US CPI y/y
— Thursday, June 12
• UK GDP m/m
• US Core PPI m/m
• US PPI m/m
• US Unemployment Claims
— Friday, June 13
• US Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
• US Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
Big week for inflation data ahead of the Fed meeting.
Books they never wrote and films they never made:
'The Much Bigger Long'
Trading losses can be painful.
It takes confidence to trade again after a trading loss.
Trading is not for weak people.
The pain of discipline or the pain of regret...
What are you choosing today?
Finance vs Life? Why not both!
Who says you have to choose?
Balance the grind with what really matters.
US and China to meet on tariffs June 9
Washington and Beijing will hold bilateral talks on June 9 to discuss trade tariffs.
The meeting follows a recent Trump-Xi call and aims to ease economic tensions.
China extends rare earth exports to US
Following Xi-Trump call, China grants 6-month export license extensions to key US rare earth suppliers.
The move benefits firms tied to America’s top 3 automakers — a first positive sign from the talks.
Trump on the phone with CNN:
“I'm not even thinking about Elon. He's got a problem. The poor guy’s got a problem. I won't be speaking to him for a while, but of course I wish him well.”
We’re launching our private server this week.
Inside, you’ll get:
• Detailed breakdowns of our trading system
• Crypto calls from our analysts
• Stock signals from an experienced equity trader
• Structured setups with clear logic and risk
To mark the launch, we ran a small test in May.
We created a fresh high-risk account and traded everything we shared in this channel and the public chat.
Here’s the result.
May Stops: -3R
NQ -1
NQ BE
EUR -1
BTC -1
NQ BE after +2R
NQ BE after +8R
May Profits: +16R
GOLD +3R
NQ +2R
EUR +2.3R
BTC +2R
GOLD +2R
NQ +2.5R
GOLD +2R
Total for May: +70%
Tracked via Myfxbook, traded with high risk for the purpose of this experiment.
In the private server, we’ll explain the reasoning behind each trade more clearly.
Crypto, stocks, macro setups — all in one place.
Launching this week.
U.S.–China trade talks begin in London.
Delegations from both countries have officially launched a new round of negotiations.
Meeting is expected to extend into the evening in the UK — and could continue into Tuesday.
The S&P 500 has surged 47% since Michael Burry famously said “sell.”
Markets defied the bearish call.
Timing remains everything — even for legends.
BLS likely overstated 2024 job gains by 907,000
According to new data, the U.S. may have added far fewer jobs in 2024 than previously reported.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) originally said private payrolls grew 1.2% last year. But more accurate data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), which covers 97% of employers, shows growth was only 0.6%.
That’s a 907,000 job gap — or around 75,583 jobs overstated every month.
Never let a win get to your head
Never let a loss get to your heart
Balance.
Warren Buffett’s Financial Statement Rules of Thumb
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Elon Musk posted a cryptic message
While he didn’t explain, many believe it refers to his fallout with Donald Trump.
On Thursday, their feud turned public — with both trading jabs over social media and in the press. The immediate trigger was a budget bill Musk opposed, but deeper tensions had been building.
Still, U.S. media reports suggest both sides may now be looking to cool things down.
There’s a kind of peace that comes when you stop trying to do more.
Shorter session. Fewer tickers. One setup.
You’re not hunting — you’re waiting.
Clear mind, clear plan.
BREAKING: JD Vance says he wants Elon Musk “back on the team” — and now both Trump and Musk are quietly deleting past attacks.
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trading doesn’t just reveal your identity - it exposes who you are
your impatience
your need for control
your addiction to being right
your fear of being average
you’re not addicted to the market
you’re addicted to how it makes you feel about yourself when you win
and every time you lose
that fragile identity as a “winner” fractures a little more
Stop trading every day, start trading every opportunity
Opportunities are distributed randomly, not equally
Trump highlights market rally, strong jobs data, and rising tariff revenue.
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President Trump is considering getting rid of his Tesla
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