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BTCUSDT - medium-term thoughts 4h timeframe.
A head and shoulders pattern has formed on the chart. This is a technical analysis figure that fits this situation well.
We are at a historical maximum, the price needs to unload and go down in order to remove liquidity.
We see the formation of bearish formations, I think an impulse decline is just around the corner.
Now I'm holding Ethereum, I also opened a short on BTC.
I'm waiting for a breakout on XRP and SUI - I'll also open a short. ADA also shorted the market. In short, all in shorts, hoping for the best.👧
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❗️at the moment I expect 3-5% growth of alts and further decline after, until BTC reaches 110,000!
📈from 110,000 we need to watch the second rebound, already stronger +10% or more!
the most interesting thing is the huge liquidation block at 105,000, but I hope we won't fly there quickly!
the nearest liquidity block is 115,000 from it we need to show at least local growth!
Dominance almost breaks through the wedge figure downwards, this is just super news, it's such a long wait, this means that alts should not fall as much as before, they should stand better and grow faster!
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BTC - every day a new historical maximum. 👈
Why is there a bullish movement without corrections?
Remember December 2024, when the market went to $ 100,000 and went up without a rollback. Shorts tried to gain positions as it grew, but ultimately no one was allowed to remain in positions.
Now the same situation. There are small rollbacks when forming maximums, ordinary traders begin to go short and the next impulse successfully liquidates them.
The market will not reverse until there is critical greed and those who are trying to short now begin to believe in further growth.
Only under this condition will there be a correction.
what does the spot portfolio look like now, there are about 25 coins including SUI HBAR ETH the strongest assets!
and the base is completely fundamental!
We have reached the level of May, and even despite 2-4 super strong coins, the overall portfolio is at the bottom, all alts are at the bottom!
although in May BTC was 107,000! and now 123,000!
the peak of May was the 13th! we haven't even reached it!
don't catch Fomo, the market hasn't gone anywhere, it just rose a little by 20% 📈 still the bottom at 97% of coins!
After the correction, the market was bought out again!
Let's see what Monday will show, I think that within the 5th wave we go to 119-120k, then a correction to 114-112k and from there we need to take large Longs!
I don't want to take these Longs yet, the spot is 85% full and so..
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Читать полностью…in the morning #BTC is in place, but short on RSI on 4h lit up!
We also formed a sales zone on the hour, purely from the technical point of view there should be a small rollback!
Domination grew by 0.5% and alts fell by 5-7% overnight, which is normal, several coins are already on APT LDO supports!
Correction on the weekend, then work in long alts!
BTC.D dominance came to support and at the moment after a sharp impulse it is reasonable to wait for a sideways movement or a 7-8% rollback on the alt!
today is Friday and very often before the weekend we see corrections!
globally the whole picture looks like the beginning of the flow of money into alt, the growth of BTC caused a decrease in dominance and not growth as it was, alt gave a good reaction! therefore I fully admit that this is the beginning of the growth of alt!
BTC – 1H
Opened the short.
Stop: 111,999
Take: 106,450
Good morning, yesterday I gave you longs on time and as a result at night we reached $112,000 and 2797 for ETH! 🤑
at this point the targets are closed and I closed the positions, also closed part of the ETH spot that was in the plus, freed up 20% of the cash and will wait for a decline!
left the rest as it was spot!
🔥 liquidity is 90% removed, there is a small piece at 112,500 but this is not particularly important!
Altcoins grew by 5-7% which is of course terribly little, 90% remained at the bottom in the sideways, what we discussed!
regarding growth, I think it is possible to see 113,000-114,000 as the final impulse and then a decline!
🇺🇸USA increases tariffs
New tariffs announced on imports from the following countries:
➖ 20% — Philippines
➖ 25% — Brunei, Moldova
➖ 30% — Iraq, Libya, Algeria
THIS IS A BLOW TO DEMOCRACY IN MOLDOVA
Good morning )
BTC definitely hit 120,000 and went down, so I'm waiting for a decline to 112,000!
Dominance came to ema200 and here alts can lose 5-6%, this is normal, since dominance will give an upward reaction!
I'm surprised that alts are not yet flying 30% up with such a decrease in dominance!
I will be short bitcoin as I wrote earlier, but I will not touch alts, now is the time for growth for alts!
And the most important thing is to hold positions tightly, do not panic!
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It is not the smartest or even the most technical person who wins in the market.🧥
It is the one who knows how to wait who wins in the market.
Sometimes it is better to do nothing than to open an extra trade.😡
Patience is a key skill in trading, especially when the market is "silent".
"Patience is not passive waiting. It is an active force." - Edward Bulwer-Lytton
Stay cool. Wait for your price.🍿
Let's get back to the accuracy of our approach✅ in the morning I made +1400$
Another accurate reversal to Long, on which profits have been made for two days already!
We are approaching the level of $120,000 and this is resistance from which a spill can occur.🚨
I closed the Longs, and we will wait for $111,000, at this level you can buy well!
🎢Although all the alts look Long and strong, and yesterday the dominance spilled a wedge down by 1%, which is incredibly pleasing! This means that the alts will stand more firmly on the fall and even grow!
The plan is to buy alts at the level of $111,000 and sit more calmly. Today I don't want to work in Long, I'll try from short BTC 120-122k. (lots of liquidity at the bottom + gap + wave analysis 3 wave, + daily candles for short! Lots of factors)
You are very fast!
115500-16500 support you can try Long and stop 1-1.5%
up to 120k
Also altos and ether
But if it flies then further 111-110k and there you can already take more Long.
Now you need to be a little more careful!
From 120 shorts 🩳
🪙 ETH has broken through the key level
Like in February 2024, when the price rose by 42%. If history repeats itself, we may see $4200 in a month, and if the December peak is broken, the target is $6–8K😁
BTC from 114,000 to 111,000 support zone, where I will take longs on the alt!
for now we are waiting for a logical rollback after 5 waves of growth!
BTC entered the growth phase perpendicularly, $122,000 is simply pumping hard, leaving more gaps and liquidity below!
create unreal euphoria and the feeling that it is flying to $150,000
Alts also went up by an average of 5%! The most important thing is that Dominance falls on the BTC pump, so it is a unique situation and individual alts are doing well! SUI HBAR has grown the most📈
the rest of the coins are still at the bottom, basically!
❗️Total 3 The alts index changed the trend today and broke through the strong level of 940 b
which tells us that alts will continue to grow without a rollback!
⚡️Exit: gradually buy strong projects on spot, from the fact that the price jumped a little, by 20% - this is a very small amount, all the coins are at the bottom! if you are waiting for X's!
in any case, wait for a correction on futures and trade from levels!!!
It is almost impossible to guess the peak of BTC now, euphoria and the flow of money is an unpredictable story, how many people will buy it and where sales will start!
There is a pattern that after the largest buyouts of the BTC crowd, there are always several days of decline...
buyouts were at $117,000
📌 Coinbase is hyping Pudgy Penguins, but the market is not impressed
➡️Crypto exchange Coinbase has set the NFT Pudgy Penguins as its X account avatar, clearly expressing support for the project.
However, despite such hype, the PENGU token has fallen by 5% in a day 🔽
PR is good, but the market, as you can see, reacts in its own way.😄
🔝 Bitcoin Enters Top 5 Largest Assets in the World
🪙BTC has officially surpassed Amazon in market capitalization and is now ranked 5th among all global assets.
💰 This is further proof of how much the role of cryptocurrencies in the global economy has changed.
BTC 118000! broke all levels at night and made a sharp growth of 5.5%
I will say that I missed this movement, only the spot grew by 10% portfolio!
I drew an ascending channel and am waiting for a test of the level of $ 112,000 after such sharp candles there are two options:
1) wait for a reversal of candles and catch a short from it!
2) wait for support 112-111k and take a long!
dominance fell on support and we see growth, I am waiting for alts to roll back by 5-10% soon!
I also indicated gaps and liquidity below!
Bitcoin 113200 removed all liquidity that could be taken higher.
We entered the resistance block, which can give a rollback.
I will not take any deals for now, I will write when there is a reversal.
We are watching the level of $114000
In simpler language I will write:
We can go to the level of 113500-114000 there is some liquidity and the level of weekly significance is inclined there.
But we do not have to do this since 90% of liquidity was removed at $112000
After the return down to $105000-100000, there are many gaps and enough liquidity, since the indicators signal the weakness of the trend and there are many divergences from the weekly to the daily TF.
I am writing this not because I am happy to see the fall, rather I am already tired of seeing the bottom of the altcoin and want the spot to grow like everyone else... I am writing this because it is visible on the indicators and it is clear that the trend will not last long.
If we had a strong bullish trend, and not an 8-month stagnation at the level of $105,000-110,000, we could assume that Bitcoin is capable of giving another 50%...
There is one very positive scenario, I will write about it soon...
Michael Saylor Strategy Now Has $24,000,000,000 in Unrealized Profits on Its Bitcoin Investments
Читать полностью…I make a small bet on a breakout to 112,000 and understand that they can very easily fly down, the situation with a bet on growth is just a local impulse, nothing more! This is not a global growth of 120,000 or 130,000!
I rather expect that they will remove the liquidity at the top, of which there is a lot!