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A project on all things strategic and nuclear (as seen from Moscow) by ​Dmitry Stefanovich. Also on Substack, with (ir)regular newsletters: https://1dkv.substack.com/ stratdela.ru

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A new website associated with the supplemental environmental impact analysis, launched Oct. 9, states that just over a quarter of the sites could be on land not currently owned by the Air Force, with the service considering:

Acquisition of land and construction of up to 30 new launch silo sites around F.E. Warren

Acquisition of land and construction of up to 30 new launch silo sites around Malmstrom

Acquisition of land and construction of up to 60 new launch silo sites around Minot

Additionally, the service said it is evaluating old sites at Malmstrom formerly operated by the 564th Missile Squadron, now inactive, to reuse for up to 60 new launch silo sites.

The Air Force is planning to buy up to 12 acres per silo, according to the supplemental EIS website.

...
The new EIS website states that the Air Force will reutilize Missile Alert Facility sites for Launch Centers “where feasible,” but at Minot specifically, officials are considering “construction of new launch center sites in previously undeveloped areas,” the website states. Each Launch Center would have a footprint of up to 16 acres.

Another new consideration is the construction of a “purpose-built Operations Group Facility” at Malmstrom.


https://www.airandspaceforces.com/air-force-may-buy-land-for-120-new-sentinel-icbm-silos/

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Высокохудожественный Рейдер.

https://x.com/JarodMHamilton/status/2110019001288106465

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2026 STEADFAST NOON started in Italy.

https://nato.int/en/news-and-events/articles/news/2026/10/08/nato-holds-annual-nuclear-exercise-steadfast-noon
https://x.com/Etienne_Marcuz/status/2110018563385831569?s=20

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U.S. Air Force and Northrop Grumman Break Ground on New B-21 Raider Final Assembly Line - The Aviationist
https://theaviationist.com/2026/10/13/new-b-21-raider-final-assembly-line/

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https://spacecitizens.substack.com/p/the-race-to-the-moon-has-gone-nuclear

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First Look At Hypersonic Boost-Glide Vehicle Just Tested By South Korea
https://www.twz.com/land/first-look-at-hypersonic-boost-glide-vehicle-just-tested-by-south-korea

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The U.S. Air Force’s scramjet-powered Hypersonic Attack Cruise Missile (HACM) has finally reached the flight test phase, with at least one “release” having been carried out so far over a range in Australia. HACM has suffered significant delays, and the Air Force has taken the risky step of scaling back overall testing plans to try to keep the program on schedule. The stated goal is to be able to make a decision to start rapidly acquiring HACMs in 2027.


https://www.twz.com/air/first-release-of-usafs-new-hacm-hypersonic-cruise-missile-has-happened-over-a-test-range-in-australia

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Открытка всем экспертам по контролю над вооружениями.

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The Department of War announced the directed-energy systems selected following the Joint Interagency Task Force 401's (JIATF-401) counter-unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) directed energy pilot program, marking the next phase of efforts to expand the operational use of high-energy laser (HEL) and high-powered microwave (HPM) capabilities across the homeland.
...
Systems selected for the pilot include:

AeroVironment Palletized High-Energy Laser system
Epirus Leonidas High-Powered Microwave system
Kord Firefly High-Energy Laser system
Boeing Compact Laser Weapon system
...
While these systems represent the first capabilities selected for the pilot program, the DoW and JIATF-401 will continue to evaluate additional directed-energy technologies. In December, the Department will host a directed-energy shoot-off at Dugway Proving Ground to assess additional high-energy laser and high-powered microwave systems to identify promising capabilities for future operational use.


https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4619430/systems-selected-for-jiatf-401-directed-energy-counter-drone-pilot-program/

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«Блокировка» российской спутниковой группировки «Рассвет» по просьбе киевского придурка означает только её уничтожение. А оно приведёт к полноценной космической войне. Это, надеюсь, понимают американцы. Ведь тогда их низкоорбитальные спутники «Старлинк» посыпятся вниз, как игрушки с засохшей рождественской ёлки. Космос – очень тесное место, нужно быть взаимно вежливыми.

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Some thoughts by a younger colleague on MRC Typhon at the Pacific: /channel/infromthecolddd/645

[In Russian]

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Lots of good stuff here in the latest issue: https://twq.elliott.gwu.edu/

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https://www.darpa.mil/work-with-us/opportunities/darpa-sn-26-93

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U.S. space weapons probably aren’t what you think | Scientific American
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/u-s-space-weapons-probably-arent-what-you-think/

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The updated Council Decision 2021/698 establishes a dedicated space security toolbox, the purpose of which is to give the EU a more structured set of options for responding to different types and levels of space threats.

This is important because space threats are not uniform. A cyber-attack against a space-programme supplier, interference with satellite communications, a threatening manoeuvre in orbit and a destructive anti-satellite test may require different forms of response.

The toolbox complements existing EU instruments and approaches, including the cyber diplomacy toolbox and the hybrid toolbox, while recognising the specific characteristics of the space domain.


https://www.eeas.europa.eu/eeas/new-eu-space-threat-response-architecture-explained_en

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Moscow’s nuclear threats and the care taken by both NATO and Russia to avoid direct conflict since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine mean that nuclear weapons, nuclear coercion and nuclear deterrence still matter in a European security order again shaped by mutual antagonism. Washington’s shifting posture, though it does not yet appear to have changed Moscow’s nuclear calculations, adds a dangerous degree of uncertainty, particularly for NATO allies in Europe. In an atmosphere of intense distrust, which heightens the danger of misinterpretation, NATO members and Russia can help mitigate risks by engaging at government, expert and other levels to more effectively communicate messages and to better understand one another’s postures. While ambiguity will also play a role in deterrence, and hostility makes engagement difficult, communication can help avoid misunderstandings. In time, such contacts may also allow for limitations on capabilities, if broader dialogue becomes possible.


https://www.crisisgroup.org/rpt/europe/europe-russia-ukraine-united-states/273-changing-role-nuclear-weapons-europe

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The Air Force Nuclear Weapons Center tested its new intercontinental ballistic missile reentry vehicle Oct. 9, launching the developmental vehicle atop a Minotaur I rocket from Vandenberg Space Force Base, Calif.


https://www.airandspaceforces.com/air-force-test-launches-new-sentinel-icbm-nuclear-reentry-vehicle/

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Army conducts successful test launch of hypersonic Fatah-2 extended range missile: ISPR - Pakistan - DAWN.COM
https://www.dawn.com/news/2036882

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https://open.substack.com/pub/doomsdaymachines/p/the-speed-of-war

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It's been a while.

https://1dkv.substack.com/p/stratdela-45

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https://x.com/Marco_Langbroek/status/2107546207547498601?s=20

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French Ministry of Armed Forces just confirmed the successful launch of an M51.3 intercontinental ballistic missile from the SSBN Le Vigilant, confirming its return to the operational cycle after 3 years of maintenance.


https://x.com/Etienne_Marcuz/status/2107390338201440298?s=20

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The Blackbeard Hypersonic weapon may have an interesting warhead. The FY27 USN budget mentions a “Reactive Material Warhead". Structural elements of the casing material itself could greatly enhance the effect of the otherwise small explosive payload of the Blackbeard.


https://x.com/VirtualBayonet/status/2107160567156973629

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Philippines: The Coastal Defense Regiment 2026 BrahMos Update - Naval News
https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2026/10/philippines-the-coastal-defense-regiment-2026-brahmos-update/

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France and Belgium held their first nuclear steering group meeting in Paris on Friday, 25th of September, involving representatives of the Elysée and the Belgian Prime Minister’s Office, and officials from Defence and Foreign Ministries.

They discussed approaches to strengthening their bilateral cooperation, and strategic convergence between both countries. France and Belgium reaffirm their ambition for a stronger, safer, and better defended Europe.


https://www.elysee.fr/en/emmanuel-macron/2026/10/01/france-and-belgium-held-their-first-nuclear-steering-group-meeting-in-paris

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Anduril, Castelion, Lockheed Martin, RTX and Mach Industries each received Other Transaction Authority (OTA) agreements to build prototype missiles, the service announced Tuesday. The Increment 4 missile is intended to hit moving maritime and land targets at ranges of at least 1,000 km (621 miles) — roughly double the range of the Army’s PrSM baseline.


https://breakingdefense.com/2026/09/army-taps-5-companies-for-prsm-inc-4-prototypes/

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1️⃣1️⃣

Who will shape the future of global security? 🤝

The IV Study Mission to international organizations and research centers based in Vienna has come to an end.

For the first time, the program included participation in the IAEA General Conference. Russian students and young professionals attended the 70th session, gaining a firsthand look at the work of the Agency’s principal policy-making body.

The Mission also took participants to:

🔵 Permanent Mission of Russia to the International Organizations in Vienna
🔵 IAEA and the Agency’s laboratories in Seibersdorf
🔵 Preparatory Commission for the CTBTO
🔵 United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs
🔵 United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs
🔵 Open Nuclear Network

But behind treaties, institutions and complex procedures, they discovered what really keeps the system moving — people working every day to help make the world more secure.

🔵 Read more on the Primakov Center website.

Today, they had a chance to see this work from the inside. Tomorrow, they may become part of it.

The visit was organized by the Primakov Center with the support of the Permanent Mission of the Russian Federation to the International Organizations in Vienna.


1️⃣ Follow the Primakov Center

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The National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) today successfully conducted a subsurface, non-nuclear chemical high-explosive experiment at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS), increasing the United States’ ability to detect low-yield nuclear explosions.
...
The experiment was conducted in the P Tunnel in Area 12 of the NNSS using chemical high-explosives and radiotracers. Data collected from the experiment will be used to validate scientific models and refine algorithms that are critical to U.S. nuclear explosion detection efforts.

This experiment is especially focused on further enhancing the U.S. capabilities to detect a “decoupled” explosion...
...
...researchers gathered measurements using a broad suite of advanced sensors, including accelerometers, seismometers, infrasound sensors, electromagnetic sensors, chemical and radiotracer samplers, and meteorological sensors.


https://www.energy.gov/nnsa/articles/nnsa-conducts-nonproliferation-experiment-strengthen-americas-nuclear-explosion

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A Tu-95 plane crashed while making a training flight in Russia’s Far Eastern Amur Region, killing six crew members, with one surviving, the Russian Defense Ministry said.

“On September 29, a Tu-95 plane making a training flight crashed in an uninhabited area in the Amur Region. According to preliminary data, six crew members died, while one was injured and taken to a hospital,” it said.


The aircraft was flying without any munitions onboard.

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Some thoughts on possible further cooperation between Russia and China at the strategic arms control: https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/the-new-troika-managing-confrontation

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