Geopolitics Watch

31 December 2025 15:51

🇻🇪🇺🇸 — President Maduro has denied claims from President Trump that the United States launched an attack on Venezuelan territory.

Geopolitics Watch

31 December 2025 01:21

🇨🇳 🇹🇼 Over the past 48 hours, China surrounded Taiwan and executed large-scale live-fire military exercises featuring simulated decapitation strikes and the seizure of key ports.

“It is a noose-style blockade. The operational scope is no longer limited to symbolic, isolated shows of force, but has evolved into a coordinated and interconnected blockade network, practicing the tactics to choke off the island’s vital supply lines,” the official PLA press account stated bluntly.

With a potential Day 3 on the horizon, here’s everything you might have missed:

📎 Ian Ellis

Geopolitics Watch

30 December 2025 23:17

🇻🇪 — Two sanctioned oil tankers have arrived at Venezuelan ports over the last few days, with more on the way. It is worth nothing that BELLA 1 is still operating, with the US Coast Guard still failing to seize the ship.

Geopolitics Watch

30 December 2025 21:38

🇺🇦❌🇷🇺 — Ukrainian drone strike against oil platforms in Luhansk, Russia-occupied Ukraine.

Geopolitics Watch

30 December 2025 16:30

🇸🇦🇾🇪❌🇾🇪🇦🇪— The UAE has released a statement that they will retreat from Yemen to avoid conflict.

The United Arab Emirates has participated in the Arab Coalition since 2015 in support of the legitimate government in Yemen, to support international efforts in combating terrorist organizations, and to achieve security and stability in Yemen. The sons of the UAE have made significant sacrifices in pursuit of these goals.

The UAE Armed Forces ended their military presence in Yemen in 2019 after completing their assigned tasks within the agreed-upon official frameworks. The remaining presence was limited to specialized teams working within counterterrorism efforts and in coordination with relevant international partners.

The Ministry of Defense announces the voluntary withdrawal of the remaining counterterrorism teams from Yemen, ensuring the safety of their personnel, and in coordination with relevant partners.

Geopolitics Watch

30 December 2025 13:26

🇸🇦🇾🇪❌🇾🇪🇦🇪- The situation in Yemen has reached breaking point with the YNA and Saudi coalition demanding that civilians evacuate the Yemeni port of Mukalla in Hadhramaut until further notice, before the start of a military operation.

➡️ The Saudi Coalition is also demanding that the UAE forces withdraw from Yemeni territory within 24 hours, which has been rejected by the UAE, who has now changed its tune and is calling for no war and deescalation on all sides.

Alongside this, clashes continue between the STC and the YNA, while war between the UAE and Saudi seem inevitable.

Geopolitics Watch

29 December 2025 19:55

🇮🇷❌🇮🇱🤝🇺🇸 — Hebrew media noted that Trump, for the first time, defined Iran's ballistic missile program as a new red line.

Geopolitics Watch

29 December 2025 19:52

🇮🇷❌🇮🇱🤝🇺🇸 — Trump's response to a question about whether he would support Israel to strike Iran again:

If they continue with their ballistic missile program, yes.
As for nuclear weapons, fast.

Geopolitics Watch

29 December 2025 15:18

⚡️🇵🇸🇵🇸❌🇮🇱 - During the speech, the deaths of a number of commanders were officially announced, which are the succeeder of Muhammad AlDeif and Commander of the AlQassam Brigades General Staff Muhammad Al-Sinwar, the Commander of the Rafah Brigades Muhammad Shabanna "Abu Anas", the Commander of Armaments and Combat Services Division Hakim Al-Isa "Abu Omar AlSuri", The commander of the Military Manufacturing Division Ra'ad Sa'ad, and the spokesperson of the Brigades "Abu Obaida".

Geopolitics Watch

29 December 2025 10:33

🇹🇷❌⬛ — 11 Turkish policemen injured in clashes with an IS cell

➡️Armed clashes between the country's security forces and 2 IS members broke out in the Yalova region last night.

➡️According to reports, 11 Turkish police officers were injured in this clash with some dead. Special forces were deployed to combat the IS cell, which ended up bombing their house to kill them, after repeated failed attempts to enter.

➡️ The cell was holding a number of children hostages.

Geopolitics Watch

28 December 2025 23:32

#BREAKING 🇺🇸❌🇻🇪❓ — Recording and transcript of President Trump claiming to strike Venezuelan territory on December 24:

They [Democrats] have Trump Derangement Syndrome, they're sick people, there's something wrong with them. Every time we knocked out a [Venezuelan] boat, we saved 25000 American lives ... I don't know if you read or you saw, they have a big plant or a big facility where the ships come from, two nights ago [December 24] we knocked that out. We hit them very hard.

Geopolitics Watch

28 December 2025 21:46

🇾🇪❌🇮🇱🇸🇴 — Yemeni Ansarallah leader Abdulmalik al-Houthi announces any IDF presence in areas controlled by Somaliland separatists will be considered valid military targets, and that Ansarallah won't accept Israel's presence in Somalia.

Geopolitics Watch

28 December 2025 21:37

🇮🇱🛬 — Benjamin Netanyahu's plane has landed in Florida.

Geopolitics Watch

28 December 2025 19:44

🇺🇸🇺🇦 — Trump-Zelensky meeting begins in the Mar-a-Lago dining room.

Geopolitics Watch

28 December 2025 19:19

🇺🇸🇺🇦📞🇷🇺🇪🇺 — President Trump and President Zelensky will call European leaders after their meeting has concluded, and Trump will also call President Putin.

Geopolitics Watch

31 December 2025 15:12

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Geopolitics Watch

31 December 2025 00:58

So, it appears that the next large-scale, combined missile and drone attack will either take place on the morning of new years', or January 2, with missiles likely targeting between 1am and 8am Kyiv time.

This attack will include strategic bombers, as well as other types of missiles.

- 2 Tu-95MS redeployed from Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast, to Belaya Airbase, Irkutsk Oblast. They were both equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Engels-2 Airbase.

- 2 Tu-95MS redeployed from Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast, to Belaya Airbase. They have since been equipped with Kh-101 missiles.

- 1 Tu-95MS redeployed from Belaya Airbase to Engels-2 Airbase after being equipped with Kh-101 missiles.

- 5 Tu-95MS remain at Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast. They are equipped/being equipped with Kh-101 missiles.

- 1-2 Tu-160 strategic bombers at Ukrainka Airbase are equipped with Kh-101 missiles.

- 2 Tu-22m3 strategic bombers redeployed from Diaghilev Airbase, Ryazan Oblast, to Olenya Airbase. It's unclear if they are equipped with Kh-32 cruise missiles.

- 3-4 Tu-22m3 bombers are equipped with Kh-32 missiles at Engels-2 Airbase.

- At least 4 MiG-31K fighters are equipped with Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast.

- Iskander-M ballistic missiles and possibly Iskander-K cruise missiles were delivered to OTRK installations near Taganrog (Rostov Oblast), Kursk City, and other areas.

- Statuses of the Black Sea Fleet and missile carriers in the Caspian Sea are unknown, but it's likely that at least one of the two will be used in the next attack.

- An unprecedented accumulation of Geran-2 and Gerbera drones remains at all major launch sites near Ukraine.

Geopolitics Watch

30 December 2025 22:54

🇸🇾❌🇸🇾📞🇮🇱 — According to Israel Hayom newspaper, former Syrian government officials, including the former head of military intelligence, Kamal Hassan, and businessman Abu Ali Khudr, who was close to the Assad family, visited Israel in early December, where they met with Israeli intelligence officials.

➡️According to reports, they asked Israel to protect the Alawite community and support their "autonomous governance project", noting Russia's declining interest in providing protection or political cover for the Alawites.

Geopolitics Watch

30 December 2025 21:34

🇺🇦❌🇷🇺 — Large scale drone attack against Crimea, Russian-occupied Ukrainian territory, and several regions of Russia including Moscow.

Geopolitics Watch

30 December 2025 14:06

🇸🇦🇾🇪❌🇾🇪🇦🇪- Airstrikes reported against UAE bases an hour ago targeting Wadi Khird, an area near Al-Shihr in Hadramout Governorate.

Geopolitics Watch

29 December 2025 20:27

❗️🇺🇸❌🇻🇪 — Once again, President Trump announces a strike on Venezuelan territory, announcing a "major explosion in the dock area where they load the boats up with drugs" and that the "implementation area" is "no longer around".

Geopolitics Watch

29 December 2025 19:54

🇮🇷❌🇮🇱🤝🇺🇸 — Trump next to Netanyahu:

Now, I hear that Iran is trying to build up again, and if they are, we'll have to knock the hell outta them.

Geopolitics Watch

29 December 2025 16:39

🇺🇸💵 — Small Business Administration administrator Kelly Loeffler:

I don't think small business owners have ever been so excited to pay their taxes thanks to President Trump.

Geopolitics Watch

29 December 2025 15:06

⚡️🇵🇸🇵🇸❌🇮🇱 - The AlQassam Brigades has published a speech, featuring it's new spokesperson, following the targeting of the former iconic spokesperson Hudayfa Samir Abdallah alKahlout "Abu Obaida".

Important points will be summarized.

Geopolitics Watch

29 December 2025 00:42

🇺🇸 — Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene criticises Donald Trump's meetings with Volodymyr Zelensky and Benjamin Netanyahu:

Zelensky today.
Netanyahu tomorrow.

Can we just do America?

Geopolitics Watch

28 December 2025 22:36

#BREAKING 🇺🇸❌🇻🇪❓ — In an announcement that went under the radar, on December 26, President Trump announced that the United States had struck Venezuelan territory on December 24. He specifically announced the United States "knocked out" a "big plant, or big facility where the ships come from", likely meaning a port, but Geopolitics Watch has not seen any evidence to confirm Trump's claim of a strike against Venezuelan territory.

No video of the alleged strike exists, no media or government outlets reported any strike on Venezuelan territory, and no Venezuelans have claimed any strike at all. President Trump claimed this strike while calling in to a radio show, and has not mentioned it since.

Geopolitics Watch

28 December 2025 21:40

🇮🇱🤝🇬🇷🇮🇹🇫🇷 — Netanyahu's plane flew through the airspace of Greece, Italy, and France; the three countries are members of the International Criminal Court and are obliged to arrest fugitives wanted by the ICC. Benjamin Netanyahu is currently wanted by the ICC for war crimes in Gaza, but none of the three states attempted to intercept his plane to arrest him.

Geopolitics Watch

28 December 2025 21:20

—❗️🇮🇷/🇸🇦/🇾🇪 BREAKING: Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi called with his Saudi counterpart, Prince Faisal bin Farhan

The two held urgent consultations regarding the developing security situation in Yemen.

Iran and Saudi Arabia are aiming to develop a joint strategy to counter the UAE-led advance in southern and central Yemen.

@Middle_East_Spectator

Geopolitics Watch

28 December 2025 19:24

🇺🇸🤝🇮🇱 — Tomorrow, President Trump will remain in Florida to meet Benjamin Netanyahu.

The main topics of discussion will be moving to the "second phase" of the Gaza ceasefire, which Israel routinely violates; and a second confrontation between Israel and Iran and Netanyahu attempting to gain Trump's approval for it. Netanyahu will also meet with Secretary of State Marco Rubio prior to the Netanyahu-Trump meeting.

Geopolitics Watch

28 December 2025 19:17

🇺🇸📞🇷🇺 — President Trump's call with President Putin lasted 75 minutes, and they indeed discussed peace efforts in the Russia-Ukraine war, according to Russian foreign policy aide Yuri Ushankov.

Ushankov reported that Trump was informed of Russia's skepticism towards a temporary ceasefire, and that Ukraine would have to make a "bold, responsible political decision" regarding the Donbass region, likely meaning ceding the entire region, including parts still under Ukrainian control, to Russia.