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Telegram-канал trade - Trade Watcher

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📈 All the latest updates on the Stock Market: signals, news, and everything that might move the narrative — all in one place. 😉 We keep an eye on the price; you can just watch us do it. Buy Ads: @bobbyADS (this is our only account).

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Trade Watcher

Institutional investors remain bearish of US stocks:

A net 38% of institutional investors were underweight US equities in early May, the lowest since May 2023, according to BofA.

Outside of 2023, this marks the lowest allocation since the lead up to 2008.

Over the last 5 months, this percentage has fallen by ~70 points, the biggest drop on record.

The difference between the proportion of investors being overweight Eurozone versus US equities hit a net ~75%, the highest since October 2017.

By comparison, 4 months ago, the net percentage was -62 points, the lowest since 2012.

The sentiment shift among professional investors has been historic.

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Elon Musk: "By the end of next year, we'll have hundreds of thousands, if not over a million Teslas, $TSLA, doing self-driving in the US."

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BREAKING: U.S. Senate unanimously passes the No Tax on Tips Act.

It will eliminate the application of the income tax on qualified tips.


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🚨 Alpha Alert: $AAVE is quietly becoming one of the strongest fundamental plays in the market:

• TVL just hit $30B — new ATH
• Over $1M/day in protocol fees
• $10B in outstanding loans
• Leading the stablecoin narrative ahead of the GENIUS Act vote
• Backed by real yield, institutional interest, and DeFi infra expansion

On the chart: strong reaction from the balanced price range.
If it gives a pullback toward the inefficiency near $200 — that’s the spot to watch.

New ATH doesn’t seem far.

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$NVDA forms head & shoulders — trader says wave (b) is complete

According to FinanceLancelot, Nvidia may have peaked, forming a textbook head and shoulders pattern.
He ties it to the end of Elliot Wave (b), warning this could signal a deeper correction ahead.
Chart echoes classic bubble anatomy — and April 2022 setup.

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Trump will make a public statement at 3 PM alongside the Secretary of Defense.

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Trump arrives at the Capitol for tax bill talks

Let the volatility begin.

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Do you agree?

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Huawei launches wicked new “laptop”

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NVIDIA has introduced a new initiative featuring real-time AI avatars for enterprise use.
These digital agents can interact with users, understand context, and access company data on demand.

A glimpse into the next frontier of AI-driven customer experience.

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Tavi Costa supports Moody’s downgrade — and doubles down on USD bear case

According to Costa, no other major economy needs 5% GDP growth just to service its debt.

He sees this as a key reason to stay bearish on the dollar — and expects some form of yield curve control ahead.

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Trump on Putin call

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Classic IQ bell curve meme

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China responds to U.S. chip export control changes

Beijing has accused the U.S. of undermining Geneva agreements following the latest adjustment to chip export restrictions.

China urged Washington to “correct its mistakes” and respect prior commitments.

Tech tensions are far from cooling.

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White House Economic Advisor Hassett says US debt is "the safest bet on Earth."

Hassett describes the Moody's decision to downgrade the US' credit rating on Friday as "backward looking."


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Chinese stock market opening

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Investors are piling into gold funds like never before:

Gold funds have posted a record $85 BILLION in net inflows year-to-date.

This is more than DOUBLE the full-year record seen in 2020.

At this pace, net inflows will surpass $180 billion by the end of 2025.

Gold is now the best-performing major asset class, up 22% year-to-date.

Since the low in October 2022, gold prices have gained 97%.

Gold is the global hedge against uncertainty.

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Apple, $AAPL, is planning a big 2027 with foldable all-screen iPhones, smart glasses, camera equipped wearables, table-top robots and more.

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Marjorie Taylor Greene MTG is buying again

She just disclosed up to ~$300K of new stock buys

Including buying ~$65K of United Health $UNH dip, $50K of MercadoLibre $MELI, & more

Not one stock sell either

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Elon Musk on Starlink IPO: “Possible someday, but in no rush”

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President Trump says the alternative to not passing his tax bill is “massive tax hikes.”

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Japan's bond market is imploding:

Japan's 30Y Government Bond Yield has officially surged to its highest level in history, at 3.15%.

For decades, Japan was known for low long-term interest rates.

Now, they are dealing with high inflation, shifting policy outlook, and a whopping 260% Debt-to-GDP ratio.

On top of this, Japan holds $1.1 TRILLION worth of US debt, making it the largest foreign holder of US debt.

Yesterday, Japan’s Prime Minister Ishiba called the situation “worse than Greece.”

What will Japan do here?

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The only wallpaper you need

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Small Cap Stocks on track for the largest annual outflow in history of $68 Billion

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Newhouse dumps stocks, buys big banks and Walmart

Rep. Dan Newhouse (R) disclosed 52 trades on April 10 — but 48 were sells.
What did he buy?

• $50K Bank of America ($BAC)
• $50K JP Morgan ($JPM)
• $50K Prudential ($PRU)
• $50K Walmart ($WMT)

Heavy rotation out of equities — into defensive giants.

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Bybit adds stock trading to Gold & FX platform

Bybit has expanded its Gold & FX platform, now offering stock trading via MT5.
Users can trade 78 stocks directly using $USDT as the base currency.

The update also includes Copy Trading, letting users mirror top-performing traders in real time.

One step closer to a full-spectrum trading hub.

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Ray Dalio says the risk to U.S. Treasuries is even greater than what Moody's is saying

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You're given $100,000.
Would you invest it in $TSLA or $BYD?

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Michael Saylor faces class action over Bitcoin strategy

A class action lawsuit has been filed against Michael Saylor and his firm, Strategy, accusing them of misleading investors about Bitcoin returns and downplaying volatility.

Plaintiffs allege undisclosed conflicts of interest and exaggerated claims about BTC as a dollar alternative.

The case could set new standards for crypto-related financial disclosures.

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Trading the Asian range.

Using the same time based approach for Asia and using the foundation:

Dealing range
8am opening price
Liquidity hungry (9:30 PM)
CISD

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