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Telegram-канал trade - Trade Watcher

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📈 All the latest updates on the Stock Market: signals, news, and everything that might move the narrative — all in one place. 😉 We keep an eye on the price; you can just watch us do it. Buy Ads: @JamesCookTg (this is our only account).

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Trade Watcher

Alts performance vs. BTC measured from cycle bottoms.

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Trade Watcher

Canada's dollar falls to lowest level since 2003 amid new US tariffs

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Hedge Funds dumped stocks last week at the fastest pace since July

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Retail are capitulating their $BTC, whilst whales are buying.

Transfer of wealth from the weak hands to the strong hands.

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As the $ETH price dropped, this whale who shorted $ETH with 50x leverage currently has an unrealized profit of more than $16.8M.

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The stablecoin market has surged past $200B, growing nearly $40B since President Trump’s election win, signaling a potential crypto price upswing in Q1 2025.

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Significant capital inflows into crypto! Circle has minted 6 billion USDC on Solana in the past month.

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US Revolving Credit vs. TOTAL3: A Familiar Pattern?

Each time revolving credit hit a triple top and crossed the moving average, a major correction followed - while TOTAL3 (crypto market cap excluding BTC & ETH) saw a strong rally.

If this trend holds, TOTAL3 could reach $2T, aligning with Bitcoin's current market cap.

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World Liberty Financial has increased its Ethereum holdings to over 70,000 ETH (~$235M) after purchasing an additional 2,972 ETH for $10M USDT. With ETH up ~3% in the past 24 hours, the market could be setting up for a push toward the $4,000 level.

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Trump's 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico are now official. USD/CAD continues its surge, with the 1.47 liquidity pool looking increasingly within reach in the coming days.

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Nancy Pelosi’s market timing continues to draw attention.

On January 14, she opened a ~$100K position in AI company Tempus AI ($TEM). Since then, the stock has gained 72%, highlighting yet another well-timed trade.

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President Donald Trump has reiterated his threat of 100% tariffs on BRICS nations if they attempt to introduce a new currency to rival the U.S. dollar. His statement follows growing discussions within the BRICS bloc about reducing reliance on the dollar, particularly after sanctions on Russia. Trump asserted that any country backing an alternative currency would face economic consequences, emphasizing that the dollar remains the dominant global reserve currency.

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"There's only one way to the top: hard work."

— Charlie Munger

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The top creation wallet on Pumpfun has made 18k tokens

Tracking the wallet, he wakes up and makes on average 18 tokens an hour before he goes to sleep everyday for the last 6 months.

He is up 3.7 million dollars in profit.

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The Fed’s pause on rate cuts hasn’t shaken crypto markets, hinting at reduced reliance on traditional finance. While past cycles saw strong stock correlations, today’s stability suggests growing independence for Bitcoin and digital assets.

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In the past 24 hours, 735,656 traders were liquidated, totaling $2.24B in losses.

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Over the past 24 hours, 325,410 traders were liquidated, with total liquidations reaching $743.06 million, including $655.44 million from long positions and $87.62 million from shorts.

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Memecoin explained

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Liquidity is currently flowing back into Ethereum from Solana.

SOL has bridged 4x more capital to $ETH, than ETH has bridged to $SOL over the past 24 hours.

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Only about 33% of S&P 500 stocks were able to outperform the $SPX over the last 2 years, the fewest since the Dot Com Bubble

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$NVDA continues to face selling pressure, and a further drop toward $110-$115 next week could offer a strategic entry point.

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U.S. Annual Cattle Inventory falls for a 6th straight year to 86.7 million, the lowest head count in 74 years!

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Trump to Announce Canada-Mexico Tariffs Effective March 1

The Trump administration is set to impose new tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico starting March 1, with potential exemptions available, according to sources. The 25% tariffs aim to curb illegal immigration and fentanyl trade but risk disrupting $1.6 trillion in North American trade. Canadian PM Trudeau vowed immediate retaliation, while Mexico remains in talks. Trump may invoke emergency powers to enforce the measure, which could impact industries from agriculture to automotive.

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A new altcoin cycle may be approaching soon.

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Here is what you not being told. The Treasury is printing money like mad. Just today they announced $241b new money will be printed on February 3rd via Treasury auction.

Quantitative Easing is beginning and Jerome wont tell you until its too late to enter low.

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Michael Saylor’s Forbes cover dropped yesterday.

Every Forbes cover featuring the current “crypto prophet” has marked the peak of the bubble.

And every one of them was later charged with fraud and sent to prison.

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Trump imposes 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, causing a sharp drop in the Canadian dollar.

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Bitcoin ROI after halvings.
Its time.

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Fresh Tokens by Smart Inflow Today:

JELLY — Launched by the Venmo founder, this project is drawing significant capital inflows.
Mcap: $181.89M.

KAYYO — AI-powered martial arts training app that turns the world into your dojo, using computer vision and AI models for a personalized experience in MMA, Boxing, Muay Thai, and Kickboxing.
Mcap: $26.12M.

XYZ — Gained attention after Jack Dorsey, the founder of Twitter, tweeted "$XYZ," sparking speculation and interest.
Mcap: $3.72M.

PKIN — Pumpkin, a protocol designed to revolutionize token launches, aligning creator and user incentives through fee sharing, staking, and milestone funding to prevent rug pulls.
Mcap: $27.23M.

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Trade Watcher

Gap filled.

As obvious as it might sound - CME gaps are probably the highest hit rate pattern out there. It has like 90% probability of being filled (almost always). Whenever you see one - your bias should be based around it.

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