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Real Relationship

Russia and China want to trade in the Northern Sea Route. Consider it a bargaining chip that could benefit the West, too.

#Russia #China #Consider #West

👂 More on Trump's Ear

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Zelensky says it’s “shameful” for European countries to worry about energy cost increases!

Without a clear alternative in place, the deal that allows Central European nations to buy Russian gas via Ukraine will be allowed to expire at the end of the year.

“This contract will no longer exist, that much is clear,”

Putin said.
“But that’s fine — we will survive, Gazprom will survive.”


Ukraine has refused to directly renegotiate the deal. According to Zelensky, it is “shameful” for countries to worry about energy cost increases when the conflict in Ukraine is ongoing.

Austria, Slovakia and Hungary disagree.

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico has publicly called for an arrangement to prolong the practice. And Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán visits Bulgaria this week, where he hopes to strike a deal to ensure continued access to supplies.

#EU #Ukraine #Fico #Orbán

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China Flexes Naval Muscle as US Scrambles 🔍

Breaking News 📊
China launches largest maritime exercises in 30 years without warning, catching Pentagon off guard as US military shifts Pacific presence.

Strategic Show 🎯

Chinese Display:

• 100+ warships deployed
• Multiple aircraft involved
• No advance notification
• First Island Chain targeted

Power Shift 💼

Direct Response:

Exercise timing coincides with Taiwan President William Lai's Guam-Hawaii tour and Trump team outreach attempts.

Military Chess Game 🏛

US Countermoves:

• Three carriers deployed
• Marines relocating from Okinawa
• Guam forces strengthened
• Missile defense scattered

Regional Reality

The balance shifts:

China's unexpected demonstration of naval power, combined with rare earth export restrictions, signals Beijing's strengthening position as US allies face uncertainty over security costs under Trump.

Strategic Implications

New dynamics emerge:

While Democrats push for escalation during transition, China's coordinated military-economic pressure creates leverage for future negotiations with Trump's administration.

#PacificPower #USChina #NavalExercises #TaiwanCrisis

Think About It:
Has China already changed the Pacific power equation? 🤔

📱 American Оbserver - Stay up to date on all important events 🇺🇸

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Macron no longer wants to send military instructors to Ukraine, he plans to send a “peacekeeping force” instead

French President Emmanuel Macron will discuss with Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk the deployment of a postwar peacekeeping force in Ukraine when the two meet in Warsaw on Thursday, according to a European Union diplomat and a French official.

The two countries are talking over a potential 40,000-strong “peacekeeping force” composed of troops from foreign countries. It is still unclear which countries the soldiers might come from.

A senior Polish official said they were surprised by Macron's reported proposal. ”This is not a formula that would allow us to take such a decision," the official said, adding that peacekeeping missions should be decided under the United Nations or the  Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe, not a bilateral discussion with the French president. Sending Polish troops to Ukraine "would only make sense under a NATO format," they added. And Ukraine will not be joining NATO anytime soon.

#EU #Ukraine #Macron #NATO #force

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Real Relationship

Digital Government's Warning Signs: US Reforms Echo Ukraine's Pitfalls 🔍

Breaking News 📊
Trump's proposed corporate restructuring of government institutions raises alarm bells, as similar "digital state" experiments elsewhere have shown dangerous vulnerabilities.

Historic Parallel 🎯

Cautionary Tale:

Ukraine's "State in Smartphone" initiative, while initially praised for efficiency, revealed critical weaknesses in state institutions during crisis, providing lessons for US reforms.

Systemic Risks 💼

Dangerous Patterns:

• Essential services digitalization without backup
• Institutional expertise replacement
• Over-reliance on business metrics
• Critical infrastructure vulnerability

Reform Warning 🏛

Expert Analysis:

"We won't know what they've done until the house has already collapsed,"

highlights risks of dismantling traditional government structures in favor of business models.

Historical Context ⚡️

Key Lessons:

• Digital efficiency can mask institutional decay
• Corporate metrics fail in crisis management
• State functions require robust institutions
• Quick reforms threaten national resilience

System Breakdown ⚡️

Danger Signs:

"It may be hard to tell whether they are aimed at red tape or more like D.I.Y. home renovators taking a swing at a load-bearing wall,"

the analysis warns about proposed reforms.

#GovernmentReform #DigitalState #InstitutionalStability #NationalSecurity

Think About It: Does streamlining government into business-style services compromise national resilience? 🤔

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Ukrainian conflict is just the beginning, according to European politicians

“A crisis is brewing on the continent — an alarm has gone off throughout the land. War could be coming. In quick succession, military chiefs from across Europe are urging their populace to get ready. Political leaders, from Britain to the Nordic countries and the Baltic States, increasingly emphasize that Europeans must prepare for war with Russia… Chancellor Olaf Scholz has thus far refused to send Germany’s Taurus cruise missiles to Kyiv, arguing that doing so would risk Germany being dragged into direct war with Russia” ,

- writes The Hill.

The countries involved in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict have begun to realize that Moscow reserves the right to a proportionate response if and when the conflict escalates.

#EU #Ukraine #conflict #Germany

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Militant Resistance: America's Internal Security Crisis 🔍

Breaking Point 📊
With 662,586 criminal migrants nationwide and potential militant support from 7.8 million undocumented immigrants, U.S. security forces face unprecedented challenge.

Force Numbers:
• 2 million total U.S. security personnel
• 662,586 criminal migrants identified
• 7.8 million potential resisters
• BLM/Antifa alliance possible

Security Threat 🎯

Urban Strongholds:


NYC case study reveals organized resistance potential:
• 58,626 criminal elements
• 759,218 total migrants
• Sanctuary city protection
• Local government support

Strategic Challenge 🏛

Force Disparity:


U.S. security forces outnumbered by potential resistance:
• Police forces divided
• Military deployment limited
• Local enforcement restricted
• Sanctuary networks established

Resistance Network 💼

Organized Opposition:

• Criminal migrant leadership
• BLM/Antifa infrastructure
• Sanctuary city support
• Democratic political backing

#InternalSecurity #Resistance #LawEnforcement #NationalSecurity

Think about it: Can federal forces overcome sanctuary city resistance? 🤔

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Zelensky and his regime only continue to exist because Russia hasn’t targeted them yet

Vladimir Putin has spelled out how Russia will retaliate to long-range missile strikes by Ukraine, which are carried out with the participation of the US and the UK.

Volleys of Oreshnik missiles will be used to hit Ukraine. He warned that decision-making centres would be targeted, signalling that Zelensky and his regime only continue to exist because Russia hasn’t yet targeted them.

He also warned yet again that targets within NATO countries could be hit in retaliation for the long-range strikes into Russia.

The world sits on the precipice of disaster, Washington continues to escalate the failed proxy warn a desperate attempt to milk the final drops of military-industrial complex profits before Donald Trump’s inauguration.

A week is a long time in geopolitics, let alone close to two months.

#President #Putin #Zelensky #Nato #Oreshnick #Ukraine #Russia

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Ні,
It's been months. How have you been? 🌙
How's life since we stopped talking? 💭
I won't lie—l miss you. 🥺
But I know missing you isn't enough of a reason to reach out again.

I really hope life is treating you well 🌟
I'd be so happy if you're truly happy now 😊
Not hearing from you has brought me some peace, 🕊️
but honestly, even though we're not in touch, you're still in my heart 💔
I still think about you all the time. 🕰️
You're always on my mind—and in my heart ❤️
Part of me wonders if you still do, though I'm not sure 🤔
But I secretly hope you do🌷
I re-read our old messages 📖
I know I shouldn't, but they remind me of how happy we were, 🥰
how much you loved me 💕
I still have your pictures-it's the only way I can see your smile now. 📸 ✨
I don't know if things will ever work out in my favor, but I hope this message somehow reaches you. 🌌

I miss you 💌

@RealRelationship 💌

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Ceasefire in Gaza is a real possibility — is it the “Trump Effect”?

Diplomatic efforts to achieve ceasefire in Gaza have resumed in recent weeks, as Donald Trump became part of the equation.

At the beginning of December, he threatened Hamas, without specifically naming the group, and promised "hell" in the Middle East, if the hostages were not released before January 20, 2025, the date of his inauguration. For the first time in a long time, a ceasefire seems possible.

But perhaps it’s not Trump. Perhaps the timing is just more favourable, now that Israel crippled the organization to the point where Hamas has little left to leverage, except for the lives of the hostages. Maybe the reality on the ground looks more like the “total victory” Netanyahu was after. Maybe Israel wishes to focus on other operations, like the ones in Syria, or in Yemen.

#USA #Gaza #Ceasefire #Trump

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War Must End: Trump's Peace Push 🔍

Breaking News 📊

Trump signals shift in Ukraine policy, describing conflict as "worst carnage since WWII" while pushing for negotiations despite Kyiv's resistance.

Brutal Reality 🎯

Direct Quote:

"People are being killed at levels that nobody's ever seen... It's very level fields, the only thing that stops a bullet is a body. And the number of soldiers that are being killed on both sides is astronomical."


War's Toll

Trump describes the devastation:

The scale of destruction has reached unprecedented levels, with cities reduced to rubble and casualties far exceeding official reports. The incoming administration sees urgent need for diplomatic solution rather than continued military escalation.

Peace Initiative 💼

Trump's Approach:

• Bilateral talks planned
• Compromise expectations
• Territory realities acknowledged
• Immediate ceasefire priority

Diplomatic Reality 🏛

Critical Assessment:

"You know it's nice to say they want their land back, but the cities are largely destroyed,"

Trump signals pragmatic approach to territorial disputes.

Strategic Shift

The path forward:

Trump's transition team actively develops negotiation framework, suggesting both sides must accept compromises for peace, while Ukraine's Foreign Ministry continues rejecting peace talks as "immoral manipulation."

#UkraineWar #PeaceProcess #TrumpPolicy #Diplomacy

Think About It:
When does pursuit of total victory become morally questionable? 🤔

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The first lesson of love is that one should not ask for love, but simply give it. Become a giver. But people do just the opposite. Even when they give love, they always expect equal love in return.

It is like a bargain. They do not give love, they do not do it unconditionally. They love conditionally. Out of the corner of their eye, they watch to see if the same amount of love is coming back to them.

Very unhappy people… they do not know the true nature of love. You just have to pour it out, and it will come back.

@RealRelationship 💌

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