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📈 Conviction Buyers: A Key Market Signal
Conviction buyers typically spike at critical inflection points:
🔹 In bear markets, their accumulation often signals cycle bottoms.
🔹 In uptrends, they step in to buy the dip and help stabilize pullbacks.
But here’s the key 👉 Conviction alone isn't enough to ignite a strong rally.
🔥 That’s where First Buyers come into play — they bring new demand and momentum to drive price discovery.
Watch both cohorts closely — their behavior often precedes major market moves.
Bitcoin is sending mixed signals and has been unable to close above $110,000, facing rejection at that level. Let's see if the price can break through this barrier. The downside support is around the $107,500 area.
Читать полностью…📊 STH Realized Profit Surges — But Still Room to Run
The magnitude of Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Profit has surged to nearly +3 standard deviations above its 90-day average — a clear signal of increased profit realization in the market.
🔍 What It Means:
Historically, during strong rallies approaching all-time highs, this metric has reached +5 SD or more, showing that:
We're seeing elevated profit-taking, but
Stronger selling pressure is usually needed to counter high demand in true breakout rallies
🔥 TL;DR: Profit-taking is picking up, but if this rally mirrors past cycles, there's still room for higher volatility and upside before exhaustion hits.
ETC continues to trade within the support area. You can accumulate some ETC at this support level, placing a stop loss below $17. We may see a move toward the resistance area in the coming days.
Resistance Area: $24.40-$25.50
Bitcoin has followed our analysis closely. The price gave a false breakout and then touched the support area. It has now broken out of the triangle pattern and is moving upwards. The key resistance level is at $110,000; a breakout above this level could propel us to a new all-time high. However, if the price is rejected at this level, it may retreat back toward the support area.
Читать полностью…During rapid market recoveries, tracking the 30-day change in supply held in profit across investor cohorts reveals which groups benefited most and shows major sentiment shifts.
The recent price rise provided substantial relief to Short-Term Holders, with their percentage of supply in profit surging +71% over the past month - marking the second-largest profitability uptick for this cohort on record.
Bitcoin forming a small triangle pattern just over the major support area. Now, price is on a pullback phrase this strong moves. Price can make a fakeout lower towards the support and can continue further higher.
Support : $106,100 - $106,750
📊 ETH Approaching Key Cost Basis Zone – Caution Ahead
A significant cluster of investor cost basis sits around $2,800 for Ethereum. As ETH nears this level, we may see increased sell-side pressure, with many previously underwater holders likely to de-risk near breakeven.
💡 Watch this zone closely — it could act as short-term resistance or a catalyst depending on how demand holds up.
Bitcoin has retraced as expected and has also broken the uptrend line. Let's see if the price can hold the support area. A break below this support will increase selling pressure.
Support Area: $106,200-$106,700
HIGH retraced back all the way down and kept on holding the support trendline. Buyers looks in control and might pish up from here. Buys with minor risk can be good enough targeting the resistance.
Resistance : $0.77 -$0.82
FXS analysis:
The price is gradually approaching the major resistance area. This is a no-trade zone, and it is better to wait for a while for new entries.
Local Support Area: $2.60-$2.85
Major Resistance Area: $4.85-$5.25
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Strategy to sell up to $2.1 billion of 10% preferred stock.
Читать полностью…ETHFI having multiple rejection from the support zone trying to move up. We already into 16% in profits and can move further higher towards the resistance.
Читать полностью…HIGH broke the support trendline and retested it. The price needs to reclaim this trendline for upward movement; otherwise, we may see a continuation of the downward trend. Risk-takers can open short positions with a tight stop loss.
Читать полностью…INJ analysis:
Price is in an uptrend and respecting the uptrend line. We may see a test of the resistance area, so let's see how it reacts there. This is a no-trade zone; wait for some time for new entries.
Support Area: $10.50-$11.40
Resistance Area: $15.80-$16.70
MicroStrategy has just acquired 4,020 more $BTC for a whopping $427 million at an average price of $106,000 per BTC.
The company now holds a massive 580,250 BTC — worth approximately $40.6 billion at current market prices.
ARKM has bounced off the support area. If you have opened a long position, it is now in over 11% profit. You can either book profits here or hold using a trailing stop loss. The support level remains unchanged.
Resistance Area: $0.833-$0.88
WLD analysis:
Price broke the resistance area and is now retesting this level. Wait for some confirmation, as altcoins are looking weak because of Bitcoin's choppy movement. A break below this support area is bearish and will lead to heavy sell-offs.
Support Area: $1.33-$1.41
ARKM sold off from the resistance area and now reached the key flip area around. Price now at a flip, which can be broken but buys can be good if it fake out out lower, or at support.
Support : $0.43 - $0.48
CATI analysis:
Price rejected from the resistance area, and there is a lot of choppy movement on the downside. The price is unable to establish a solid support area. We are waiting for a breakout above the resistance area for new entries.
Resistance Area: $0.1360-$0.1500
RVN retraced deep towards the support and a proper retest of the pattern. Price can also hit the $0.01 area as final zone for buys, take the trade accordingly as it a swing entry.
Читать полностью…CGPT analysis:
Price is trading within an uptrend channel on lower time frames. We may see a test of the support area, and you can open a long position there.
Support Area: $0.1170-$0.1210
Resistance Area: $0.1500-$0.1550
🚨 TRUMP: RECOMMENDING A 50% TARIFF ON THE EUROPEAN UNION 🇺🇸🇪🇺
A massive move that could shake up global trade!
Markets may react sharply — expect volatility across forex, equities, and even crypto as macro sentiment shifts.
Stay alert and manage risk accordingly.
#BTC gone sideways after a fresh All Time High and now likely to have a retracement or a drop continue lower towards the $109,000 area. Either it will go buy price need to sustain over the $110,000 area.
Читать полностью…STH Realized Profit has recently surged to nearly +3 standard deviations above its 90-day average, showing notable profit realization. However, historical data from previous cycles shows this metric typically reaches +5 standard deviations or higher during ATH rallies, suggesting much stronger profit-taking pressure is usually needed to overwhelm demand inflows.
Читать полностью…The cryptocurrency exchange Cetus, which operates as the leading decentralized exchange and main liquidity provider on the SUI blockchain, has reportedly suffered a security breach. The attacker has taken control of all pools denominated in SUI tokens and exploited funds worth over $200 million. Reports indicate they have also begun transferring USDC tokens.
Читать полностью…#BTC goes as per the expectation and moved towards the new ATH area. The Retest was clean and perfect with that new #ATH is expected day by day.
Читать полностью…ATM analysis :
ATM is been very struggling phrase moving up but eventually rejected strongly from the flip area as resistance. Also its moving within the trend channel where its taking support and within that a small time frame bull flag forming. A mixed bias as of now, but buys are favorable so it it accordingly.