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📈We track everything that moves the markets: fast news, clear context, real narratives. 📩 Reach out: @strategy
JUST IN: Kalshi has partnered with Google Finance to incorporate prediction markets into the platform.
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JUST IN: Losses in the US stock market are accelerating, with the Nasdaq 100 now down nearly 2% on the day.
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📉 The Market That Forgot How to Feel
Why record earnings barely move stocks anymore
Corporate America just had one of its best earnings seasons in years. About 70% of S&P 500 companies have reported results, and nearly two-thirds beat expectations by wide margins. Profits rose 8%, margins expanded, and balance sheets look strong.
But the market barely reacted. The average stock that beat earnings outperformed the index by just 0.3% the next day, far below the usual response.
🟡 Investors Are Numb
The S&P 500 trades around 22.8 times forward earnings, one of the most expensive levels in history. At these valuations, good news no longer excites anyone. Investors already expect strong results, so even record profits feel routine. The market is bored with excellence.
🟡 Michael Burry Steps In
While traders yawn, Michael Burry is once again betting against the crowd. His fund Scion Asset Management filed early, revealing put options on Palantir worth $912 million in notional value and another $187 million against Nvidia. On paper it looked huge, but these are options, not cash. He likely spent only a few million to buy downside protection.
Financial media ran wild with headlines about “Burry shorting AI,” even though 13F filings show positions from weeks ago. Burry mocked the coverage himself, posting that journalists were missing the point.
🟡 A Market Without Emotion
For years Burry has called tops that never came. He shorted Tesla before it soared, called crashes that didn’t happen, and has mostly been fighting a one-way bull market. But his timing aside, his warning fits the moment.
Investors are no longer reacting to growth or profits. The bar is too high, the market too priced in, and excitement has turned to indifference.
Wall Street hasn’t lost its mind — it has lost its curiosity. The show is still on, but the crowd has stopped clapping.
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JUST IN: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has released a statement.
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JUST IN: Donald Trump stated that they will observe Mamdani's performance in New York and provide assistance to him.
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JUST IN: Oil prices are continuing their decline toward $59 per barrel, driven by President Trump's renewed push for $2.00 per gallon gasoline.
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📝 Core Lessons from The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel
This book isn’t a crash-course in stock picking or rich-person tricks. It’s about how we think and behave with money and why that matters more than how smart we are. Here are the key ideas every trader, investor or everyday saver should keep in mind.
➡️ Behavior Beats IQ
Success with money has less to do with fancy formulas and much more to do with habits, mindset and consistency. Being really smart doesn’t guarantee you’ll make smart money decisions. Your behaviour does.
“Doing well with money has little to do with how smart you are and a lot to do with how you behave.”
This means: don’t equate “big success = great skill” without considering the hidden side.
If you have what you need — protect it.
In investing and trading: surviving wins first. Profiting comes second.
This especially applies in volatile fields like crypto/trading where others might take huge risks that you shouldn’t.
In trading context: keeping risk low, avoiding ruin, not swinging for home runs every time.
In practice: If one blow-up can destroy your portfolio, you’re playing too risky.
In trading: control your psychology, risk, money management. The rest you accept
$TWT Long
Entry: market
Stop: 1.065
Target: 1.8
Crypto looks rough overall, but this setup stands out and is worth a try. Given the sentiment, taking it with reduced risk.
❕ 'The Big Short' Bet Against Palantir & NVIDIA
Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management's latest 13F disclosure shows an extreme bearish concentration. The hedge fund has concentrated 80% of its $1.38B portfolio into put options on Palantir and Nvidia.
🟡 Portfolio Breakdown:
Total notional value: $1.38 billion (↑139% from Q2's $578M)
🟡 $PLTR Puts:
• $912 million (66% of portfolio)
• 5 million put contracts
🟡 $NVDA Puts:
• $187 million (13.5% of portfolio)
• 1 million put contracts
🟡 Combined: $1.1B (~80%) betting both stocks fall.
Both companies are positioned to benefit from current administration priorities. Yet Burry's thesis appears to be: valuations are so extreme that even favorable policies can't justify current prices.
JUST IN: Russia's Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu states that the United States is planning to conduct underground nuclear tests.
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JUST IN: Trump stated that he does not expect Democrats to act soon on the government shutdown and believes it will not be resolved anytime soon.
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📈 Latin American Stocks Crush the S&P 500 in 2025
The Latin America ETF is up 42% year-to-date, far ahead of the S&P 500. The region is going through a deep structural shift that investors can’t ignore.
🟡 El Salvador and Argentina are driving reforms while Bolivia and Chile face pivotal political moments
🟡 U.S. policymakers are paying more attention to Latin America’s key role in supplying natural resources for tech and reshoring
🟡 Despite big gains, valuations remain low with single-digit P/E ratios
Momentum in Latin markets is turning into a broader trend. With political change, global demand for resources, and cheap valuations, Latin America looks positioned for another strong leg higher.
Consistency isn’t about being right. It’s about surviving long enough to be right when it matters.
You’ll lose money, sleep, friends, and faith many times.
The 1% who make it aren’t smarter.
They’re scarred, paranoid, and obsessive.
If you’re not willing to treat trading like a war against your own brain, walk away now.
The market doesn’t need your money, but it will take it.
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JUST IN: Crypto markets are continuing their downturn, with Bitcoin declining 22% since October 6. Ethereum (ETH) has fallen over 35% in the last month.
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JUST IN: Senior officials from the Trump administration have announced two deals with Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, which include lower prices for obesity drugs.
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💵 What’s Really Happening With US Liquidity
There’s a lot of confusion about whether the US is facing another banking or dollar funding crisis. The answer is no. The recent stress in money markets comes from a technical liquidity squeeze, not a systemic problem.
🟡 The Treasury’s Account at the Fed
The Treasury General Account (TGA) is basically the government’s bank account at the Federal Reserve. When the government collects taxes or sells new bonds, that money moves from private banks into the TGA. This temporarily drains liquidity from markets because the cash sits idle at the Fed.
Since the debt ceiling was raised in June, the Treasury has rebuilt this account to around 1 trillion dollars, overshooting its target of 850 billion. That extra 150 billion removed from circulation means fewer reserves for banks.
🟡 What Liquidity Tightening Looks Like
When reserves fall, short-term lending markets tighten. The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), which shows how much banks pay to borrow cash overnight, rose slightly. This is normal and far smaller than the 2019 “repo crisis.”
🟡 The Fed’s Repo Facility Is Doing Its Job
Some banks borrowed 50 billion dollars through the Fed’s Standing Repo Facility on October 31. This is just an overnight loan program that refreshes daily. It’s not QE and not cumulative. It simply ensures banks have access to short-term cash when reserves get tight.
🟡 Why This Happened at Month-End
Two things added pressure. The government slowed spending during the shutdown, keeping more cash in the TGA. At the same time, banks moved funds into the Fed’s Reverse Repo Facility to clean up their balance sheets before month-end. Both drained liquidity temporarily.
🟡 What’s Next
These effects are already fading as repo usage and SOFR levels fall. If the TGA remains high, brief squeezes could return at the end of November and December. The Fed is ending quantitative tightening on December 1, which should ease reserve pressure.
This isn’t a crisis, just normal plumbing stress. Liquidity is tighter, but the system is working and the Fed’s tools are handling it as designed.
🧱 The Longest Government Shutdown in U.S. History
The current U.S. government shutdown has now set a record — lasting longer than the 35-day closure under Trump in 2019.
🟡 All non-essential federal services remain paused
🟡 Hundreds of thousands of workers are still without pay
🟡 Markets have stayed relatively calm so far, but prolonged gridlock risks hitting consumer spending and data releases
Washington has officially entered uncharted territory. Each extra day without a deal raises both political and economic costs.
It always starts the same way.
One impulsive trade.
Just one click to “make it back.”
Then it turns into two.
And before you even realize it, you’re no longer following a system.
You watch yourself breaking rules you swore you’d never break again.
You move stops.
You double down.
You start fighting the market as if it owes you an apology.
That’s the meltdown.
Not on the chart, but in your mind.
And when it’s over, you sit there staring at the balance, trying to understand what happened.
It wasn’t the setup that failed.
It wasn’t the market that betrayed you.
It was your own state of mind hijacked by emotion, disguised as logic.
Every trader has lived that moment.
But only a few learn from it.
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JUST IN: DoorDash stock plunged more than 20% following weaker-than-expected Q3 2025 earnings results.
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JUST IN: Donald Trump may be developing a plan with China and Russia to denuclearize.
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JUST IN: Apple is finalizing a deal to integrate Google's Gemini AI model into Siri features starting in 2026, paying Google roughly $1B annually.
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JUST IN: Leavitt states that Trump will give a major speech on the economy at 1 PM EST.
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JUST IN: Supreme Court justices expressed skepticism about the legality of President Trump's tariffs, according to CNBC. Oral arguments in the case began at 10 AM ET, with Trump calling it a "life or death" matter for the US.
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JUST IN: The U.S. Supreme Court has begun hearing arguments on Donald Trump's proposed tariffs.
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JUST IN: The Russian Defence Minister has stated that the U.S. is increasing its stockpile of strategic weapons.
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JUST IN: Trump stated that the government shutdown played a major role in the election.
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🔥 Enrollment open for our private trading community
You can now join White Horse, a trading group built by traders who actually trade.
It’s made for those who want structure, logic, and steady growth instead of random calls.
Inside:
➡️ Flash Feed — real market updates that move price
➡️ Macro Outlooks — context that explains what’s happening
➡️ Swing Trades — selective FX, index, and metal setups
➡️ Intraday Empire Trades — clean intraday setups based on a refined Head and Shoulders model
➡️ Crypto Market Desk — spot and futures only when it’s worth it
➡️ Knowledge Base — tools and insights from real trading
➡️ Mindset Board — helps you stay consistent
The crypto market is quiet, so we’ve paused most crypto threads for now.
To balance it out, we’ve added a dedicated thread for Empire Trades with his precise intraday setups, and lowered the entry price for the first month to $30.
JUST IN: Japan's SoftBank stock has fallen 15% today, worsening its two-day drop to 22% overall. The decline equates to a $32 billion loss in market capitalization.
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JUST IN: Super Micro Computer's stock, $SMCI, plunged more than 10% after the company released Q3 2025 earnings that fell short of expectations.
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