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Geopolitics Watch

⚡️🇮🇷🇮🇷🇮🇱🇺🇸 - Reported power outages in nearby areas.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇷🇮🇱- Explosions reported in Haifa.

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🇮🇷🇮🇱- Missiles towards Central Israel.

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🇮🇷🇦🇪- Explosions can be heard throughout the United Arab Emirates.

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⚡️🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 - The IDF has announced responsibility of airstrikes on Iran's port city of 'Bandar Anzal', and stated that several Iranian Navy vessels, as well as infrastructure were targeted.

The IDF states it destroyed guard boards, a Navy corvette, 4 missile boats, "several" auxiliary ships, a shipyard and a command center.

The IDF states that these were not amongst it's initial target bank. but the IDF's Naval Intelligence Division and the Intelligence Directorate had only started preparing for these strikes a few days ago.


The IDF published footage of the strike from Fighter Jet Targeting pods. Standoff munitions were presumably utilized.

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🇮🇷🇶🇦🛢 - Qatar Energy CEO says the Iranian attack overnight damaged ~17% of its LNG production capacity, and it would take 3-5 years to repair the damage, via Reuters.

Qatar makes up 20% of the global LNG supply.

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🇪🇺🇺🇸 - Disenchanted European Leaders are expressing growing discontent over Trump's 'Pointless' War in Iran.

1⃣ As the prospect of a quick victory diminished, Europe, still struggling to wean itself off Russian oil and gas, is increasingly concerned about a new energy crisis.

2⃣ Spain has been the most vocal in its criticism, calling the war illegal and claiming it undermined global rules. France, Greece, Norway and notably Germany have explicitly ruled out their participation in the war. Others are stepping up their criticism.

3⃣ The war introduced new irritants in the already tense Transatlantic ties. President Trump is deeply unhappy with lack of support from NATO. Previous disputes between US and EU, over Ukraine, Tariff and Greenland are still latent.

4⃣ A key Trump ally in Europe, Victor Orban of Hungary, is facing a difficult reelection fight next month. Hungary is among the most vulnerable countries to an energy crisis in Europe, with Ukraine having severed Hungary's pipeline from Russia.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷🛢 #BREAKING - US Treasury Secretary just discussed the possibility to waive sanction for Iranian oil that is already at sea in an interview with Fox Business.

1⃣ Secretary Bessent estimated that there is around 140 million barrels of crude at sea, the unfreezing of which will make up for 10-14 days of oil supply deficit.

2⃣ The waiver would redirect the Iranian oil from China to US allies, alleviating the shortage. China would get less oil discount, but Iran would be able to sell its oil at a higher price.

3⃣ Bessent dismissed speculation that the Treasury is intervening in the oil market.

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🇷🇺🤝🇮🇷📈🛢 - Russian Energy Ministry official teased the oil market with the possibility of a fuel export restriction - Reuters

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🇸🇦🇮🇷 Qatar, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Türkiye and the UAE issued a joint statement calling on Iran “to immediately halt its attacks” after holding a meeting in Riyadh.

@CIG_telegram

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🇮🇷🇶🇦- The aftermath at Ras Laffan in Qatar after Iranian strikes.

The LNG plant is mostly on fire it is highly unlikely to be put out anytime soon.

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🇮🇷🇸🇦 - NASA Fire Anomaly data shows burning at the Saudi Arabia oil export terminal of Yanbu. This is consistent with an earlier claim by Iran of attacks on the facility.

Yanbu, located in Saudi Red Sea coast, is the kingdom only operational oil export terminal. It is currently offloading 4 million barrel per day.

The Yanbu infrastructure is partially financed by China in a joint project with Saudi Arabia.

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🇺🇸🇮🇱 — Pro-Palestine/anti-Zionist lobby candidates lost every contested Democratic primary today in Illinois. The Zionist lobby spent several million dollars to fund their preferred candidates in Illinois.

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🇰🇵 — The Workers' Party of Korea has won 99.93% of the people's vote and all seats in the Democratic People's Republic of Korea's parliamentary elections, in what continues to be virtually universal support for respected comrade Kim Jong Un's Juche revolutionary ideals for the Korean people. Only dear leader Kim Jong Un, in his infinite brilliance in leading the world's most democratic country, could win 99.93% of the vote with a 100% turnout.

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🇮🇷🇮🇱 — IRGC launched another ballistic missile equipped with a cluster warhead towards Tel Aviv approximately 15 minutes ago. At least one impact from cluster munitions was reported in Holon, just south of Tel Aviv.

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#BREAKING
⚡️🇮🇷🇮🇷🇮🇱🇺🇸 - Direct impacts on the Haifa Refinery.

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⚡️🇮🇷🇮🇷🇮🇱🇺🇸- Red Alerts in northern and central Israel.

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🇮🇷🇧🇭- Explosions are being reported in Bahrain.

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🇮🇷🇶🇦- Multiple Sirens and Alerts over Qatar.

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🇮🇷🇶🇦- The estimated Annual losses from the damaged facilities are about $20 billion. For the next 3-5 years that equals anywhere from $60 - $100 Billion.

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🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷The American Secretary of War:

Today will be the largest package yet. We're hunting and striking, death and destruction from above.

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🇮🇱🇱🇧- IDF strike targeted RT correspondent Steve Sweeney on the "AlQasmiya" bridge on air in Lebanon.

Steve and his cameraman were injured by shrapnel but are in stable condition.

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🇪🇬- Egypt is introducing energy rationing measures shops and malls are forced to close at 9pm on weekdays and 10 pm on weekends, aswell as reduced street lighting, and possible remote work to cope with soaring fuel costs caused by the Iran war.

Gas import costs jumped from $560M to $1.65B/month, that’s more than double forcing rationing throughout the country.

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🇦🇪🤝🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 - UAE reaffirmed its commitment to invest $1.4 trillion in the United States despite the conflict in Iran. Policymakers remain steadfast in building deeper ties with the US, despite the Emirates bearing the brunt of Iranian missile attacks.

UAE ambassador to the US also added “This is not a war we wanted, and we worked intensely to avoid it. But even as we held hope and pursued de-escalation, we also knew a war could someday come.”

UAE is well positioned to recover from the conflict, having stashed away more than $2 trillion in its sovereign wealth funds.

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🇮🇷🇪🇺📈 - European gas price is up 30% overnight as the damage in Qatari gas facilities are being assessed. A heavy damage scenario would means the Qatari LNG facilities staying offline for months if not years.

Europe relies on Qatar for a sizable portion of its gas import as it distances itself from Russian pipeline gas. The situation is exacerbated by Europe record low gas storage level at the onset of the crisis.

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🇮🇷🇰🇼- Kuwait is battling uncontrollable fires at the ports of Mina Al-Ahmadi and Mina Abdullah refineries after they were targeted by Iran.

Mina Al-Ahmadi & Mina Abdullah are Kuwait’s main oil refineries, producing 800,000 barrels a day.

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🇮🇷🚀🛥 - UKMTO reported another attack on shipping just off the coast of Ras Laffan, Qatar. The crew of the vessel are reportedly safe.

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🇮🇱🇱🇧 — An IAF airstrike caused a residential building to collapse in Beirut.

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🇮🇷🇺🇸🇶🇦 — Fifteen minutes ago, IRGC ballistic missiles were launched towards American interests in Doha. Qatar's Ministry of Defense claims to have repelled the attack.

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🇮🇷🇮🇱 — Intercepted.

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